Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction & Betting Tips 6/21/2024

Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles Preview

At 8:10 PM ET, the Orioles and Astros face off in an AL matchup. This one is being played at Minute Maid Park in Houston and has the Orioles as the betting favorite, with their money line odds sitting at -158. The Astros are +133 on the money line, and the over/under line is 8.5 runs.

Baltimore will be looking to extend their two-game winning streak with Grayson Rodriguez on the mound, while the Astros will be starting Jake Bloss. Both teams are 2nd in their respective divisions. The Orioles are 49-25, while the Astros are 35-40.

Check out BetCoco for Houston Astros – Baltimore Orioles odds

Houston Astros Trends and Key Stats

• Across their last five road games, the Orioles are 4-1. This includes going 4-1 vs. the runline.
• The Astros, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 3-2 (SU) and 3-2 record.
• The Orioles have a 8-2 straight-up record in their last ten games as the favorite, and 8-2 against the runline.
• As the underdog, the Astros have gone 6-4 vs. the runline and 6-4 straight-up.

Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

The Orioles’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Yankees, closing out their series with a 17-5 win. After allowing one run to the Yankees in the 1st inning, the Orioles responded with six runs of their own. Baltimore went on to add another six runs in the 2nd inning.

Cole Irvin had a rough outing, giving up five earned runs on five hits and issuing two walks. The Orioles’s offense picked him up, though, scoring 17 runs on 19 hits. Anthony Santander went 2/5 with a homer and three RBIs, and Cedric Mullins was 2/6 with a homer and two RBIs.

Baltimore is 49-25 overall this season, and they trail the Yankees by just a half-game for the AL East lead. The Orioles are on a two-game winning streak, and they closed out their series vs. the Yankees with a win. So far, they have gone 19-7 in AL East matchups.

At home, the Orioles have been good, going 25-14, and they have gone 24-11 on the road. As the favorite, the Orioles are 39-20 this year, and they are 10-5 as the underdog. Baltimore has won two straight games as the road favorite, and they have an overall series record of 17-4-3 this year.

When the Orioles are on the road, they are a solid bet to cover the run line, as they are 24-11 this season. Their average run margin is +1.7 runs per game, and they have covered the run line in two straight games. They have been the favorite in 59 games and have a run line record of 34-25 in those games.

The Baltimore Orioles are on the road against the Houston Astros today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Orioles games this season is 8.9 runs, and their over/under record is 37-27. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Orioles have a record of 13-8. Overall, 23.0% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, and their over/under record is 2-0 in their last two games.

Grayson Rodriguez has been pitching well for the Orioles, as he has a record of 8-2 and an ERA of 3.20. So far, he has made 12 starts, six of which were quality starts. Rodriguez most recently faced the Phillies on June 15th, where he picked up the win. In that outing, he went seven innings and gave up two earned runs. Looking back further, he has allowed two earned runs in each of his last three outings. The right-hander has a record of 4-1 on the road this year and an ERA of 4.78 compared to 2.18 at home.

The Orioles have the league’s best offense so far this season, averaging 5.3 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.6 runs per contest. Not only do the Orioles lead the league in home runs, but they also have the top slugging percentage in the league and are 2nd in OPS. Baltimore’s offense has been led by Adley Rutschman and Gunnar Henderson, who have 14 and 22 homers, respectively.

Anthony Santander has struggled with a batting average of just .230 this season, but he has been hot of late, going 6/20 with four homers over his last five games. As a team, the Orioles have several players on hitting streaks, including Gunnar Henderson, who has hits in 13 straight games.

Houston closed out their series vs. the White Sox with a 5-3 win. Leading up to the game, the Astros were the heavy favorite at -179. Offensively, the Astros scored their five runs on json11 hits and only hit one home run. Yordan Alvarez and Alex Bregman each had three hits. Starter Spencer Arrighetti got the win but only lasted json4 1/3 innings, giving up three runs on five hits.

Tayler Scott picked up the save out of the bullpen, and Josh Hader got the Astros out of a jam in the 8th inning. The Astros also got a big game from Taylor Jones, going 3/5 with a run scored.

Houston is eight games behind the Mariners in the AL West but picked up a game on Seattle by winning the final two games of their series vs. the White Sox. The Astros are 35-40 overall and have gone 15-12 against other teams in the division. At home, the Astros are 19-19 this season.

As the favorite, the Astros have gone just 28-32 this year and 7-8 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 12-11-1, and they have won two straight series. So far, they are 1-3 as the home underdog.

When betting the Astros on the run line, it’s been a better proposition to take them on the road, where they are 16-21 compared to 17-21 at home. They’ve been favored in 60 games and have gone 25-35 on the run line in those contests. In games they’ve won, they’ve done so by an average of 4.0 runs per game, while in losses, they’ve lost by an average of 3.3 runs per game.

When the Astros play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, and they have gone under in four straight games. Houston’s games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 26-46. The average over/under line in their games is 9 runs. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, they have gone under in 6 of 19 games. Overall, 42.7% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs.

For today’s game against the Orioles, the Astros will rely on Jake Bloss to set the tone. It’s his debut for the season and he’s looking to put together a strong start in his debut.

Heading into today’s game, the Astros are the top-hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .259. They are also the top home run hitting team in the league and have the fewest strikeouts in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.4 runs per game, but that number goes up to 4.8 when playing at home. Kyle Tucker has been the team’s top run producer so far, as his 40 RBIs are the best on the team, and he is also 5th in the league with 19 homers.

Jose Altuve and Yordan Alvarez are both batting .296 for the season, and Altuve comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak. Over his last six games, Altuve is 7/22 with a homer and four RBIs. Alvarez also went deep in his last game and is 5/14 in his last four games.

Our pick for this Orioles vs. Astros matchup is to take the Astros on the money line at +133. With the over/under sitting at 8.5 runs, we do like this game to go over, but we see the Astros picking up a 6-5 win.

Looking at Grayson Rodriguez’s projections, we have him finishing with six strikeouts, and his overall projection isn’t great, as he is projected to give up five hits and five earned runs.

Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Tips

• We like the Astros on the moneyline (+133)
• On the run line we like Astros (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Houston Astros Injury Report

Baltimore Orioles Injury Report