Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction & Betting Tips 6/27/2024

Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians Preview

The forecast for Thursday’s matchup between the Guardians and Royals calls for broken clouds and temperatures in the mid-80s. This one is getting started at 8:10 PM ET from Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, MO. FS1 is carrying this game on TV.

Cleveland is currently 51-27 and is 1st in the AL Central, while the Royals are 3rd in the division with an overall record of 44-38. Michael Wacha is starting for the Royals, and he is facing off against Ben Lively for the Guardians. Cleveland is favored on the money line, and the over/under line is at 8.5 runs.

Check out BetCoco for Kansas City Royals – Cleveland Guardians odds

Kansas City Royals Trends and Key Stats

• 2-3 is the record of Guardians in their last five road games. They have also gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
• In the Royals’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 1-4 (SU) with 0-5 against the spread.
• In their previous ten games, Guardians have won 8-2 as favorites and 6-4 as underdogs.
• The Royals are 5-5 (favorite) and 2-8 (underdog).

Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction

The Guardians will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Orioles with a 4-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Orioles scored two runs in the bottom of the 8th. Cleveland was the +191 underdog going into this road game.

Carlos Carrasco got the start for the Guardians, going five innings and giving up just two runs on six hits. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and took the loss. Gabriel Arias was hot at the plate, going 2/3 with a homer and a run scored. The Guardians also had a big game from Jhonkensy Noel, going 1/4 with a homer.

Cleveland is 51-27 overall, good for a perfect 8.0-game lead over the Twins in the AL Central. The Guardians will be on the road today vs. the Royals, and they are 11-6 in divisional games this year. They have won five straight games as the favorite, and they are 35-15 as the favorite overall. As for their record as the underdog, they are 16-12 this year.

At home, the Guardians have gone 26-9 compared to 25-18 on the road. Cleveland won the final two games of their series vs. the Orioles and are 7-3 across their last 10 games. The Guardians have an overall series record of 18-6-2 and have won three straight series.

The Guardians have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 45-33 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 25-18 ATS. Cleveland’s average run margin this season is +1.3 runs per game, and they have been a profitable play as the underdog, going 20-8 ATS.

When the Cleveland Guardians are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Guardians’ games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 37-35. Their games have gone over the line in 8 of 19 games when the line is set at 8.5 runs, and overall, 42 of their games have had lower lines than 8.5 runs.

Ben Lively gets the start for the Guardians today as he faces the Royals on the road. He has made 12 starts this season and has a record of 7-3 with a 3.03 ERA. Lively’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.16. In his 12 appearances, he has turned in three quality starts. Lively most recently pitched on June 22nd, where he picked up the win, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs. Before that outing, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts.

As a team, the Guardians are 3rd in the league in scoring, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.2 runs per game. Overall, they are one of the league’s top home run hitting teams and have the 8th best team batting average in the MLB. Cleveland’s offense is also one of the toughest in the league to strike out.

Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor have been a strong 1-2 punch for the Guardians this season, as they are 1st and 2nd on the team in home runs and RBIs. Ramirez is batting .275 for the season and has gone 12/38 in his last nine games, with three homers and 10 RBIs. Naylor has also been hot of late, going 10/29 in his last eight games with three homers and eight RBIs.

To close out their series vs. the Marlins, the Royals picked up a 5-1 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -209. Offensively, the Royals scored their five runs on jsonly 10 hits and didn’t hit a home run.

Brady Singer put together a good start for the Royals, going 7 1/3 innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. He also issued only one walk and struck out five Marlins batters. Kansas City’s offense was carried by Freddy Fermin, who went 2/4 with a double, two RBIs, and a run scored. The Royals also had three other players with two hits.

Kansas City is 44-38 overall and trails the Guardians by nine games in the AL Central. The Royals are 13-9 against other teams in the division. They are 3rd in the AL Central, just one game behind the Twins for 2nd place. Today, the Royals host the Guardians at home, where they are 27-15 this season.

The Royals won the final two games of their series vs. the Marlins and are 3-7 across their last 10 games. As the underdog, Kansas City has dropped four straight games, and they are 22-12 as the favorite this year. Their overall series record is 12-13-1 this year.

When the Royals win, they do so by an average of 3.7 runs per game, and they have covered the run line in 46 of their 82 games this season. They are 25-17 against the run line at home, where they are outscoring opponents by an average of 1.2 runs per game.

As the Kansas City Royals prepare to host the Cleveland Guardians, the over/under line for today’s game is set at 8.5 runs, which matches the teams’ combined run average. The Royals have played to the over in 34 of their 79 games this season, and their games have averaged 8 runs per contest. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, the Royals have played to the over in 8 of 24 games. Currently, the under has hit in each of the Royals’ last five games.

Right-hander Michael Wacha gets the start for the Royals today as he faces off against the Guardians. Wacha has made 13 starts this season and has a record of 4-6 with a 4.07 ERA. Looking back at his last outing, Wacha took the loss, going five innings and giving up one earned run on three hits. In that outing, he gave up one homer. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings. Wacha’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.22.

Heading into today’s game, the Royals are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. At home, they have been even better, putting up 5.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .243, and their team on-base percentage is just 18th in the league. Kansas City does have two hitters in the top 15 in home runs, with both Bobby Witt Jr. and Salvador Perez having 12 homers.

Over his last five games, Freddy Fermin is hitting .316 with two homers, and Vinnie Pasquantino has also gone deep in this stretch, but he is batting just .206 over his last nine games. Pasquantino is 2nd on the team with eight homers but is batting just .236 for the season. Witt Jr. and Perez are both on three-game hitting streaks.

Given that the Royals are at home and we have them winning this one by a score of 6-5, we really like the value of them on the money line at -104. In terms of the starting pitchers, our projections have Michael Wacha picking up the win and finishing with four strikeouts.

Looking at Ben Lively, we have him finishing with just four strikeouts and really struggling to pick up the win. If you’re looking for a payout, you could also look to the over/under, and with this game having a line of 8.5 runs, we would take the over.

Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Tips

• Take the Royals on the moneyline
• On the run line we like Royals (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Kansas City Royals Injury Report

Cleveland Guardians Injury Report