Houston Astros vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction & Betting Tips 9/8/2024

Houston Astros vs Arizona Diamondbacks Preview

Justin Verlander and the Astros are heavy favorites on the money line for Sunday’s interleague matchup vs. the Diamondbacks. Houston’s money line odds are at -148, while the Diamondbacks are sitting at +125. This one has an over/under line of 8.5 runs, and it can be seen on ESPN.

First pitch from Minute Maid Park is set for 7:10 PM ET. The Astros are currently on a two-game win streak and are 1st in the AL West, while the Diamondbacks have lost three straight and are 3rd in the NL West. Ryne Nelson is starting for Arizona.

Check out BetCoco for Houston Astros – Arizona Diamondbacks odds

Houston Astros vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Trends and Key Stats

• Across their last five road games, the Diamondbacks are 2-3. This includes going 2-3 vs. the runline.
• The Astros, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 1-4 (SU) and 1-4 record.
• The Astros have a straight-up record of 7-3 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 6-4 record vs. the runline.
• Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Diamondbacks have a straight-up record of 3-7 and a 5-5 record vs. the runline.

Houston cruised to an easy 11-5 win over the Diamondbacks in the most recent game of this series. The Astros had a huge 2nd inning, scoring four of their eleven runs. As for the Diamondbacks, they scored their first run in the 4th and added their final four runs in the 6th.

Yusei Kikuchi only went six innings for the Astros but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with six strikeouts but did not get the win, as that went to Ryan Pressly out of the bullpen. Eduardo Rodriguez had a rough outing for the Diamondbacks, giving up four earned runs in just four innings of work.

Jose Altuve, Jeremy Pena, and Yordan Alvarez each homered for the Astros. Altuve, Pena, Chas McCormick, and Alex Bregman each had two RBIs. Kevin Newman and Eugenio Suarez each drove in two runs for the Diamondbacks.

Houston Astros vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

Arizona is 79-64 overall this season, and they are 6.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Diamondbacks have dropped three straight games, and they are losing the series vs. the Astros 0-2. So far, they have gone 25-18 against other teams in the NL West.

At home, the Diamondbacks are 39-31 this year, and they have gone 40-33 on the road. Arizona has dropped three straight games as the underdog, and they are 34-38 as the underdog overall. As the favorite, the Diamondbacks are 45-26 this season.

Arizona is 74-69 against the run line this season, including 42-31 on the road. The Diamondbacks have a run differential of +0.6 runs per game overall, but that number drops to +0.5 on the road. They have failed to cover the run line in their last two road games and are 30-41 against the run line as the favorite.

Arizona is on the road against the Houston Astros today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. This season, the Diamondbacks have played to an over/under record of 82-54, with an average combined run average of 10.2 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 29-17, and their games have averaged 9 runs per game.

Ryne Nelson gets the start for the Diamondbacks today as he faces the Astros on the road. So far this season, he has made 24 starts and has a record of 10-6 with an ERA of 4.15. Looking at his overall numbers, Nelson has a WHIP of 1.26 and has turned in 12 quality starts. In his 26 appearances, he has a batting average allowed of .267 and is averaging 7.62 strikeouts per nine innings. Nelson’s most recent outing was on September 3rd, where he picked up the win, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on four hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

As a team, the Diamondbacks are the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5.4 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.6 runs per contest. Not only do they have the best on-base percentage in the league, but they are also 2nd in team batting average and 3rd in slugging percentage. Arizona also has the 6th best home run total in the league.

Ketel Marte has been the team’s top power threat this season, as his 30 homers are the best on the team and 12th in the MLB. He also has the 2nd best batting average on the team at .293. Eugenio Suarez has also been a big run producer for the Diamondbacks, as he has 88 RBIs to go along with his 25 homers. Over his last 10 games, Suarez has gone 12/35 with five homers.

The Astros have won two straight games, and they lead the AL West by 5.5 games over the Mariners. This season, they are 21-18 in divisional games and 77-65 overall through 142 games. At home, the Astros are 41-29 and have gone 36-36 on the road.

Houston has been good as the favorite this season, putting up a mark of 59-46. As the underdog, the Astros are 18-19 this season. They have won six straight games at home, and their overall series record is 24-19-2.

The Astros have been a good run line bet this season, going 73-69. They are 34-36 at home and 39-33 on the road. They have been a good run line bet as the underdog, going 25-12, but have struggled as the favorite, going 48-57. Their average run differential this season is +0.7 runs per game.

The over/under line for the Houston Astros’ game against the Arizona Diamondbacks is set at 8.5 runs. The Astros have played 57 games that have gone over the line, 26 games that have gone under, and 2 games that have pushed. Their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season. The over/under line for their games on average is set at 9 runs.

Justin Verlander will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing against the Reds, as he gets the start for the Astros today. In that start, which came on September 2nd, he took the loss after giving up five earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Looking back over his last three starts, Verlander has taken the loss in each outing. His overall record for the season is 3-5, and he has an ERA of 4.52. Opponents have hit .251 off Verlander this season. Out of his 13 starts, Verlander has turned in five quality starts.

Yordan Alvarez has been on a tear of late for the Astros, going 9/27 in his last seven games with four homers and nine RBIs. For the season, he is batting .313 with 32 homers and 80 RBIs, both of which lead the team. Jose Altuve is also swinging a hot bat right now, as he is on a four-game hitting streak and is batting .300 for the season. Altuve is 3rd on the team with 19 homers.

As a team, the Astros are 2nd in the league in batting average and are averaging 4.6 runs per game. At home, they are averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are 10th in home runs and have the 8th best slugging percentage in the league.

Our prediction for today’s Diamondbacks vs. Astros matchup is a 6-5 win for the Astros. However, we are recommending taking the Astros on the money line at -148, as this is the best way to maximize your payout.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Justin Verlander is projected to finish with seven strikeouts compared to Ryne Nelson, who we have at six. Nelson is also projected to give up more earned runs than Verlander, and we have Nelson finishing with the highest ERA of any starter going today.

Houston Astros vs Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Tips

• Take the Astros on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Diamondbacks (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Houston Astros Injury Report

Arizona Diamondbacks Injury Report