Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers Preview
From Minute Maid Park in Houston, we have an AL West matchup between the Rangers and Astros. First pitch is set for 4:10, and the Astros are currently on a four-game winning streak, while the Rangers have lost two in a row.
The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and the Astros are the slight money line favorite, with their odds sitting at +102. The Rangers will send Nathan Eovaldi to the mound, and they are 3rd in the AL West with a record of 44-50.
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Houston Astros Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the Rangers are 3-2. This includes going 2-3 vs. the runline.
- In the Astros’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 3-2 (SU) with 4-1 against the spread.
- Over their last ten games, the Rangers have a 6-4 straight-up record when playing as the favorite, along with a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
- When playing as the underdog, the Astros have gone 7-3 against the runline, with a straight-up record of 8-2 over their last ten games.
Houston picked up a 6-3 win over the Rangers in the most recent game of this series. The Astros had a three-run 6th inning, which proved to be the difference in the game. Heading into the game, the Astros were favored at -145 on the money line.
Rangers starter Andrew Heaney went just five innings and gave up two earned runs in the loss. Hunter Brown put together a good outing for the Astros, getting the win after going six innings and giving up two earned runs.
Corey Seager hit the game’s only home run while going 2/4 with three RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Jose Altuve and Jake Meyers each had two RBIs for the Astros’ offense.
Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers Prediction
Texas is seven games below .500 at 44-50 as they play on the road today vs. the Astros. The Rangers trail the Astros by one game in the AL West, and the Mariners lead the division. So far, they are 11-16 in divisional games.
At home, the Rangers have gone 24-21 this year, and they are 20-29 on the road. As the favorite, Texas has gone 27-23, and they are 17-27 as the underdog. The Rangers have dropped two straight on the road, and their overall series record is 13-15-1 this year.
When the Rangers are on the road, they have a run line record of 21-28, including a current run line losing streak of three games. Their average run margin on the road is -0.7 runs per game. When they are the underdog, they have a run line record of 24-20.
The Texas Rangers are on the road today against the Houston Astros. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly lower than their season average of 9 runs per game. The Rangers have played 31 games with lower over/under lines this season, going 12-19 in those games. Their combined run average for the season is 8.6 runs per game, and their overall over/under record is 38-52.
Texas is sending Nathan Eovaldi to the mound today vs. the Astros, and he comes in with a record of 6-3 and an ERA of 3.10. Eovaldi has made 15 starts this year and has pitched well at home, going 5-0 with a 2.18 ERA. On the road, his record is 1-3 with a 6.2 ERA. Eovaldi’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.03. He has made seven quality starts this year and is averaging 8.79 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Eovaldi went seven innings, giving up two earned runs and picking up the win.
Corey Seager has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Rangers, going 9/25 (.360) over his last six games, with three homers and eight RBIs. For the season, Seager is batting .272 with a team-high 18 home runs. Adolis Garcia is 2nd on the team with 17 homers but is batting just .216 for the season.
As a team, the Rangers are averaging 4.3 runs per game and are 10th in the league in batting average. They are also one of the league’s best teams at avoiding strikeouts. Texas comes into the game with two of their top hitters, Marcus Semien and Adolis Garcia, both on four-game hitting streaks.
The Astros are 50-44 overall, putting them just one game behind the Mariners for the AL West lead. Houston has won four straight games, and they are 16-12 against other teams in the AL West. The Astros took the series lead over the Rangers with a win in the most recent game.
At home, the Astros have gone 28-19 this year, and they have gone 22-25 on the road. So far, they have been good as the home underdog, going 3-3, and they are 38-32 as the favorite. Houston has won ten straight games at home, and they are 7-3 overall in their last ten games.
At home, the Astros have been a solid run line bet, going 25-22, and they are currently on a three-game run line win streak. Overall, they are 49-45 vs. the run line, and they have been favored in 70 of their 94 games, going 34-36 in those contests. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.9, while it is -3.3 in losses.
The Houston Astros are playing the Texas Rangers at home today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Astros games this season is 9.1 runs, and their over/under record is 38-52. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 11-17. Overall, 35.1% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, and they are currently on a three-game over streak.
Houston is sending Spencer Arrighetti to the mound today vs. the Rangers, and he has made 16 starts this year. Arrighetti’s record is 4-7, and he has an ERA of 5.96 to go along with a WHIP of 1.66. In his 16 starts, he has turned in just two quality starts. The right-hander’s ERA at home is 9.6 compared to 7.79 on the road. In his last outing, Arrighetti finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had allowed at least three earned runs in three straight outings.
As a team, the Astros are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is good for 9th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.2 runs per game. Overall, they are the league’s top-hitting team, with a team batting average of .263. Houston also does a great job of avoiding strikeouts, as they are the league’s top team in this category.
Yordan Alvarez and Kyle Tucker have been a great 1-2 punch in the lineup this season, as they are both in the top 10 in home runs, and are batting .300 and .266, respectively. Alvarez’s 52 RBIs are the best mark on the team, while Tucker is 6th at 40 RBIs. Alex Bregman has been hot of late, going 12/32 in his last eight games with three homers and 10 RBIs.
Our prediction for this Rangers vs. Astros matchup is to take the Astros on the money line, with the payout sitting at +102. We have the Astros winning this one by a score of 5-4, giving you some value on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Spencer Arrighetti finishing with seven strikeouts, which would have him as the 11th highest among starting pitchers. As for Nathan Eovaldi, we have him finishing with seven K’s, which would have him as the 13th highest.
Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers Betting Tips
- Take the Rangers on the moneyline
- On the run line we like Astros (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Houston Astros Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Verlander | Out | Neck |
| Kendall Graveman | Out | Shoulder |
| Lance McCullers Jr. | Out | Forearm |
| Victor Caratini | Out | Hip Flexor |
| Kyle Tucker | Out | Shin |
| Cristian Javier | Out | Elbow |
| Luis Garcia | Out | Elbow |
| Bennett Sousa | Out | Shoulder |
| José Urquidy | Out | Elbow |
| Penn Murfee | Out | Elbow |
| Oliver Ortega | Out | Elbow |
Texas Rangers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Jacob deGrom | Out | Elbow |
| Tyler Mahle | Out | Elbow |
| Dane Dunning | Out | Shoulder |
| Austin Pruitt | Out | Knee |
| Cole Winn | Out | Shoulder |
| Josh Jung | Out | Wrist |
| Cody Bradford | Out | Back |
| Evan Carter | Out | Back |
| Carson Coleman | Out | Elbow |
