Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers Prediction & Betting Tips 7/12/2024

Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers Preview

From Minute Maid Park in Houston, we have the Rangers and Astros facing off in an AL West matchup. This one gets started at 8:10 PM ET, and the Astros are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -158. The money line odds for a Rangers win are at +134, and the over/under line is at 7.5 runs.

Texas will be starting Andrew Heaney, while Hunter Brown is on the mound for the Astros. Houston comes in with a record of 49-44 and are 2nd in the AL West, while the Rangers are 3rd in the division with a record of 44-49.

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Houston Astros Trends and Key Stats

• Over the course of their previous five away games, the Rangers have recorded a 3-2 record, with a 3-2 performance on the runline.
• On the other side, the Astros have gone 3-2 (SU) and 4-1 in their previous five home contests.
• Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Astros have a straight-up record of 8-2, while going 7-3 against the runline.
• Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Rangers have a straight-up record of 5-5 and a 7-3 record vs. the runline.

Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers Prediction

Heading into their last game vs. the Angels, the Rangers closed out the series with a 7-2 loss. Texas was actually the slight favorite on the money line going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Angels scored four times in the second.

Offensively, the Rangers only had two fewer hits than the Angels but scored just two runs. Both of their runs came in the 5th inning. Leody Taveras hit a solo homer, and Jonah Heim had an RBI single. The Rangers also wasted a big game from Leody Taveras, who went 1/4 with a homer.

Texas is seven games below .500 heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Astros. The Rangers are 3rd in the AL West and trail the Mariners by seven games. So far, they are 11-15 in divisional games. The Rangers have an overall series record of 13-15-1 this year, and they have won two straight series.

At home, the Rangers are 24-21 compared to 20-28 on the road. Texas’ win over the Angels on Sunday came as the underdog, and they have won three straight as the underdog. As the underdog overall, the Rangers are 17-26 and 27-23 when favored.

When the Rangers win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.2 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.6 runs per game. That’s why they are just 43-50 against the run line overall, despite an average run margin of +0.1 runs per game. They have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 24-19, compared to 19-31 as the favorite. They are also just 21-27 against the run line on the road, compared to 22-23 at home.

With a combined run average of 8.6 runs per game, the Texas Rangers are in Houston to take on the Astros in a game with an over/under line of 7.5 runs. The Rangers have an over/under record of 37-52 on the season, and their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs. When the line has been set at 7.5 runs, the over/under record is 5-6. This season, 83.9% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, with only 4 games having lower lines.

Left-hander Andrew Heaney gets the start for the Rangers today as he faces the Astros on the road. He has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 3-9 with a 3.80 ERA. Heaney’s WHIP for the season is 1.24. In his last outing, Heaney finished with a no-decision, going 5 1/3 innings and not giving up a run against the Rays. Before that, he had given up two earned runs in three straight outings. Heaney has allowed at least one homer in four straight starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 9.2 strikeouts and 2.4 walks.

Adolis Garcia and Corey Seager are tied for the team lead in home runs, with both players having gone deep 17 times so far this season. Seager is batting .269 for the season and has been hot of late, going 11/32 in his last eight games. Garcia is just batting .215 overall but does have three homers in his last 10 games. Marcus Semien is also looking to break out of his season-long slump, as he is batting just .235.

Over their last 10 games, Wyatt Langford and Nathaniel Lowe have both gone deep twice, with Langford batting .368 and Lowe hitting .316. Lowe is also 12/38 in this stretch, while Langford is 14/38. Derek Hill is also on a three-game hitting streak and is batting .273 over his last six games.

Houston closed out their series vs. the Marlins with a 6-3 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -181. Offensively, the Astros scored their six runs on just five hits and didn’t hit a home run.

Jake Bloss got the start for the Astros, going four innings and giving up two earned runs on four hits. He only had four strikeouts in the outing and took the win. Tayler Scott and Josh Hader closed things out, with Hader picking up the save.

Houston is hosting the Rangers today with an overall record of 49-44, which has them 2nd in the AL West. Currently, they trail the Mariners by two games and are 15-12 in the division. The Astros have won three straight games, and they closed out their series vs. the Marlins with a win.

At home, the Astros are 27-19 compared to 22-25 on the road. As the favorite, the Astros are 37-32 this year and 12-12 as the underdog. Houston has won nine straight games at home as the favorite. So far, their overall series record is 16-12-1.

When the Astros are the favorite, they have not been a good bet against the run line, going 33-36. They have been a good bet as the underdog, going 15-9. Their overall run line record is 48-45, and their average run margin is +0.5 runs per game.

When the Houston Astros play at home, the over/under line is usually set high, with 81.7% of their games having higher lines than today’s 7.5. The combined run average in their games is 9.1, and their over/under record is 37-52. When the line is set at 7.5, their over/under record is 6-8. The over has hit in their last two games.

Hunter Brown will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Twins, as he gave up seven earned runs in six innings of work. In that outing, he gave up six hits and issued one walk. Before that start, Brown had picked up the win in three straight outings. His ERA for the season is 4.48, along with a record of 6-6. Brown’s WHIP for the season is 1.39. Opposing batters are hitting .247 off Brown this season. Out of his 17 starts, Brown has nine quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 9.75 strikeouts and 3.51 walks.

So far this season, the Astros are the top-hitting team in the league, averaging 4.8 runs per game, and are also the league’s top home run-hitting team. They have been especially good at home, averaging 5.2 runs per game. Not only are they the top home run-hitting team in the league, but they also have the best team batting average in the league. Houston’s offense has been really good at putting the ball in play, as they have the fewest strikeouts in the league.

Jose Altuve and Yordan Alvarez are both near the top of the league in home runs, and Alvarez’s 51 RBIs is the best mark on the team. Over his last eight games, Alex Bregman is hitting .323 with two homers, and Yainer Diaz has gone 13/34 in that stretch.

Our prediction for today’s Rangers vs. Astros game is that the Astros will pick up a 5-4 win at home. With the money line payout sitting at -158, this is the bet we recommend making.

Looking at some potential player props, we have Andrew Heaney finishing with six strikeouts, while Hunter Brown is projected to finish with five. As for the Astros hitters, we have them finishing with nine hits, and the Rangers with eight.

Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers Betting Tips

• Take the Astros on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Rangers (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Houston Astros Injury Report

Texas Rangers Injury Report