Houston Astros vs Oakland Athletics Preview
From Minute Maid Park in Houston, we have an AL West matchup between the Athletics and Astros. The game is getting started at 8:10 PM ET, and NSPCA is carrying it on TV. The Astros are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -185, while the Athletics are at +155.
Overall, the Athletics are 62-82, while the Astros are leading the AL West with a record of 77-66. Houston is currently on a two-game losing streak. Tuesday’s forecast in Houston calls for partly cloudy skies and temperatures in the low 90s. Osvaldo Bido is starting for the Athletics, and he is facing off against Spencer Arrighetti.
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Houston Astros vs. Oakland Athletics Trends and Key Stats
- The Athletics are 2-3 across their last five road games. They have gone 4-1 vs. the runline.
- On the other side, the Astros have gone 1-4 (SU) and 1-4 in their previous five home contests.
- In their last ten games as the favorite, the Astros have a record of 6-4 straight-up, and have gone 5-5 against the runline.
- Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the Athletics have a 4-6 straight-up record and a 6-4 record vs. the runline.
Houston Astros vs Oakland Athletics Prediction
The Athletics will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Tigers with a 9-1 loss. Oakland was actually the slight favorite at -114 on the money line going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Tigers scored six times in the 4th.
Offensively, the Athletics only had one fewer hit than the Tigers but scored just one run. Zack Gelof had a good day at the plate, going 2/3 with a run scored. However, the rest of the Athletics lineup really struggled, as they only had one other hit.
The Athletics come into today’s road matchup vs. the Astros two games below .500 at 62-82. They are also 15.5 games behind the Astros in the AL West, and their overall record includes a mark of 19-24 in AL West games. Oakland has dropped two straight games, losing the final two games of their series vs. the Tigers.
At home, the Athletics are 36-39 compared to 26-43 on the road. As the road underdog, the Athletics are 26-43 this season, and they are 11-5 when favored. So far, the Athletics’ overall series record is 17-23-5.
The Athletics are 38-31 on the run line on the road this season. Their average run margin on the road is -0.8, and their overall run line record is 79-65. They have covered the run line in two straight games as an underdog and are 73-55 on the run line as an underdog this season.
The Oakland Athletics are on the road against the Houston Astros today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Athletics games this season is 8.8 runs, and their over/under record for the season is 67-75. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 16-24. So far this season, 21.5% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs.
Right-hander Osvaldo Bido gets the start for the Athletics today as he faces the Astros on the road. He has made nine starts this year and has a record of 5-3 with an ERA of 3.41. Bido’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.09. In his 16 appearances, he has turned in four quality starts and is averaging 8.95 strikeouts per nine innings. Bido’s last outing came out of the bullpen, where he went two innings and didn’t give up a run. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had gone 5 1/3 innings in three straight starts.
For the season, the Athletics are averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 26th in the MLB. However, they do come into the game with the 5th most home runs in the league. As a team, they are batting just .234, which is 19th in the league, and are also near the bottom of the league in terms of strikeouts.
Brent Rooker comes into the game as the team’s top hitter, with a batting average of .299 to go along with 35 homers and 99 RBIs. He has been even better of late, hitting 9/24 in his last six games, with two homers and six RBIs. Catcher Shea Langeliers is 2nd on the team in RBIs, but he is batting just .223 for the season.
Houston closed out their series vs. the Diamondbacks with a 12-6 loss. Heading into the game, the Astros were the slight favorite at -136 on the money line. Things really got away from the Astros in the 2nd inning, as the Diamondbacks scored three runs in the inning. Houston’s offense scored their only runs in the 4th, going with three runs of their own.
Justin Verlander had a rough outing, giving up eight earned runs on eight hits and issuing three walks. The Astros also wasted a big game from Alex Bregman, who homered in the 4th inning, going 1/4.
Houston is 77-66 overall this year and leads the AL West by 4.5 games over the Mariners. The Astros will host the Athletics today with an overall division record of 21-18. They have gone 41-30 at home compared to 36-36 on the road.
The Astros have an overall series record of 24-19-2 this year, and they closed out their series vs. the Diamondbacks with a win. Heading into today’s game, the Astros have gone 6-4 over their last 10.
When the Astros win, they do so by an average of 3.8 runs per game, which is why they are 48-58 against the run line as the favorite. Their overall run line record is 73-70, and they are 25-12 vs. the run line as the underdog. Their run line record at home is 34-37, and their run line record on the road is 39-33. Their average run margin for the season is +0.6 runs per game, with a scoring margin of +1.1 runs per game at home and +0.2 runs per game on the road. In their losses, they are -3.1 runs per game.
The Houston Astros are playing at home against the Oakland Athletics today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly lower than the combined run average of 8.6 runs per game for these two teams. The Astros have played 42 games this season with higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs, and their over/under record for the season is 58-80. Their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 18-26, and they are currently on a three-game over streak.
Right-hander Spencer Arrighetti gets the start for the Astros today as he faces the Athletics at home. Arrighetti has made 25 starts this season and has a record of 7-12 with a 4.82 ERA. His WHIP for the season is currently 1.43. In his last outing, Arrighetti only went two-thirds of an inning, giving up three earned runs, five hits, and one homer. He took the loss in that outing. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One of those wins came on the road, where his ERA is 8.51 compared to 7.37 at home.
Jose Altuve has been on fire of late, going 10/20 in his last five games, including a home run and three RBIs. For the season, Altuve is batting .301 and is 3rd on the Astros with 60 RBIs. Yordan Alvarez comes into the game with a team-leading 32 homers and is 2nd on the team with 80 RBIs. He is also batting a strong .311 for the season.
As a team, the Astros are averaging 4.6 runs per game and are 3rd in the league in batting average. Overall, they are 8th in home runs and have the league’s 7th best on-base percentage. Houston’s offense has been good at home this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game.
Our prediction for the Astros vs. Athletics matchup is to take the over, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs. We actually have the Astros winning this game 6-5, meaning you could also look to take the Astros on the money line, but at -185, we think there is more value with the over.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Spencer Arrighetti finishing with eight strikeouts compared to Osvaldo Bido with six. However, we have Arrighetti finishing with a better chance to pick up the win, as he is our second-best starter in terms of win probability.
Houston Astros vs Oakland Athletics Betting Tips
- Take the Astros on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Athletics (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Houston Astros Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Kendall Graveman | Out | Shoulder |
| Lance McCullers Jr. | Out | Forearm |
| Mauricio Dubón | Probable | Thumb |
| Cristian Javier | Out | Elbow |
| Luis Garcia | Out | Elbow |
| Bennett Sousa | Out | Shoulder |
| José Urquidy | Out | Elbow |
| Penn Murfee | Out | Elbow |
| Oliver Ortega | Out | Elbow |
| J.P. France | Out | Undisclosed |
Oakland Athletics Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Wood | Out | Shoulder |
| Trevor Gott | Out | Elbow |
| Miguel Andujar | Out | Abdomen |
| Michael Kelly | Out | Suspension |
| Austin Adams | Out | Elbow/Forearm |
| Esteury Ruiz | Out | Wrist |
| Luis Medina | Out | Elbow |
| Tyler Soderstrom | Out | Wrist |
| Ken Waldichuk | Out | Arm |
