Houston Astros vs Minnesota Twins Preview
At 1:05 PM ET, the Twins and Astros square off in an AL matchup. This one is being played at Minute Maid Park in Houston, and the Astros are the betting favorite, with their money line odds sitting at -140. The Twins have a record of 32-26, while the Astros are 26-33, and both teams are 3rd in their respective divisions.
Today’s over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the Twins are starting Simeon Woods Richardson, while Hunter Brown goes for the Astros. In the last meeting between these two teams, the Astros came out on top by a score of 15-2.
Check out BetCoco for Houston Astros – Minnesota Twins odds
Houston Astros Trends and Key Stats
- The Twins are 3-2 across their last five road games. They have gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
- On the other side, the Astros have gone 2-3 (SU) and 2-3 in their previous five home contests.
- As the favorite, the Astros are 5-5 over their last ten games, including going 4-6 vs. the runline.
- The Twins have a 5-5 straight-up record and a 6-4 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.
Houston picked up a 5-2 win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. The Astros had a two-run lead after the first inning and added three more runs in the 5th. As for the Twins, they scored their only two runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Astros were favored at -123 on the money line.
Framber Valdez pitched well for the Astros in this one, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He picked up a win in the game, while Josh Hader closed things out. Joe Ryan had a rough outing for the Twins, taking the loss.
The Astros offense was led by Yordan Alvarez, who homered twice and went 3/3 at the plate. He scored two runs and drove in three. Kyle Tucker also had a home run for Houston. As for the Twins, Alex Kirilloff hit a home run, and Jorge Polanco went 2/4.
Houston Astros vs Minnesota Twins Prediction
Minnesota is 32-26 overall and trails the Guardians by seven games in the AL Central. So far, they have gone 15-11 in divisional games. The Twins will be on the road today, taking on the Astros and are 16-13 both at home and on the road.
As the favorite, the Twins have gone 25-13 this year and 7-13 as the underdog. Minnesota has an overall series record of 10-6-2 this year and have won three straight series. They are 7-3 across their last 10 games overall.
Minnesota has a run line record of 27-31 on the season, including a mark of 16-13 on the road. The Twins have a run line record of 17-21 as the favorite and 10-10 as the underdog. Their average run margin for the season is +0.1 runs per game.
The Minnesota Twins are on the road today against the Houston Astros, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The Twins have an over/under record of 25-31 on the season, and their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 4-11. This season, only 10.3% of their games have had a higher over/under line than 8.5 runs, and their games have gone under the total in two straight contests.
Right-hander Simeon Woods Richardson is starting for the Twins today as he faces the Astros on the road. He has made eight starts this year and has a record of 2-0 with a 2.70 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .232 this year off Woods Richardson, and he has a WHIP of 1.10. Woods Richardson’s last outing came on May 28th, where he picked up the win, going five innings and giving up two earned runs. He has not given up more than two earned runs in any of his last three outings.
Carlos Correa and Trevor Larnach are both on three-game hitting streaks for the Twins. Correa has gone 8/35 in his last nine games, while Larnach is 4/16 in his last five. Over his last six games, Alex Kirilloff is 5/15 with two homers. For the season, Ryan Jeffers is batting .250 with a team-high 12 homers and 36 RBIs.
As a team, the Twins are averaging 4.4 runs per game and have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. They are 10th in the league in home runs and have the 4th best isolated power mark in the MLB. So far, they are batting a collective .231, which is 19th in the league.
Houston is 26-33 overall and trails the Mariners by 6.5 games in the AL West. So far, they are 13-11 in divisional games. The Astros are 15-16 at home compared to an 11-17 mark on the road.
The Astros have gone 20-26 as the favorite this year and are 6-7 as the underdog. In their current series vs. the Twins, the Astros and Twins are tied 1-1. Houston’s overall series record is 8-9-1 this year. Looking at their recent games, the Astros are 4-6 over their last 10.
The Astros have been a solid run line bet this season, going 24-35 overall. They have been slightly better at home, going 13-18, compared to 11-17 on the road. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 7-6, than as the favorite, where they are just 17-29. Their average run margin in winning games is +4.2, while it is -3.5 in losses.
When the Houston Astros play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, which is lower than their season average of 9 runs per game. The over/under record for the Astros this season is 21-35, and their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game. Their current under streak is at 8 games.
Hunter Brown is hoping to build off his last outing, where he faced the Mariners and gave up just one earned run in six innings of work. In that outing, he allowed four hits and didn’t give up a homer. Brown finished with a no-decision in the outing. Looking back over his last three outings, he has finished with a no-decision in each one. Brown has made 10 starts this year and has a record of 1-5 with a 6.38 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .274 off Brown this year. The right-hander’s ERA on the road is 29.31 compared to 4.58 at home.
Heading into today’s game, the Astros are 2nd in the league in batting average at .259, and they are also near the top of the league in home runs. As a team, they are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. At home, they have been better, averaging 4.8 runs per game.
Over the past seven games, Alex Bregman has been swinging a hot bat for the Astros, going 10/28 with three homers. This has helped him move into the team’s home run lead. Jose Altuve is also on a seven-game hitting streak and is batting .292 for the season.
Our prediction for this Twins vs. Astros matchup is that the Astros will pick up a 6-5 win at home. With the money line sitting at -140, we see this as a good payout for a team that we have winning 55% of the time.
Looking at some of the starting pitcher’s projections, Hunter Brown is projected to finish with five strikeouts compared to Simeon Woods Richardson at four. Brown is also projected to give up fewer earned runs than Richardson, and overall, we have Brown as the 12th best starter to pick up a win compared to Richardson at 15th.
Houston Astros vs Minnesota Twins Betting Tips
- Take the Astros on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Twins (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Houston Astros Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Kendall Graveman | Out | Shoulder |
| Lance McCullers Jr. | Out | Forearm |
| Cristian Javier | Out | Forearm |
| Luis Garcia | Out | Elbow |
| Bennett Sousa | Out | Shoulder |
| José Urquidy | Out | Forearm |
| Penn Murfee | Out | Elbow |
| Oliver Ortega | Out | Elbow |
Minnesota Twins Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony DeSclafani | Out | Elbow |
| Zack Weiss | Out | Shoulder |
| Brock Stewart | Out | Shoulder |
| Royce Lewis | Out | Quadricep |
| Justin Topa | Out | Knee |
| Daniel Duarte | Out | Elbow |
