Kansas City Royals vs Miami Marlins Prediction & Betting Tips 6/26/2024

Kansas City Royals vs Miami Marlins Preview

The forecast from Kansas City on Wednesday calls for light rain and temperatures in the upper 70s. First pitch from Kauffman Stadium is set for 2:10 PM ET. Brady Singer will start for the Royals, while the Marlins are sending Valente Bellozo to the mound.

Kansas City is the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -231 compared to the Marlins at +191. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs, and the game can be seen on BSKC. Miami is 5th in the NL East, while the Royals are 3rd in the AL Central.

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Kansas City Royals Trends and Key Stats

• 1-4 is the record of Marlins in their last five road games. They have also gone 1-4 vs. the runline.
• In the Royals’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 1-4 (SU) with 0-5 against the spread.
• The Royals have a straight-up record of 5-5 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 3-7 record vs. the runline.
• When playing as the underdog, the Marlins have won 5-5 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 6-4 against the runline.

Miami picked up a 2-1 road win over the Royals in the most recent game of this series. The Marlins offense only had two more hits than the Royals and struck out 10 times, but still picked up the win. Heading into the game, they were at +161 on the money line.

Yonny Chirinos got the start for the Marlins, going just five innings while giving up one run and striking out five. A.J. Puk got the win out of the bullpen, and Tanner Scott got the save. Seth Lugo put together a good outing for the Royals, going six innings and striking out eight.

The only two runs for the Royals came in the first inning. As for the Marlins, they scored their first run in the 7th and added the game’s final run in the 8th. Heading into the game, the Marlins were at +1.5 on the run line.

Kansas City Royals vs Miami Marlins Prediction

Miami is 28-51 overall this season, which has them 5th in the NL East, 24 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they have really struggled against other NL East teams, going just 5-17. The Marlins are on a two-series winning streak and have an overall series record of 7-17-1 this year.

At home, the Marlins are 16-27 and just 12-24 on the road. The Marlins have really struggled as the favorite this year, going just 3-12, but they are 25-39 as the underdog. Looking at their overall record, the Marlins are 5-5 across their last ten games.

When betting the run line on the Marlins, it’s been best to take them as the underdog, as they are 33-31 against the run line in those games. They are just 1-14 against the run line as the favorite. Their overall run line record is 34-45, and they are 18-18 against the run line on the road.

The Miami Marlins are on the road today against the Kansas City Royals. The over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs. The Marlins have had an over/under record of 41-37 this season, and their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9 runs is 2-6. Miami has had 67 games with over/under lines set below 9 runs, and their games have gone under the line in 84.8% of their games this season. They are currently on a 2-game under streak.

For today’s game against the Royals, the Marlins will rely on Valente Bellozo to set the tone. It’s his debut for the season and he’s looking to put together a strong start in his debut.

So far this season, the Marlins offense is averaging just 3.5 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 2.9 runs per contest. Miami’s offense has been a bit better at home, averaging 4 runs per game. As a team, the Marlins are batting just .231 and have the league’s worst team ISO at .119.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Bryan De La Cruz have been the top power threats for the Marlins so far, with Chisholm Jr. leading the team with 10 homers and De La Cruz right behind him with 14. De La Cruz is batting .245 for the season and has gone 8/29 in his last seven games. Jesus Sanchez has also homered three times in his last seven games but is batting just .240 in that stretch.

Kansas City is 43-38 overall and trails the Guardians by 10 games in the AL Central. Currently, they are 3rd in the division and have gone 13-9 in divisional games. The Royals are looking to bounce back, as they are just 3-7 over their last 10 games.

The Royals have dropped four straight series, as their overall series record is 11-13-1 this year. At home, they are 14-6 when favored and 26-15 overall at home. On the road, the Royals are 17-23 this season.

When the Royals win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.7 runs per victory. They are 45-36 against the run line this season, including a 24-17 mark at home. As the underdog, they are 29-19 against the run line, while as the favorite, they are 16-17. The Royals have an average run margin of 0.5 runs per game this season, with a scoring margin of 1.1 runs per game at home and an even scoring margin on the road.

When the Royals play at home, the over/under line is set at 9 runs, and their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game this season. Overall, the over/under record for Kansas City is 34-44, and the average line for their games is set at 8 runs. When the line is set at 9 runs, their record is 5-5. This season, just 11.1% of their games have had lines set at 9 runs or higher, and their current under streak is at four games.

Brady Singer is getting the start for the Royals today and comes in with a record of 4-4 and an ERA of 3.29. So far this year, he has made 15 starts, and opponents are batting .232 off the right-hander. Singer has turned in five quality starts this year and is averaging 8.78 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Singer finished with a no-decision, going five innings and giving up one earned run on three hits. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. The right-hander has given up at least one homer in each of his last three outings.

So far this season, the Royals are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. At home, they have been even better, putting up 5.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .242, and their team on-base percentage of .305 is also below the league average. One thing to watch is that they are 2nd in the league in home runs, but both of their top home run hitters are batting under .240.

Bobby Witt Jr. and Salvador Perez have been two of the Royals’ top power threats this season, as both have 12 home runs so far. Witt Jr. is batting .311, while Perez is at .279. However, Perez has really struggled of late, going just 2/18 over his last five games. Vinnie Pasquantino has also struggled recently, going 3/19 in his last five games.

Our prediction for this Royals vs. Marlins matchup is to take the Royals to win, but at -231, we recommend taking the over on the run line. We have the final score at 6-4 in favor of the Royals, and with the over/under sitting at 9 runs, there is some good value in taking the over.

If you’re looking for a starting pitcher prop bet, Brady Singer is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which would have him finishing fifth in terms of starters. As for the Marlins, their starter is not yet known, but we have them finishing with eight strikeouts as a team.

Kansas City Royals vs Miami Marlins Betting Tips

• Take the Royals on the moneyline
• The Royals should also cover at -1.5
• Projecting a combined 10 runs, we like the over

Kansas City Royals Injury Report

Miami Marlins Injury Report