Detroit Tigers vs Washington Nationals Preview
From Comerica Park in Detroit, we have the Nationals and Tigers facing off in an interleague matchup. Tuesday’s game has a start time of 6:40 PM ET, and the forecast calls for clear skies and temperatures in the low to mid 70s.
The Tigers are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -111 compared to the Nationals at -107. Washington will be looking to keep their three-game winning streak alive, as they are 30-35 and 3rd in the NL East. Detroit is 4th in the AL Central, with a record of 32-33.
Check out BetCoco for Detroit Tigers – Washington Nationals odds
Detroit Tigers Trends and Key Stats
- The Nationals are 3-2 in their five most recent road games, including a 4-1 runline record.
- On the other side, the Tigers have gone 3-2 (SU) and 2-3 in their previous five home contests.
- In their previous ten games, the Nationals have recorded a 7-3 record as the favorite, while they have a 4-6 record as the underdog.
- The Tigers hold a 5-5 record as the favorite and a 5-5 record as the underdog.
Detroit Tigers vs Washington Nationals Prediction
Washington closed out their series vs. the Braves with an 8-5 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at +143 on the money line. It was a seven-run 4th inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Braves could only score two runs, both of which came in the 2nd.
DJ Herz got the start for the Nationals, going 4 1/3 innings, and picked up the win. He also issued three walks and only had two strikeouts in the outing. Keibert Ruiz had only one hit, but it was a home run, and the Nationals scored seven runs before the Braves could close things out in the 9th.
Washington is on the road today, taking on the Tigers, and they have won three straight games. The Nationals are 30-35 overall, and they are 15 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. So far, they are 11-10 in divisional games.
The Nationals closed out their series vs. the Braves with three straight wins, taking the series 3-1. So far, they are 8-12-1 in series matchups. At home, the Nationals are 13-17 this season, and they are just above .500 at 17-18 on the road. As the underdog, Washington is 27-32 this year and 3-3 when favored.
The Nationals are 39-26 against the run line this season, including a 23-12 mark on the road. They have covered in two straight games and are 3-3 vs. the run line as the favorite. Washington has an average run margin of -0.3 runs per game this season.
The Washington Nationals are on the road to face the Detroit Tigers, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The combined run average for Nationals games this season is 8.3 runs, and their over/under record is 29-33. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 4-5-1. Overall, 60.0% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs, and their current over streak is at 2 games.
Through 10 starts, Mitchell Parker has a record of 4-3 and an ERA of 3.47 for the Nationals. He most recently faced the Braves, where he finished with a no-decision, going seven innings and giving up two earned runs. Looking back at his last three outings, Parker has finished with a no-decision, win, and loss. So far, he has made four quality starts and is averaging 7.11 strikeouts per nine innings. Parker’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.05. For the year, he has given up six homers and is averaging just 1.89 walks per nine innings.
CJ Abrams has been the Nationals’ most consistent hitter this season, batting .245 with a team-high 10 home runs and 31 RBIs. However, he has struggled of late, going just 5/24 in his last six games. Eddie Rosario is also looking to get things going, as he is batting just .190 for the season and has gone deep seven times.
As a team, the Nationals are averaging 4 runs per game and have been a little better at home (4.2 RPG) than on the road (3.8 RPG). They are also one of the league’s worst home run hitting teams and have a collective batting average of just .232.
The Tigers’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Brewers, closing out their series with a 10-2 win. After allowing one run to the Brewers in the top of the first, the Tigers responded with two runs of their own. Detroit went on to add another eight runs in the 5th inning.
Tarik Skubal put together a good start for the Tigers, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up just one earned run, and striking out 10. Jake Rogers was hot at the plate, going 2/4 with a homer and three RBIs.
Detroit is 32-33 overall and trails the Guardians by 10.5 games in the AL Central. The Tigers are 10-9 against other teams in the division. Detroit will host the Nationals today with an overall record of 15-17 at home compared to 17-16 on the road.
As the underdog, the Tigers are 16-20 this season and 4-6 as the home underdog. They have been slightly better as the favorite, going 16-13. Detroit lost the series to the Brewers, dropping two of three games, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games.
When betting on the Tigers’ run line, it’s been a profitable strategy to take them as the underdog, as they are 22-14 against the run line in those games. They are 7-22 against the run line as the favorite. The Tigers’ average run margin in their winning games is +3.6, while their average run margin in their losing games is -3.6.
The Tigers are at home tonight against the Nationals, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. Detroit’s games have averaged 8.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 37-26. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 7-7-2. Overall, 33.8% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs, while 41.5% have had lines set lower than 8 runs. The over has hit in four straight Tigers games.
Kenta Maeda is looking to bounce back from a rough outing, as he gets the start for the Tigers today vs. the Nationals. In his most recent outing, Maeda didn’t record an out, giving up two homers and two earned runs. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Looking back further, he has given up at least one homer in three straight outings. Maeda’s ERA for the season is 6.25, and his record is 2-2. Opponents are batting .271 off Maeda this season. So far, he has made 10 appearances and two of them have been quality starts.
Over his last four games, Jake Rogers has been swinging a hot bat for the Tigers, going 4/11 with three home runs. This has also led to him driving in five runs during this stretch. For the season, he is batting just .200. Kerry Carpenter has been the Tigers’ top hitter this season, batting .283 with eight homers and 29 RBIs.
As a team, the Tigers are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. They have been a bit better on the road (4.3 RPG) than at home (4.1 RPG). Detroit’s offense has been below average in terms of batting average, on-base percentage, and OPS. Currently, they are 19th in home runs.
Our predicted score for this game is 5.1 to 4 in favor of the Tigers. With the Tigers being the predicted winner and a payout of -111, we see this as a great value pick.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Kenta Maeda is predicted to finish with seven strikeouts compared to Mitchell Parker with five. Maeda is also projected to finish with fewer earned runs than Parker.
Detroit Tigers vs Washington Nationals Betting Tips
- We like the Tigers on the moneyline (-111)
- On the run line we like Tigers (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Detroit Tigers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Kenta Maeda | Probable | Abdomen |
| Jack Flaherty | Questionable | Back |
| Alex Faedo | Out | Hip |
| Kerry Carpenter | Out | Back |
| Colt Keith | Questionable | Knee |
| Sawyer Gipson-Long | Out | Elbow |
Washington Nationals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Trevor Williams | Out | Hip Flexor |
| Mason Thompson | Out | Elbow |
| Josiah Gray | Out | Elbow/Forearm |
| Cade Cavalli | Out | Elbow |
| Jose A. Ferrer | Out | Teres Major |
