Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Angels Preview
From Minute Maid Park in Houston, we have the Angels and Astros facing off in an AL West matchup. This one gets started at 2:10 PM ET and is being televised on BSW. The Astros are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -275, while the Angels are +228.
Los Angeles comes in with a record of 62-93 and they will be looking to snap a three-game losing streak. Starting for the Angels is Griffin Canning, while the Astros are going with Spencer Arrighetti. Houston is 85-70 overall and they are 1st in the AL West.
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Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the Angels are 0-5. This includes going 0-5 vs. the runline.
- The Astros, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 3-2 (SU) and 3-2 record.
- In their last ten games as the favorite, the Astros have a record of 7-3 straight-up, and have gone 7-3 against the runline.
- The Angels have a 1-9 straight-up record and a 1-9 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.
Houston cruised to a 10-4 win over the Angels in the most recent game of this series. The Astros had a huge 3rd inning, scoring four of their ten runs. As for the Angels, they scored their only two runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Astros were favored at -237 on the money line.
Ronel Blanco got the win for the Astros, going six innings and giving up two earned runs. Reid Detmers had a rough outing for the Angels, taking the loss after going just two innings and giving up seven earned runs.
Kyle Tucker and Yordan Alvarez each homered for the Astros, while Logan O’Hoppe went deep for the Angels. Tucker, Alvarez, Victor Caratini, Mauricio Dubon, Jeremy Pena, and Jake Meyers each had two RBIs for Houston’s offense.
Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Angels Prediction
With an overall record of 62-93, the Angels are 5th in the AL West and trail the Astros by 23 games. Currently, they trail the Athletics by five games for the 4th spot in the division. The Angels have dropped three straight games, and they are 2-8 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Angels are 32-46 this season and just under .500 at 30-47 on the road. So far, they have really struggled as the underdog, going 54-77, and they are just 8-16 when favored. Los Angeles’ overall series record is 13-32-3, and they are down 0-3 in this series vs. the Astros.
Despite a run line record of 76-79, the Angels have been a better bet on the road, going 38-39. They have failed to cover the run line in five straight road games and are just 6-18 as the favorite. However, they are 70-61 against the run line as the underdog.
Los Angeles is on the road against the Houston Astros today, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Angels’ games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 74-75. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 30-28. Overall, 51 of their games have had higher lines than 8.5 runs, which accounts for 32.9% of their games. Their over streak is at 2 games.
Griffin Canning will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up an earned run and picked up the win. In that outing vs. the White Sox, he went six innings. Overall, Canning has made 29 starts and has a record of 6-13. His ERA for the season is 5.16, along with a WHIP of 1.39. Opposing batters have a batting average of .259 vs. Canning this year. The right-hander has made 14 starts on the road and is 0-10 with a 6.5 ERA. At home, he is 6-3 with a 4.8 ERA.
Over the past 10 games, Taylor Ward has hit three home runs and driven in five runs while going 10/38 (.263). Zach Neto and Ward come into the game tied for the team lead in RBIs, with 71, and Ward is also the team’s leader in home runs. Ward and Nolan Schanuel are both on good hitting streaks, with Ward at five games and Schanuel at 12.
As a team, the Angels are batting just .229 this season and are 27th in the league in runs scored at 3.9 runs per game. Their team slugging percentage of .371 is 23rd in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage and OPS.
The Astros are currently 85-70 overall and lead the AL West by five games over the Mariners. They have taken three straight games heading into today’s matchup vs. the Angels. So far, they have gone 28-20 in divisional games.
At home, the Astros are 45-32 this season and have gone 40-38 on the road. Houston has won seven straight games as the favorite, and they are 66-49 overall as the favorite this year. As the underdog, the Astros are 19-21 this season.
The Astros have been a solid run line bet this season, going 81-74 overall. They are 38-39 against the run line at home and 43-35 on the road. Houston has covered the run line in four straight games and in seven of their last eight games as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.7, while it is -3.1 in losing games.
When the Houston Astros are at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. Their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 63-87. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 19-29. The over has hit in two straight games for the Astros.
Spencer Arrighetti will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Padres, as he gets the start for the Astros today. In that September 16th start, he took the loss, going five innings and giving up two earned runs. Arrighetti gave up a homer in that outing. Looking back over his last four starts, he has allowed at least one homer in three of them. The right-hander has a record of 7-13 this season and an ERA of 4.68. Arrighetti’s WHIP for the season is 1.43. Per nine innings, he is averaging 4.08 walks compared to 10.6 strikeouts.
Yordan Alvarez has been the Astros’ top power threat this season, as his 35 homers lead the team and are 8th in the league. He also has the top spot on the team in RBIs, with 86. However, Alvarez has struggled a bit at the plate of late, hitting just .205 over his last 10 games. On the other hand, Kyle Tucker has been on fire, going 15/31 in his last nine games with three homers.
For the season, the Astros are averaging 4.6 runs per game and are the league’s 3rd best hitting team, with a combined batting average of .263. As a team, they are 5th in home runs and 8th in slugging percentage. Houston’s offense has been even better at home, averaging 4.9 runs per game.
Our recommended bet for this Angels vs. Astros matchup is to take the over, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs. We have the Astros winning this game 5-4, giving us plenty of cushion on the over/under line.
If you’re looking for a money line pick, the payout for a Astros win is -275, which is a bit lower than we would like. Looking at the starting pitchers, Spencer Arrighetti is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which could be a good spot to look at his strikeout line.
Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Angels Betting Tips
- Take the Astros on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Angels (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Houston Astros Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Kendall Graveman | Out | Shoulder |
| Lance McCullers Jr. | Out | Forearm |
| Ben Gamel | Out | Leg |
| Cristian Javier | Out | Elbow |
| Tayler Scott | Out | Spine |
| Luis Garcia | Out | Elbow |
| Chas McCormick | Out | Hand |
| Bennett Sousa | Out | Shoulder |
| José Urquidy | Out | Elbow |
| Penn Murfee | Out | Elbow |
| Oliver Ortega | Out | Elbow |
| J.P. France | Out | Undisclosed |
Los Angeles Angels Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Trout | Out | Knee |
| Matt Moore | Out | Elbow |
| Anthony Rendon | Out | Back |
| Robert Stephenson | Out | Elbow |
| Luis Rengifo | Out | Wrist |
| Jo Adell | Out | Oblique |
| José Soriano | Out | Arm |
| Patrick Sandoval | Out | Arm |
| Jordyn Adams | Questionable | Knee |
| Andrew Wantz | Out | Elbow |
| José Marte | Out | Illness |
| Bryce Teodosio | Out | Finger |
| Ben Joyce | Out | Shoulder |
| Kelvin Caceres | Out | Lat |
| Sam Aldegheri | Out | Finger |
