Houston Astros vs Minnesota Twins Prediction & Betting Tips 5/31/2024

Houston Astros vs Minnesota Twins Preview

Friday’s matchup between the Twins and Astros is set for 8:10 PM ET from Minute Maid Park in Houston, TX. Minnesota is 31-25 and they are starting Pablo Lopez. The Astros are 25-32 and will send Ronel Blanco to the mound. On the money line, the Astros are the slight favorite at -114.

The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and this game will be televised on MLBN. Ronel Blanco is starting for the Astros, while the Twins are going with Pablo Lopez. Minnesota is 3rd in the AL Central, while the Astros are 3rd in the AL West.

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Houston Astros Trends and Key Stats

• The Twins are 2-3 in their five most recent road games, including a 1-4 runline record.
• In the Astros’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 2-3 (SU) with 2-3 against the spread.
• In the past ten games, when playing as the favorite, the Twins have a record of 6-4, while as the underdog, they have a record of 5-5.
• The Astros hold a 4-6 record as the favorite and a 4-6 record as the underdog.

Houston Astros vs Minnesota Twins Prediction

The Twins’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Royals, closing out their series with a 7-6 win. After allowing two runs to the Royals in the top of the first, the Twins responded with four runs of their own. Minnesota went on to add another three runs in the 4th inning.

Chris Paddack got the start for the Twins, going 5 2/3 innings, and picked up the win. He did struggle on the mound, giving up four earned runs on five hits and issuing two walks. Ryan Jeffers came on in the 6th inning and picked up the save. He also homered twice, going 2/3.

Minnesota is on the road today to take on the Astros, and they are six games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. So far, they have gone 15-11 in divisional games, and their overall record is 31-25.

As the Twins have an overall record above .500, they are 25-13 when favored this year compared to 6-12 as the underdog. Minnesota has won two straight on the road, and they are 13-3 as the road favorite this year. The team’s overall series record is 10-6-2, and they have won three straight series.

Minnesota has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 26-30 overall. They have been even better on the road, going 15-12. The Twins’ average run margin for the season is +0.1 runs per game, and they have been better than that in their victories, outscoring opponents by an average of 3.4 runs per game.

The Minnesota Twins are on the road today against the Houston Astros. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The Twins have an over/under record of 25-29 on the season, and their games have averaged a combined 8.8 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 4-7-2. So far this season, 37.5% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs, while 39.3% have had lines set lower.

Pablo López gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Astros on the road. He has made 11 starts this year and has a record of 4-5 with an ERA of 5.25. Looking at his overall numbers, López has a WHIP of 1.17 and opponents are batting .256 this year. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up six earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had lost two straight starts, giving up at least three earned runs in each outing. The right-hander has allowed at least one homer in three straight starts.

So far this season, the Twins are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. They have been a better offense on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .234, which is 18th in the league, and their team on-base percentage of .306 is 15th in the league.

Carlos Santana and Edouard Julien are both tied for 2nd on the team with seven homers, but both are batting under .210 for the season. Ryan Jeffers is hitting .254 and has a team-high 36 RBIs, which is 11th in the league. He is also 6th in the league with 12 homers. Willi Castro comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak and is batting .263 for the year.

Houston closed out their series vs. the Mariners with a 4-0 win on the road. Heading into the game, the Astros were the slight favorite at +114 on the money line. It was a big 4th inning for the Astros, as they scored two runs in the inning, and added another two runs in the 5th.

Spencer Arrighetti put together a good start for the Astros, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just three hits and struck out eight Mariners batters. Alex Bregman was hot at the plate, going 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.

Houston will be at home today, hosting the Twins with an overall record of 25-32, which has them 3rd in the AL West. Currently, they trail the Mariners by 5.5 games in the division. The Astros went 13-11 in their 24 division games so far this year.

The Astros lost three of four in their series vs. the Mariners, and they are 4-6 across their last ten games. So far, they are 14-15 at home compared to an 11-17 mark on the road. As the favorite, the Astros are 19-25 and 6-7 as the underdog. Houston’s overall series record is 8-9-1 this year.

When the Astros win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.2 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.4 runs per game. Overall, they have a run differential of -0.1 runs per game, and their run line record is 23-34. They are 12-17 against the run line at home and 11-17 on the road. As the favorite, they are just 16-28 against the run line, but as the underdog, they are 7-6.

When the Astros play at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs, which is lower than their season average of 8.9 runs per game. Overall, Houston has gone over the total in 21 of their 33 games this season, with the average line being set at 9 runs. When the line has been set at 8 runs, the Astros have gone over once, under once, and pushed once. Lately, Houston games have trended towards the under, as they have gone under the total in their last six games.

Ronel Blanco gets the start for the Astros today and is facing the Twins at home. So far, he has made nine starts and has a record of 5-0. Blanco’s ERA is an impressive 1.99, and he has a WHIP of 1.01. In his 54 1/3 innings of work, Blanco has one complete game shutout and six quality starts. Looking back at his most recent outing, Blanco picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run on six hits. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings.

As a team, the Astros are batting .259 this season, which is the best mark in the league. They also have the fewest strikeouts in the league and are near the top of the league in slugging percentage and on-base percentage. Houston is averaging 4.4 runs per game and has been even better at home, where they are 7th in the league at 4.9 runs per game.

Yordan Alvarez and Kyle Tucker have been two of the Astros’ top power threats this season, with both players having nine home runs. Tucker is also the team’s leading run producer, with 39 RBIs. However, both players have struggled at the plate of late, with Tucker hitting just .152 over his last nine games and Alvarez batting .343 in that stretch.

Our prediction for this Twins vs. Astros matchup is to take the Astros on the money line at -114. We have the Astros winning this one by a final score of 5-4. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also look to take the over, as the line is sitting at 8 runs, and we have this game going over.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Ronel Blanco finishing with five strikeouts compared to Pablo Lopez, who we have finishing with five as well. Blanco is projected to go just four innings, while Lopez should make it through six.

Houston Astros vs Minnesota Twins Betting Tips

• Take the Twins on the moneyline
• The Astros should also cover at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Houston Astros Injury Report

Minnesota Twins Injury Report