Kansas City Royals vs Miami Marlins Prediction & Betting Tips 6/24/2024

Kansas City Royals vs Miami Marlins Preview

At 8:10 PM ET, the Marlins and Royals square off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, and the forecast calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-90s. Miami is 5th in the NL East with a record of 27-50, while the Royals are 3rd in the AL Central at 42-37.

Kansas City is heavily favored on the money line, with the odds sitting at -240 compared to the Marlins at +198. The over/under line is currently at 9.5 runs, and BSKC is carrying this game on TV. Tonight’s starting pitching matchup features Roddery Munoz for the Marlins and Cole Ragans for the Royals.

Check out BetCoco for Kansas City Royals – Miami Marlins odds

Kansas City Royals Trends and Key Stats

• The Marlins are 0-5 in their five most recent road games, including a 1-4 runline record.
• In the Royals’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 1-4 (SU) with 0-5 against the spread.
• Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Royals have a straight-up record of 6-4, while going 4-6 against the runline.
• Looking at the Marlins’ previous ten games as the underdog they are 4-6 straight-up and 6-4 vs. the runline.

Kansas City Royals vs Miami Marlins Prediction

Miami is coming off a game in which they closed out their series vs. the Mariners with a 6-4 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at +130 on the money line. It was a big 1st inning for the Marlins, as they scored four runs, and their offense carried them to the win, as they only scored two runs the rest of the game.

Kyle Tyler got the start for the Marlins, going four innings and giving up two runs on three hits. He only had two strikeouts in the outing and got the win. Miami’s offense was carried by Nick Gordon, who went 1/4 with a homer and three RBIs.

Miami is on the road today vs. the Royals, and they are 27-50 overall, putting them 5th in the NL East. So far, they have struggled against other NL East teams, going 5-17. They are currently 24.0 games behind the Phillies for the division lead.

The Marlins have gone 2-1 in each of their last two series. Overall, they are 7-17-1 in series this year. As the road underdog, the Marlins are 11-23 this year, and they are just 3-12 when favored. Miami is also looking to improve on their 16-27 home record.

Despite being a below .500 team, the Marlins have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 33-44. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 17-17 against the run line. Miami has been a much better bet as an underdog, going 32-30 against the run line in those games.

When the Miami Marlins are on the road, the over/under line has been set at 9.5 runs for just the third time this season. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 41-35. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and their games have had an over/under line set at 9.5 runs just 3.9% of the time. Their games have had an over/under line set at 9.5 runs just three times this season, and their games have had an over/under line set at 9.5 runs just 3.9% of the time.

Miami is sending right-hander Roddery Muñoz to the mound today vs. the Royals. He has made six starts this year and has a record of 1-2 with an ERA of 5.76. Muñoz’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.35. In his 29 2/3 innings of work, he has given up a total of 11 home runs. Looking back at his last outing, Muñoz finished with a no-decision vs. the Cardinals, giving up three earned runs in four innings of work. He has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings.

So far this season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.5 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3 runs per contest. Miami’s offense has struggled in terms of power, as they are 22nd in home runs and have the worst team ISO in the league. As a team, the Marlins are batting just .232.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. is leading the Marlins in batting average this season at .267, and he also has a team-high 37 RBIs. Chisholm Jr. is 2nd on the team with 10 homers. Bryan De La Cruz has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/21 in his last five games with two homers. For the season, he is batting .248 with a team-high 14 homers.

The Royals will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rangers with a 4-0 loss. Kansas City was the +136 underdog on the road going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Royals, as Alec Marsh didn’t give up a run in the first two innings but ran into trouble in the 4th, giving up three runs. Kansas City’s offense scored their only two runs in the 2nd.

Alec Marsh took the loss, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up three earned runs on eight hits. The Royals also issued three walks and hit a batter. Kansas City’s offense only had two fewer hits than the Rangers but scored no runs. Nick Loftin and Alec Marsh each had two hits.

Kansas City will open their series vs. the Marlins having lost three straight games, and they are 42-37 overall this season. The Royals are 3rd in the AL Central, trailing the Guardians by nine games. Kansas City lost the final three games of their series vs. the Rangers.

As the favorite, the Royals have gone 20-11 this season and 13-5 as the favorite at home. So far, they are 25-14 at home compared to 17-23 on the road. Kansas City’s overall series record is 11-13-1, and they have dropped four straight series.

When the Royals win, they win by an average of 3.7 runs per game. When they lose, they lose by an average of 3.1 runs per game. They have a run line record of 44-35, including a 23-16 mark at home. Their average run differential is +0.5 runs per game. As the underdog, they are 29-19 vs. the run line, compared to 15-16 as the favorite.

At home, the Kansas City Royals have an over/under record of 34-42, with an average over/under line of 8 runs per game. Their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season. When the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs, the Royals have gone over in 4 of 6 games. Only 2.5% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 9.5 runs, and their games have gone under in 71 of 79 games overall. They have an under streak of 2 games.

Cole Ragans gets the start for the Royals today and will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he took the loss. Against the Athletics, he gave up two earned runs in six innings of work. Looking back further, Ragans has finished with a no-decision in three straight outings. He has made 16 starts this year and has a record of 4-5 with a 3.13 ERA. Opponents are batting .216 off the left-hander this season. Ragans has one complete game and 11 quality starts this year.

So far this season, the Royals are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. At home, they have been even better, averaging 5.4 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .244, which is 13th in the MLB. Kansas City has been tough to strike out this season, as they are 4th in the league in fewest strikeouts per game.

Bobby Witt Jr. has been the Royals’ top hitter this season, with a batting average of .311, and he is also 1st on the team with 12 homers and 53 RBIs. Salvador Perez is also having a good season at the plate, with a batting average of .280 and 11 home runs.

Our favorite bet for today’s Marlins vs. Royals matchup is to take the under at 9.5 runs. We see the Royals coming out on top by a final score of 5-4, giving us some wiggle room if you wanted to take the line at -240.

If you’re looking for a parlay, we would recommend pairing a Royals win with the under. Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Cole Ragans finishing with five strikeouts compared to Roddery Muñoz with five as well.

Kansas City Royals vs Miami Marlins Betting Tips

• Take the Royals on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Marlins (+1.5)
• Our MLB model projects 9 runs, and we suggest taking the under

Kansas City Royals Injury Report

Miami Marlins Injury Report