Kansas City Royals vs Milwaukee Brewers Preview
At 7:40 PM from Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, we have an interleague matchup between the Brewers and Royals. Heading into Monday’s game, the Brewers are 20-13, and the Royals are 20-15. Television coverage is being handled by BSWI.
The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and the Royals are the favorite at -147 on the money line. Looking at the starting pitching matchup, we have Bryse Wilson for the Brewers up against Cole Ragans for the Royals.
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Kansas City Royals Trends and Key Stats
- The Brewers are 3-2 across their last five road games. They have gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
- On the other side, the Royals have gone 2-3 (SU) and 3-2 in their previous five home contests.
- Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Royals have won 6-4 straight-up, and have a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
- When playing as the underdog, the Brewers have won 5-5 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 7-3 against the runline.
Kansas City Royals vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction
Milwaukee closed out their series vs. the Cubs with a 5-0 loss. Heading into the game, the Brewers were the slight favorite at -140 on the money line. Things really got away from the Brewers in the 5th inning, as the Cubs scored three runs in the inning. Milwaukee’s offense didn’t score a run, and their only bright spot was a 2nd inning double by Jace Peterson.
Freddy Peralta got the start for the Brewers and took the loss. He only lasted five innings, giving up three earned runs. Milwaukee’s bullpen didn’t do much better, as they allowed another two runs in the 8th.
Milwaukee is currently 20-13 overall, putting them in a tie with the Cubs for the NL Central lead. The Brewers lost the final two games of their series vs. the Cubs. So far, they have gone 8-5 in divisional matchups.
On the road, the Brewers have been good this year, going 13-6, compared to 7-7 at home. Milwaukee has been really good in day games this year, going 12-5. As the road underdog, the Brewers have gone 9-3 this year, and their overall series record is 6-3-2.
The Brewers have a positive run differential on the road this season, averaging 1.7 more runs per game than their opponents. They are 12-7 against the run line on the road this season and have covered the run line in three straight games as an underdog. Overall, they are 16-17 against the run line this season.
The Milwaukee Brewers have played 33 games this season, and the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs in 18 of them. In those games, the over has hit 13 times and the under has hit 5 times. The Brewers’ games have averaged 9.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 19-14.
Bryse Wilson is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Rays, as he gets the start for the Brewers today. In that April 29th start, he took the loss, going 6 innings and giving up one earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Wilson has made three starts and nine appearances. His record for the season is 2-1, and he has an ERA of 3.00. Opposing batters have hit .198 this season off Wilson, and his WHIP is currently 1.00. Wilson has one quality start this year and is averaging 7.87 strikeouts per nine innings.
William Contreras has been on a tear for the Brewers, as he is batting .336 for the season and has gone deep five times, which is 6th in the league and 2nd on the team. His 27 RBIs is 5th in the league. Christian Yelich is also swinging a hot bat, with a team-high 5 homers and a batting average of .333. Yelich’s OBP of .422 is the best mark on the team.
As a team, the Brewers are 5th in the league in scoring at 5 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the league’s top home run hitting clubs and have a team batting average of .254. The Brewers also come into the game with a collective OBP of .333, which is the 2nd best mark in the league.
The Royals will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rangers with a 3-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Rangers scored three runs in the top of the 10th. Kansas City was the +115 underdog at home going into the game.
Daniel Lynch put together a good start for the Royals, going five innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out six Rangers batters. However, the Royals’ bullpen couldnjson’t close things out, and James McArthur took the loss out of the bullpen. The Royals also wasted a big game from Bobby Witt Jr., who went 2/4 with a double and a run scored.
Kansas City is 20-15 overall this year, and they are 2nd in the AL Central, 2.5 games behind the Guardians. The Royals lost the final two games of their series vs. the Rangers and are 5-5 over their last 10 games. So far, they have gone 8-5 in divisional games.
At home, the Royals are 13-7 this year compared to a 7-8 mark on the road. As the favorite, Kansas City has gone 7-4 and 13-11 as the underdog. So far, they have dropped two straight at home as the favorite. The team’s overall series record is 5-6 heading into today’s game vs. the Brewers.
When the Royals are at home, they have been a good run line bet, going 13-7. They have a run differential of +1.6 runs per game at home, and their average run differential in winning games is +4.4 runs per game. As an underdog, they are 17-7 on the run line.
So far this season, the Kansas City Royals have played 33 games, and the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs or higher in 8 of those games. In those games, the over/under record is 4-11, and the combined run average is 7.9 runs per game. Overall, the Royals’ over/under record for the season is 11-22, and the average over/under line for their games is set at 8 runs per game.
Cole Ragans will be looking to build off his last outing, where he faced the Blue Jays and came away with the win. In that start, which came on April 30th, he went 6 2/3 innings and gave up just one earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Ragans has made seven starts and has a record of 2-2. His ERA for the season is 3.44, along with a WHIP of 1.36. Opposing batters have a batting average of .252 off the left-hander this season. Ragans has one complete game shutout and four quality starts this year. So far, he has a total of 46 strikeouts, with an average of 11.29 per nine innings.
Salvador Perez has been the Royals’ top power threat this season, as his eight home runs are the 3rd most in the league. He also comes into the game with a team-high 30 RBIs and is batting .328. Perez has two homers and seven RBIs in his last 10 games. Bobby Witt Jr. has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/37 in his last 10 games and is batting .319 for the season.
As a team, the Royals are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. They have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 5 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .238 and have the 10th ranked slugging percentage in the league.
Our predicted final score for this one is 6-5 in favor of the Royals, and with them at -147 on the money line, they are our recommended pick. In terms of the over/under, we like the over, as we see this one finishing with 11 runs and the line sitting at 8.5.
Looking at some potential player props, we have Bryse Wilson finishing with just four strikeouts and Cole Ragans with four as well. As for the Royals and their lineup, they are projected to finish with nine team hits, and the Brewers with nine.
Kansas City Royals vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Tips
- Take the Royals on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Brewers (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Kansas City Royals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Lyles | Out | Personal |
| Carlos Hernández | Out | Shoulder |
| Cole Ragans | Questionable | Calf |
| Josh Taylor | Out | Biceps |
| Kyle Wright | Out | Shoulder |
| Kris Bubic | Out | Elbow |
| Jake Brentz | Out | Hamstring |
| Alec Marsh | Out | Forearm |
Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Wade Miley | Out | Elbow |
| Christian Yelich | Out | Back |
| Gary Sánchez | Questionable | Hamstring |
| Ray Black | Out | Personal |
| Taylor Clarke | Out | Knee |
| Devin Williams | Out | Back |
| Freddy Peralta | Questionable | Suspension |
| Jakob Junis | Out | Shoulder |
| Brandon Woodruff | Out | Shoulder |
| J.B. Bukauskas | Out | Lat |
| DL Hall | Out | Knee |
| Garrett Mitchell | Out | Finger |
| Joey Wiemer | Out | Knee |
