Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles Preview
Corbin Burnes will start for the Orioles on Saturday, and he is facing off against Ronel Blanco and the Astros. The game is set for 4:10 PM ET from Minute Maid Park in Houston, and the Orioles are favored on the money line (-154). The Astros are +129.
As for the Astros, they are currently on a three-game winning streak, and their overall record is 36-40. The Orioles are 2nd in the AL East, with an overall record of 49-26.
Check out BetCoco for Houston Astros – Baltimore Orioles odds
Houston Astros Trends and Key Stats
- The Orioles are 3-2 in their five most recent road games, including a 3-2 runline record.
- On the opposing side, the Astros have a 3-2 (SU) record, along with a 3-2 record in their last five home contests.
- The Orioles have a 7-3 straight-up record in their last ten games as the favorite, and 7-3 against the runline.
- Over their last ten games as the underdog, the Astros have gone 6-4 vs. the runline and 6-4 straight-up.
Even though the Astros were the +131 underdogs on the road, they still picked up a win over the Orioles in the most recent game of this series. Houston’s offense exploded for nine runs in the 6th inning and cruised to a 14-11 victory.
Baltimore actually outhit the Astros in the game 18 to 14 and scored seven of their eleven runs in the 8th inning. After scoring one run in the 1st inning, the Astros were held in check until they broke out for nine in the top of the 6th.
Shawn Dubin got the win for the Astros out of the bullpen, while Bryan Abreu got the save. Grayson Rodriguez had a rough outing for the Orioles, taking the loss.
Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction
The Orioles are 49-26 overall and trail the Yankees by just a half-game for the AL East lead. So far, they have been great against other teams in the AL East, putting together a record of 19-7. Baltimore is on the road today, and they are 24-12 this season away from home.
As the favorite, the Orioles have gone 39-21 this season and 16-8 as the favorite on the road. Baltimore has an overall series record of 17-4-3 this year and has won four straight series. They have also won two straight series on the road.
When the Orioles win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.0 runs per game. However, when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -2.8 runs per game. Overall, Baltimore is 46-29 against the run line this season, including a 24-12 mark on the road. They are 34-26 against the run line as the favorite and 12-3 against the run line as the underdog.
The Orioles are on the road today against the Astros, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. Baltimore has a combined run average of 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 38-27. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 9-5-3. So far this season, 52.0% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs. The over has hit in each of their last three games.
Right-hander Corbin Burnes gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Astros on the road. He has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 8-2 with a 2.14 ERA. Burnes’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.04, and opponents are batting .193 off him this year. In his last outing, Burnes gave up two earned runs in six innings of work, coming away with the win. Before that, he had given up just one earned run in three straight starts. Burnes has allowed a total of eight homers this season.
So far this season, the Orioles are the top-scoring team in the league at 5.3 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.7 runs per game. Baltimore also leads the league in home runs and has the top slugging percentage in the league. The team’s collective isolated power of .205 is also the best mark in the MLB.
Adley Rutschman and Gunnar Henderson have been the Orioles’ top power threats this season, as Rutschman has 14 homers and Henderson has gone deep 24 times. Rutschman is also hitting .305 for the season, while Henderson comes in with a batting average of .284. Anthony Santander has also been a big power threat, with 20 homers, but he is batting just .237 for the season. However, he has been hot of late, going 12/38 with six homers over his last nine games.
The Astros are seven games behind the Mariners in the AL West but have a solid division record of 15-12. Houston will play as the home team today, and they are 36-40 overall, which includes a three-game winning streak. The Astros have taken the first game of this series vs. the Orioles and have an overall series record of 12-11-1 this year.
At home, the Astros are 20-19 compared to 16-21 on the road. As the favorite, Houston is just 28-32 this year and 8-8 as the underdog. Their overall record is a result of going 6-4 over their last ten games.
When the Astros win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.9 runs per game. They are 34-42 on the run line this season, including 18-21 at home. As the favorite, they are 25-35 on the run line, but as the underdog, they are 9-7. Their current run line win streak is at 2 games.
When the Houston Astros play at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs, which is lower than their season average of 8.9 runs per game. The Astros have gone over the total in 27 of their 46 games this season when the line has been set at 8 runs, and overall, the over has hit in 52 of their games this season. The over/under line has been set at 8 runs in 15 of their games this season, which is 19.7% of their games.
Ronel Blanco is getting the start for the Astros today and has been pitching well this season, coming in with a record of 7-2 and an ERA of 2.43. Blanco has made 13 starts this year and has one complete game shutout to his name. In his last outing, Blanco was dominant, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He finished with eight strikeouts in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts. Blanco’s ERA at home is 3.08, compared to 2.02 on the road.
Heading into today’s game, the Astros are the top-hitting team in the league, batting a combined .261. They are also the league’s best team at avoiding strikeouts and have the 4th best slugging percentage in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.5 runs per game, but that number jumps to 5 runs per game when playing at home. Houston is also near the top of the league in home runs, with 90 this season.
Yordan Alvarez and Kyle Tucker have been the Astros’ top power threats this season, with Alvarez having 15 homers and Tucker at 19. Tucker’s 40 RBIs are the best mark on the team, and Alvarez is 2nd with 39. Jose Altuve has also been a key run producer for the Astros, as he has 32 RBIs to go along with a batting average of .301.
With the Astros being the underdogs at +129, we see this as a great opportunity to take them on the money line. Our predicted score is 6-5 in favor of the Astros, giving us a lot of value with the payout.
Looking at some of the starting pitcher’s projections, Ronel Blanco is predicted to finish with six strikeouts compared to Corbin Burnes with six. Blanco is also projected to finish with fewer earned runs, and we have him with the better chances of picking up a win.
Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Tips
- Take the Orioles on the moneyline
- On the run line we like Astros (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Houston Astros Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Verlander | Out | Neck |
| Kendall Graveman | Out | Shoulder |
| Lance McCullers Jr. | Out | Forearm |
| Victor Caratini | Out | Hip Flexor |
| Kyle Tucker | Out | Shin |
| Cristian Javier | Out | Elbow |
| Luis Garcia | Out | Elbow |
| Bennett Sousa | Out | Shoulder |
| José Urquidy | Out | Elbow |
| Penn Murfee | Out | Elbow |
| Oliver Ortega | Out | Elbow |
| Jake Bloss | Questionable | Shoulder |
Baltimore Orioles Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Danny Coulombe | Out | Elbow |
| Dean Kremer | Out | Triceps |
| Tyler Wells | Out | Elbow |
| John Means | Out | Elbow |
| Kyle Bradish | Out | Elbow |
| Alexis Cruz | Out | Personal |
| Christopher Ramirez | Out | Personal |
| Isaiah Kearns | Out | Personal |
| Félix Bautista | Out | Elbow |
