Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction & Betting Tips 9/3/2024

Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians Preview

At 7:40 PM ET, the Guardians and Royals square off in an AL Central matchup. This one is being played at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, and the Guardians are currently on a two-game winning streak, putting them first in the AL Central. The Royals have lost six straight and their record is 75-64.

Cleveland is the slight money line favorite for Tuesday’s matchup, and the over/under line is at 8 runs. BSKC will be televising this one, and the forecast for Kansas City calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid to upper 80s. Tanner Bibee is starting for the Guardians, while the Royals are going with Brady Singer.

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Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians Trends and Key Stats

• Across their last five road games, the Guardians are 2-3. This includes going 2-3 vs. the runline.
• On the opposing side, the Royals have a 0-5 (SU) record, along with a 1-4 record in their last five home contests.
• The Guardians have a 6-4 straight-up record in their last ten games as the favorite, and 6-4 against the runline.
• As the underdog, the Royals have gone 7-3 vs. the runline and 8-2 straight-up.

Cleveland picked up a 4-2 road win over the Royals in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians offense got off to a fast start, scoring two runs in the first and adding two more in the 2nd. As for the Royals, they got on the board with one run in the 5th and added their final run in the 8th.

Gavin Williams only went seven innings for the Guardians but gave up just one run and one hit. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued two walks. Emmanuel Clase closed things out. As for the Royals, Michael Wacha gave up two earned runs in five innings of work.

At the plate, Cleveland was led by Josh Naylor and Lane Thomas, as they were the only two Guardians hitters to have more than one hit. Naylor and Thomas each homered and scored twice. As for the Royals, Hunter Dozier went 2/4 with two RBIs.

Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction

Cleveland is on the road today to take on the Royals, and they lead the AL Central by 3.5 games over the Twins. The Guardians are 79-59 overall and have taken the first game of this series vs. the Royals. So far, they are 23-20 in AL Central matchups.

As the favorite, the Guardians have gone 55-30 this year and are 24-29 as the underdog. At home, they are 43-25 and have gone 36-34 on the road. Looking at their overall record, the Guardians have gone 25-13-5 in series this year.

When the Guardians are on the road, they have a run line record of 36-34, which is better than their overall run line record of 69-69. When they are the underdog, they have a run line record of 31-22, which is better than when they are the favorite, where they have a run line record of 38-47. Their average run differential is 0.5 runs per game.

Today’s over/under line of 8 runs is right in line with the average over/under line for Cleveland games this season. The Guardians have played in 46.4% of their games with an over/under line set at 8 runs, and their over/under record for those games is 13-14-5. Cleveland’s games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record overall is 65-64.

Cleveland is sending right-hander Tanner Bibee to the mound today vs. the Royals. He has made 26 starts this season and has a record of 10-6 with a 3.65 ERA. Bibee’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.13. In his 26 appearances, he has turned in eight quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Bibee finished with a no-decision vs. the Royals, giving up five earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. Opponents are batting .229 off Bibee this season.

Heading into today’s game, the Guardians are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. They have been a better offensive team at home this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game. As a team, the Guardians are batting just .239, which is 14th in the league, and they have the worst BABIP in the league at .27.

José Ramírez has been a key run producer for the Guardians this season, as his 105 RBIs are 2nd in the MLB. He also has 34 homers, which is the best mark on the team and 5th in the league. Over his last seven games, Josh Naylor is hitting .407 with eight RBIs. Naylor also has a five-game hitting streak heading into today’s game.

With an overall record of 75-64, the Royals are 4.5 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. So far, they have gone 29-15 in divisional games. The Royals will be looking to snap a six-game losing streak, and they have dropped three straight at home.

This season, the Royals have been good as the favorite, going 43-26, and they are 32-38 as the underdog. At home, they are 41-29 compared to 34-35 on the road. Kansas City’s overall series record is 19-22-2, and they are 3-7 over their last 10 games.

When it comes to betting the run line, the Royals have been a solid play this season, going 76-63 overall. They have been especially good at home, going 39-31 against the run line. Their average run margin for the season is +0.7 runs per game, and they are 41-29 against the run line as an underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is +4.1 runs per game, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.3 runs per game.

Today’s over/under line of 8 runs for the Kansas City Royals’ game against the Cleveland Guardians is right in line with the team’s season average of 8.9 runs per game. The Royals have played in 87 games with over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, which accounts for 62.6% of their games this season.

Brady Singer is getting the start for the Royals today as he faces off against the Guardians at home. He has made 27 starts this season and has a record of 9-9 with a 3.36 ERA. So far, Singer has turned in 12 quality starts and is averaging 8.67 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Singer finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. The right-hander has been hurt by the long ball this year, allowing 16 homers at home and 4.47 on the road.

So far this season, the Royals are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. At home, they have been even better, putting up 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s 7th best hitting team, with a combined batting average of .254. The Royals have some big-time power in their lineup, as they are 13th in homers and have three players with at least 19 homers.

Salvador Perez and Bobby Witt Jr. have been two of the Royals’ top power threats, with Perez leading the team with 94 RBIs and Witt Jr. not far behind, with 97 RBIs. Witt Jr. also has a team-high 30 homers and is batting .338 for the season. However, Witt Jr. has struggled of late, going just 7/34 in his last nine games.

There are a couple of different ways you could look to play this game, but our top pick would be to take the Royals on the money line at +101. We have the Royals winning this one 7-6, and with the payout sitting at +101, we see this as a good value pick.

If you’re looking for a potential parlay option, you could look to take the over at 8 runs. However, we see this one finishing with a combined 13 runs, giving us a little less wiggle room on the over/under line.

Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Tips

• Take the Guardians on the moneyline
• The Royals are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 13 runs, we like the over

Kansas City Royals Injury Report

Cleveland Guardians Injury Report