Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Angels Preview
At 7:10 PM ET, the Angels and Astros face off in an AL West matchup. This one is being played at Minute Maid Park in Houston and has the Astros as heavy favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -244. The money line odds for an Angels win are sitting at +204, and the over/under line is at 8 runs.
Los Angeles comes in with a record of 62-92 and will be looking to snap a two-game losing streak. The Astros are currently 84-70 and are 1st in the AL West.
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Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Trends and Key Stats
- The Angels are 1-4 across their last five road games. They have gone 1-4 vs. the runline.
- On the other side, the Astros have gone 3-2 (SU) and 3-2 in their previous five home contests.
- Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Astros have won 6-4 straight-up, and have a 6-4 record vs. the runline.
- Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the Angels have a 1-9 straight-up record and a 1-9 record vs. the runline.
Houston picked up a 9-7 win over the Angels in the most recent game of this series. The Astros had a huge 3rd inning, scoring five of their nine runs. As for the Angels, they scored three of their seven runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Astros were favored at -251 on the money line.
Justin Verlander got the start for the Astros, going just 4 2/3 innings while giving up six runs and striking out four. Hector Neris got the win out of the bullpen, and Josh Hader got the save. Tyler Anderson had a rough outing for the Angels, taking the loss after going just 2 2/3 innings and giving up three earned runs.
Kyle Tucker and Alex Bregman each homered for the Astros, while Jake Meyers went 1/4 with three RBIs and two runs scored. Yainer Diaz also had a three-hit game at the plate.
Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Angels Prediction
With a record of 62-92, the Angels are 5th in the AL West and trail the Astros by 22 games for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 20-27 in AL West matchups. The Angels have dropped two straight games, and they are 7-3 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Angels are 32-46 compared to 30-46 on the road. This season, the Angels are 8-16 when favored and 54-76 as the underdog. Los Angeles’ overall series record is 13-32-3, and they are losing their current series vs. the Astros.
When betting the run line on the Los Angeles Angels this season, it’s been a mixed bag. They are 76-78 overall, but they are 38-40 at home and 38-38 on the road. The Angels have been favored in 24 games this season and are just 6-18 against the run line in those contests. They are 70-60 against the run line as an underdog. Their average run differential in winning games is +3.1, while it’s -3.6 in losses.
When the Angels are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8 runs. Their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 73-75. The average over/under line for their games this season has been 9 runs. When the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 18-10-2. Overall, 70.8% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, while only 9.7% have had lines set lower than 8 runs.
Left-hander Reid Detmers gets the start for the Angels today as he faces the Astros on the road. He has made 15 starts this year and has a record of 4-7 with a 6.05 ERA. Detmers’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.43. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up seven earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Opponents are batting .248 off Detmers this season, and he has issued 3.81 walks per nine innings compared to 10.53 strikeouts.
So far this season, the Angels offense is averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4 runs per contest. As a team, the Angels are batting just .229, and their on-base percentage of .301 is also near the bottom of the league. Their team slugging percentage of .370 is 25th in the MLB.
Taylor Ward and Zach Neto are the Angels’ top power threats this season, with Ward leading the team with 25 homers and Neto right behind him with 21. Both players are also batting .247. Over his last seven games, Eric Wagaman is batting .355 with two homers, and Taylor Ward has also gone deep twice in this stretch while batting .269.
Houston is 84-70 overall, putting them five games ahead of the Mariners in the AL West. The Astros have taken the first two games of their series vs. the Angels and have gone 7-3 over their last 10 games. At home, the Astros are 44-32 this season and 40-38 on the road.
As the favorite, the Astros are 65-49 this season and 19-21 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Astros are 26-20-2 this year. So far, they have gone 27-20 in divisional matchups.
The Astros have a run line record of 80-74 this season, including a 37-39 mark at home. They have covered the run line in three straight games at Minute Maid Park and are 54-60 against the run line as the favorite.
The Houston Astros are playing at home against the Los Angeles Angels today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs, which is lower than the combined average runs per game for these two teams this season, which is 8.6. The Astros have played 91 games this season with over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, which is 59.1% of their games. When the line has been set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 14-14-2.
Ronel Blanco is looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. In that September 15th outing vs. the Angels, Blanco went 6 innings, giving up just five hits and two walks. Looking at his overall numbers, Blanco has made 27 starts, has a record of 11-6, and his ERA is 2.88. Blanco has one complete game shutout this year and 13 quality starts. For the season, opponents are batting .187 off Blanco. His ERA at home is 3.51 compared to 2.62 on the road.
Yordan Alvarez has been a great run producer for the Astros this season, leading the team with 85 RBIs while also hitting 34 home runs, which is 9th in the league. Alvarez is also batting a strong .301 for the season. Jose Altuve is also having a strong season at the plate, with a batting average of .297 and 19 homers. Alex Bregman is 2nd on the team in home runs (24) but is batting just .255 for the season.
Over his last five games, Alex Bregman has gone 5/21 with a home run and three RBIs. Kyle Tucker has been hot of late, going 7/14 in his last four games, including one home run and two RBIs. Jake Meyers has also homered in his last five games but is just 1/9 in that stretch.
Our prediction for today’s Angels vs. Astros game is to take the over, as we see this one finishing with a 5-4 win for the Astros. With the over/under sitting at 8 runs, there is a little bit of wiggle room, but we see the Astros being able to pick up a win and would recommend taking the over.
Looking at today’s starters, we have Ronel Blanco finishing with six strikeouts compared to Reid Detmers with five. However, we have Blanco going just five innings, which is why we would not recommend taking either pitcher to finish with a win.
Looking at some of today’s player projections, the Astros have a higher projected home run total compared to the Angels, with the Angels finishing with the fifth most strikeouts in the league today.
Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Angels Betting Tips
- Take the Astros on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Angels (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Houston Astros Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Kendall Graveman | Out | Shoulder |
| Lance McCullers Jr. | Out | Forearm |
| Ben Gamel | Out | Leg |
| Cristian Javier | Out | Elbow |
| Luis Garcia | Out | Elbow |
| Chas McCormick | Out | Hand |
| Bennett Sousa | Out | Shoulder |
| José Urquidy | Out | Elbow |
| Penn Murfee | Out | Elbow |
| Oliver Ortega | Out | Elbow |
| J.P. France | Out | Undisclosed |
Los Angeles Angels Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Trout | Out | Knee |
| Matt Moore | Out | Elbow |
| Anthony Rendon | Out | Back |
| Robert Stephenson | Out | Elbow |
| Mickey Moniak | Questionable | Hand |
| Luis Rengifo | Out | Wrist |
| Jo Adell | Out | Oblique |
| José Soriano | Out | Arm |
| Patrick Sandoval | Out | Arm |
| Jordyn Adams | Questionable | Knee |
| Andrew Wantz | Out | Elbow |
| José Marte | Out | Illness |
| Bryce Teodosio | Out | Finger |
| Ben Joyce | Out | Shoulder |
| Kelvin Caceres | Out | Lat |
| Samuel Aldegheri | Out | Finger |
