Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Preview
At 8:10 PM ET, the Mariners and Astros will face off in an AL West matchup. Tuesday’s matchup is taking place at Minute Maid Park in Houston, and the Astros are the betting favorite, with their money line odds sitting at -135. The money line odds for a Mariners win are currently at +115. The over/under line is at 7 runs.
Logan Gilbert will start for the Mariners, and he is facing off against Framber Valdez for the Astros. Seattle is 81-76 this season, while the Astros are 85-72. Houston is currently on a two-game losing streak, while the Mariners are 2nd in the AL West.
Check out BetCoco for Houston Astros – Seattle Mariners odds
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Mariners have recorded a 4-1 record, with a 4-1 performance on the runline.
- The Astros, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 3-2 (SU) and 3-2 record.
- Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Astros have won 7-3 straight-up, and have a 7-3 record vs. the runline.
- Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the Mariners have a 4-6 straight-up record and a 6-4 record vs. the runline.
Seattle cruised to a 6-1 win over the Astros in the most recent game of this series. The Mariners had a huge 8th inning, scoring two runs in the 7th and adding four more in the 8th. As for the Astros, they scored their only run in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Mariners were the slight underdogs at +110.
Julio Rodriguez was the Mariners’ top hitter, going 3/5 with an RBI. Victor Robles, Randy Arozarena, and Cal Raleigh each had two hits and an RBI. Jason Heyward was the only Astros hitter to have more than one hit, going 1/3 with a home run.
Bryce Miller pitched well for the Mariners in this one, going seven innings and striking out five without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Hunter Brown took the loss for the Astros, going six innings and giving up one earned run.
Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction
Seattle is 81-76 overall and 2nd in the AL West, trailing the Astros by four games. The Mariners are 28-19 against other teams in the AL West. So far, they have taken the first game of this series vs. the Astros. This came after taking two of three in their series vs. the Angels.
As the road team, the Mariners are 35-44 this year compared to 46-32 at home. Seattle has won two straight games as the underdog, and they are 23-28 as the underdog overall. They are 58-48 when favored this year and have an overall series record of 21-24-4.
Seattle has been a good run line bet on the road this season, going 35-44. The Mariners have an average run margin of 0.2 on the road, and they have covered the run line in three straight games as the underdog. Overall, Seattle is 68-89 against the run line this season.
The Mariners are on the road against the Astros today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7 runs. The combined run average for Seattle’s games this season is 7.9 runs, and their over/under record is 74-74. When the over/under line is set at 7 runs, the Mariners have gone 17-20-7. Overall, 63.7% of their games this season have had over/under lines set higher than 7 runs.
Right-hander Logan Gilbert gets the start for the Mariners today as he faces the Astros on the road. He has made 31 starts this year and has a record of 8-11 with a 3.24 ERA. Gilbert’s WHIP for the season is currently 0.90. In his 31 appearances, he has turned in 22 quality starts and is coming off a performance in which he gave up just two earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Gilbert finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Gilbert has allowed a total of 23 home runs this season.
Julio Rodríguez has been on fire over his last eight games, going 16/39 with three homers and 12 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .275 with 19 homers and 65 RBIs. Luke Raley and Cal Raleigh are also near the top of the team’s home run leaderboard, with Raley having 21 homers and Raleigh leading the Mariners with 31 long balls.
As a team, the Mariners are averaging just 4.1 runs per game, and they have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.7 runs per contest. Overall, they are 22nd in batting average and have the most strikeouts in the league. However, they do walk a lot and are 10th in the league in home runs.
The Astros are 85-72 this season, putting them four games ahead of the Mariners for the AL West lead. Houston has dropped two straight games, with the most recent coming in the first game of this series vs. the Mariners. So far, they have gone 28-22 against other teams in the AL West.
At home, the Astros are 45-34 this season and 40-38 on the road. As the favorite, the Astros are 66-51 this season and 19-21 as the underdog. So far, they have an overall series record of 27-20-2.
When the Astros are at home, they are 38-41 on the run line, with an average run margin of +1.0. They are 26-14 on the run line as the underdog and 55-62 as the favorite. Their average run margin in all games is +0.6.
When the Astros play at home, the over/under line is usually set higher than 7 runs. In fact, in 96.2% of their games this season, the over/under line has been set higher than 7 runs. Their games have averaged a combined 8.7 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 64-88. When the line is set at 7 runs, their over/under record is 1-4.
Framber Valdez gets the start for the Astros today vs. the Mariners and comes into the game with a record of 14-7 and an ERA of 2.85. Valdez has made 27 starts this year and has a WHIP of 1.08. Opposing batters are hitting .214 off Valdez this year, and he has one complete game and 17 quality starts. In his last outing, Valdez took the loss, going seven innings and giving up one earned run on six hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Valdez has made 14 starts at home, going 8-2 with a 2.85 ERA.
Yordan Alvarez has been a key power bat for the Astros this season, as his 35 home runs are the best mark on the team and 7th in the league. He is also leading the team with 86 RBIs. Alvarez comes into the game with a good on-base percentage of .392 and is batting .308 for the season. Alex Bregman has also been swinging the bat well of late, going 6/20 in his last five games with two homers and six RBIs.
As a team, the Astros are 10th in the league in scoring at 4.6 runs per game. They are even better at home, averaging 4.9 runs per game. Overall, they are the 3rd best hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .262.
Our pick for this Mariners vs. Astros matchup is to take the Astros on the money line at -135. We see this one finishing with a score of 6-5 in favor of the Astros, making the over also a good pick if you prefer the over/under.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Framber Valdez finishing with six strikeouts compared to Logan Gilbert with five. Valdez is also projected to pick up the win, and with the Astros having the best projected home run total in the league today, they are a good stack option in DFS.
Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Betting Tips
- Take the Astros on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Mariners (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Houston Astros Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Kendall Graveman | Out | Shoulder |
| Lance McCullers Jr. | Out | Forearm |
| Ben Gamel | Out | Leg |
| Yordan Alvarez | Out | Knee |
| Cristian Javier | Out | Elbow |
| Tayler Scott | Out | Spine |
| Luis Garcia | Out | Elbow |
| Chas McCormick | Out | Hand |
| Bennett Sousa | Out | Shoulder |
| José Urquidy | Out | Elbow |
| Penn Murfee | Out | Elbow |
| Oliver Ortega | Out | Elbow |
| Spencer Arrighetti | Questionable | Calf |
| J.P. France | Out | Undisclosed |
Seattle Mariners Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Yimi García | Out | Elbow |
| Luis Castillo | Out | Hamstring |
| Sam Haggerty | Out | Achilles |
| Jackson Kowar | Out | Elbow |
| Matt Brash | Out | Elbow |
