Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview
From Minute Maid Park in Houston, we have the Dodgers and Astros facing off in an interleague matchup. First pitch for Saturday’s matchup is set for 7:10 PM ET. The Astros are favored on the money line, with the odds sitting at -138, while the Dodgers are at +117.
Los Angeles comes in with a record of 62-43 and they are 1st in the NL West. Houston is currently on a 2 game winning streak and they are 1st in the AL West with a record of 54-49. Justin Wrobleski is starting for the Dodgers, while the Astros are going with Ronel Blanco.
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Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the Dodgers are 1-4. This includes going 1-4 vs. the runline.
- In the Astros’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 2-3 (SU) with 2-3 against the spread.
- Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Astros have a straight-up record of 6-4, while going 6-4 against the runline.
- When playing as the underdog, the Dodgers have won 5-5 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 6-4 against the runline.
Houston cruised to an easy 5-0 win over the Dodgers in the most recent game of this series. The Astros had a huge 4th inning, scoring all five of their runs. As for the Dodgers, they had their best chance to score in the 8th, putting up one run.
Framber Valdez pitched well for the Astros in this one, going 6 1/3 innings and striking out 10 without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Gavin Stone took the loss for Los Angeles. Stone went six innings and gave up four earned runs.
At the plate, Jake Meyers was the star for Houston, going 3/3 with an RBI. Jon Singleton and Alex Bregman each homered for the Astros. For the Dodgers, Shohei Ohtani went 2/3.
Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction
Los Angeles is 62-43 overall this season, and they lead the NL West by 6.5 games over the Padres. The Dodgers will be on the road today, taking on the Astros, and they trail in the series 0-1. So far, they have gone 21-16 against other teams in the NL West.
At home, the Dodgers have been good this year, putting together a record of 34-20. On the road, they are 28-23 this season. As the favorite, the Dodgers are 59-35 and just 3-8 as the underdog. Los Angeles’ overall series record is 20-14-1 this year, and they have won two straight series.
The Dodgers have a run line record of 51-54, including 26-25 on the road. Their average run margin is +0.9 runs per game, and they have a run line record of 25-29 at home. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.7 runs per game, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.3 runs per game. As the favorite, they are 47-47 against the run line, while as the underdog, they are 4-7.
Los Angeles is on the road in Houston today, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Dodgers have played to a combined average of 9.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 54-51. When the line has been set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over 24 times and under 17 times. Overall, 30.5% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs.
Justin Wrobleski is getting the start for the Dodgers on the road against the Astros. He has started three games this season and has yet to pick up a win, but has been solid. He went 5 innings in his last start, allowing 3 earned runs and struck out 4. In his first start of the year, he went 4 1/3 innings and gave up 3 hits.
Shohei Ohtani has been one of the best hitters in the league this season, coming in with a batting average of .315, 31 home runs (2nd in the MLB), and 74 RBIs (4th in the league). Ohtani has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 6/19 in his last five games with a home run and four RBIs. Teoscar Hernandez has also been a big power threat for the Dodgers, as he has 21 homers this season, which is 10th best in the league.
As a team, the Dodgers have the league’s top on-base percentage and OPS, while also ranking 4th in team batting average and 3rd in home runs. Overall, they are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 4th best in the league.
The Astros are 54-49 overall this season, putting them 1st in the AL West. They lead the Mariners by a single game for the top spot in the division. Houston has won two straight games, and they took the first game of this series vs. the Dodgers.
So far, the Astros have gone 19-17 in divisional games. At home, they are 29-21 and 25-28 on the road. As the favorite, the Astros are 40-35 this year and 14-14 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 18-14-1.
When betting the run line on the Astros, it’s been a good idea to take them as the underdog, as they are 18-10 against the run line in those games. They are also 27-23 at home against the run line, and their average run margin in winning games is 4.0 runs.
The Houston Astros are playing at home against the Los Angeles Dodgers today, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Astros games this season is 8.9 runs, and their over/under record is 41-58. The average over/under line for their games is 9 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 12-18. So far this season, 34 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, accounting for 33.0% of their games.
Ronel Blanco is looking to bounce back from a rough outing, as he gets the start for the Astros today vs. the Dodgers. In his most recent outing, Blanco took the loss, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up four earned runs to the Mariners. Looking back over his last three starts, Blanco has given up at least two earned runs in each outing. Blanco’s ERA for the season is 2.75, along with a record of 9-5. Opponents are batting .174 off Blanco this season. He has one complete game shutout and 11 quality starts this year.
Heading into today’s game, the Astros are the top-hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .262. They are also one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams and have the 3rd best slugging percentage in the league. As a team, they are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. At home, they have been even better, averaging 5.1 runs per game.
Jose Altuve has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 13/41 in his last 10 games, with one home run and five RBIs. Yordan Alvarez and Yainer Diaz are the team’s top home run hitters, with 20 and 14 homers, respectively. Alvarez’s 54 RBIs are the best mark on the team, while Diaz is also tied with Alvarez for the team lead in RBIs.
Our prediction for this Dodgers vs. Astros matchup is to take the Astros on the money line at -138. We actually have the Astros winning this one by a score of 5-4, which would give you a chance to take the over, as the line is sitting at 8.5 runs.
Looking at some potential player props, we have Justin Wrobleski finishing with just four strikeouts, which is the eighth lowest among today’s starters. As for Ronel Blanco, he is projected to finish with five K’s, which is right in the middle of today’s starters.
Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Tips
- Take the Astros on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Dodgers (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Houston Astros Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Verlander | Out | Neck |
| Kendall Graveman | Out | Shoulder |
| Lance McCullers Jr. | Out | Forearm |
| Kyle Tucker | Out | Shin |
| Cristian Javier | Out | Elbow |
| Luis Garcia | Out | Elbow |
| Bennett Sousa | Out | Shoulder |
| José Urquidy | Out | Elbow |
| Penn Murfee | Out | Elbow |
| Oliver Ortega | Out | Elbow |
Los Angeles Dodgers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Freddie Freeman | Out | Personal |
| Mookie Betts | Out | Hand |
| Ryan Brasier | Out | Calf |
| Miguel Rojas | Out | Forearm |
| Chris Taylor | Out | Groin |
| Max Muncy | Out | Oblique |
| Walker Buehler | Out | Hip |
| Dustin May | Out | Elbow |
| Brusdar Graterol | Out | Shoulder |
| Tony Gonsolin | Out | Arm |
| Michael Grove | Out | Lat |
| Connor Brogdon | Out | Foot |
| Emmet Sheehan | Out | Elbow |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | Out | Rotator Cuff |
