Houston Astros vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction & Betting Tips 4/30/2024

Houston Astros vs Cleveland Guardians Preview

Carlos Carrasco will start for the Cleveland Guardians on Tuesday night, as they are on the road to take on the Houston Astros and Hunter Brown. This American League matchup is set for 8:10 PM ET from Minute Maid Park in Houston. The Guardians are currently 19-9 this season, while the Astros are just 9-19.

Looking at the money line odds, the Astros are at -146 compared to the Guardians at +122. The over/under line is sitting at 9.5 runs, and you can catch this one on AT&T SportsNet SW.

Check out BetCoco for Houston Astros – Cleveland Guardians odds

Houston Astros Trends and Key Stats

• Across their last five road games, the Guardians are 2-3. This includes going 2-3 vs. the runline.
• The Astros, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 2-3 (SU) and 2-3 record.
• Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Astros have a straight-up record of 4-6, while going 4-6 against the runline.
• Looking at the Guardians’ previous ten games as the underdog they are 5-5 straight-up and 7-3 vs. the runline.

Houston Astros vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction

The Guardians wrapped up their series vs. the Braves with a 4-3 loss on the road. Cleveland was the +136 underdog going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Guardians, as they got on the board with a run in the 3rd inning but gave up the lead right away as the Braves scored in the bottom of the third.

Cleveland started Ben Lively, and he took the loss, going 4 1/3 innings and giving up just one earned run. The Guardians also wasted a big game from Brayan Rocchio, who went 2/3 with a run scored and two RBIs.

Cleveland is 19-9 overall and leads the AL Central by three games over the Tigers. The Guardians will be on the road today vs. the Astros, and they are 4-1 against other teams in the AL Central this year. Cleveland’s series record is 7-2 this year, and they dropped the final game of their series vs. the Braves.

So far, the Guardians have been really good as the road underdog, going 7-3. They are also 8-4 as the underdog overall and 11-5 as the favorite. Cleveland has been really good in day games this year, going 9-3.

The Cleveland Guardians have been a profitable run line team this season, going 19-9 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 11-5 against the run line. Their average run margin is +1.6 runs per game, and they have been a run line underdog in 12 of their 21 games.

The Cleveland Guardians have been trending towards the under, with their last three games all finishing below the over/under line. Their games have averaged 8.6 runs this season, and their over/under record is 15-11. The over/under line for today’s game against the Houston Astros is set at 9.5 runs, which is the highest line they have seen all season. Their games have gone under the line in 96.4% of their games this season.

Carlos Carrasco and the Guardians are on the road to face the Astros. Carrasco has made 2 starts so far this season, and he’s 1-1. His last time out, he took a loss at home to the Red Sox, giving up 5 runs in 5 innings. In his first start of the year, he picked up a win over the Red Sox, going 5 2/3 innings and striking out 5.

Currently, the Guardians are 5th in the league in scoring at 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting a collective .250, which is 7th in the league, and are also near the top of the league in terms of fewest strikeouts per game. So far, they have been a good home run hitting team, but their team isolated power (ISO) of .142 is just 13th in the MLB.

Jose Ramirez has been hot of late for the Guardians, going 9/27 in his last seven games with two homers and seven RBIs. This has pushed his season average to .261 with five homers. Ramirez’s eight-game hitting streak is the longest on the team. Josh Naylor and Steven Kwan are also hitting well for the Guardians, with Naylor’s six homers leading the team and Kwan’s batting average of .339 being the best mark on the squad.

The Astros’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Rockies, closing out their series with an 8-2 win. After scoring two runs in the 1st inning, the Astros added another two runs in the 2nd. Houston went on to add another four runs in the 4th inning.

Framber Valdez got the start for the Astros, going five innings and giving up just two runs on five hits. He only had two strikeouts in the outing and got the win.

Houston will be at home today for their matchup vs. the Guardians. The Astros are 9-19 overall and trail the Mariners by 6.5 games in the AL West. They have won two straight games, with these wins coming in the final two games of their series vs. the Rockies.

The Astros have gone 4-3 in divisional games, and they are 4-6 as the home favorite this year. So far, they are just 4-9 at home compared to 5-10 on the road. This season, the Astros are 2-3 as the underdog.

The Astros have been a poor bet against the run line this season, going 10-18 overall. They are 5-8 against the run line at home and 5-10 on the road. As the favorite, they are just 7-16 against the run line, but they are 3-2 as the underdog. Their average run differential is -0.8 runs per game.

The Houston Astros have had a low-scoring season so far, with their games averaging 9.5 runs per game. Their over/under record is 8-18, and their games have averaged a line of 10 runs per game. When the line has been set at 9.5 runs, the under has hit in four of their five games. Overall, the under has hit in seven straight Astros games, and their games have had an average of 9.5 runs per game.

Hunter Brown is getting the start for the Astros at home against the Cleveland Guardians. Brown has yet to pick up a win this season, as he has taken the loss in each of his first three starts. His last time out, he went six innings, allowing two earned runs on five hits and three strikeouts.

For the season, the Astros are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. However, they have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 4.8 runs per game. Houston comes into the game with the best team batting average in the league at .264, and they also have the fewest strikeouts in the league. The team’s top home run hitters are Kyle Tucker, Yordan Alvarez, and Jose Altuve, who all have seven homers this season.

Over his last eight games, Kyle Tucker has gone 11/30 with two homers and five RBIs. Jeremy Pena has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/30 with a home run. Tucker is also on a five-game hitting streak. Yordan Alvarez and Jose Altuve have both gone deep twice in their last eight games, but Altuve is just 8/34 in that stretch.

Our prediction for this Guardians vs. Astros matchup is to take the Astros on the money line at -146. We have the Astros winning this one by a final score of 6-5. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also look to take the over, as the line is sitting at 9.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Carlos Carrasco finishing with five strikeouts, while Hunter Brown is predicted to finish with five as well. As for the Guardians’ offense, they are projected to finish with nine hits compared to the Astros, who are predicted to finish with nine.

Houston Astros vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Tips

• Take the Astros on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Guardians (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Houston Astros Injury Report

Cleveland Guardians Injury Report