Detroit Tigers vs Toronto Blue Jays Preview
From Comerica Park in Detroit, we have the Blue Jays and Tigers facing off in an AL matchup. The game is being played on Sunday, and the Tigers are currently on a two-game winning streak, while the Blue Jays are 5th in the AL East with a record of 23-28.
The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and the Blue Jays are favored on the money line, with the odds sitting at -130 compared to the Tigers at +111. Casey Mize will be on the mound for the Tigers, while the Blue Jays are starting Yusei Kikuchi.
Check out BetCoco for Detroit Tigers – Toronto Blue Jays odds
Detroit Tigers Trends and Key Stats
- The Blue Jays are 2-3 in their five most recent road games, including a 3-2 runline record.
- On the other side, the Tigers have gone 1-4 (SU) and 1-4 in their previous five home contests.
- In their last ten games as the favorite, the Blue Jays have a straight-up record of 4-6 and a runline record of 4-6.
- Over their last ten games as the underdog, the Tigers have gone 3-7 vs. the runline and 4-6 straight-up.
Detroit picked up a 2-1 win over the Blue Jays in the most recent game of this series. The Tigers had a two-run first inning and didn’t score another run until the 7th. As for the Blue Jays, they scored their only run in the 7th and had just three hits in the game.
Reese Olson started for the Tigers and picked up the win, going 6 1/3 innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with four strikeouts but issued three walks. Tyler Holton got the save.
Jose Berrios had a good outing for the Blue Jays in the loss, going seven innings and giving up two earned runs on seven hits. He finished the game with five strikeouts and didn’t issue a walk.
Detroit Tigers vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction
Toronto is 23-28 overall and is 12.5 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. The Blue Jays have dropped two straight games and are losing the series vs. the Tigers, 2-1. So far, they have gone 7-8 in AL East matchups this year.
At home, the Blue Jays are 12-12 and 11-16 on the road. As the favorite, Toronto has gone 17-14 this year and 6-14 as the underdog. So far, they are 5-5 as the road favorite. Looking at their overall series record, the Blue Jays are 5-8-3.
When the Blue Jays win, they win big, with an average run margin of +3.3 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -4.0 runs per game. Overall, the Blue Jays are 24-27 against the run line this season, with a -0.7 run margin per game. They are 14-13 against the run line on the road and have covered the run line in their last three road games.
The Toronto Blue Jays are on the road today against the Detroit Tigers, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The Blue Jays have an over/under record of 21-29 on the season, and their games have averaged a combined 8.3 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 6-7-1. So far this season, 43.1% of their games have had over/under lines set above 8 runs, while 29.4% have been set below that mark. They are currently on a two-game under streak.
Left-hander Yusei Kikuchi is on the mound for the Blue Jays today as he faces the Tigers on the road. Kikuchi has made 10 starts this season and has a record of 2-4 with an ERA of 2.64. Looking at his overall numbers, Kikuchi has a WHIP of 1.12 and has turned in six quality starts. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without taking the loss. Kikuchi has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 1-1 and an ERA of 2.56 compared to 1-3 with a 2.85 ERA at home.
For the season, the Blue Jays are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 26th in the league. This is also one of the worst marks in the league in terms of home runs, as they are just 12th in the league in homers. As a team, they are batting .232, which is 17th in the league.
Over his last nine games, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone 12/34 with a homer and five RBIs. For the season, he is batting .289 and is 2nd on the team with 24 RBIs. Daulton Varsho is the team’s top power threat, with nine homers, but he is batting just .208 for the season and has gone just 6/29 in his last eight games.
Detroit is 25-27 overall and trail the Guardians by 10 games in the AL Central. The Tigers have taken the first two games of their series vs. the Blue Jays and are 4-6 over their last 10 games. So far, they have gone 10-9 in divisional matchups.
At home, the Tigers are 12-14 this year and have been an even 13-13 on the road. As the underdog, the Tigers are 12-15 this year and 13-12 as the favorite. Detroit has won two straight at home, and their overall series record is 7-7-2 this year.
The Tigers have been a tough team to figure out when it comes to the run line this season. They are 22-30 overall, but they have been much better on the road (15-11) than at home (7-19). They have been a better bet as the underdog (17-10) than as the favorite (5-20). Their average run margin is -0.1 runs per game, but they have been outscored by 0.7 runs per game at home.
The Detroit Tigers have been involved in high-scoring games this season, as their combined run average is 8.2 runs per game. Their over/under record is 27-23, and their average over/under line is 8 runs. When the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 4-7-2. Overall, 17 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, accounting for 32.7% of their games. Their under streak is currently at 2 games.
Casey Mize will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing as he gets the start for the Tigers today. The right-hander most recently faced the Royals on May 21st, where he was tagged with the loss. Mize only lasted 1 2/3 innings in that outing, giving up six runs (all earned) on nine hits. Looking back over his last three starts, Mize has given up at least one homer in each outing. For the season, he has a record of 1-3, an ERA of 4.57, and has given up a total of five homers. Mize’s ERA at home is 2.78 compared to 10.13 on the road.
Heading into today’s game, the Tigers are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. They have been a little better on the road, averaging 4.5 runs per game. Detroit’s offense has been a little below average in terms of home runs and have a team batting average of just .231. However, they do have two of the league’s top home run hitters in Riley Greene and Kerry Carpenter.
Both Carpenter and Greene have been swinging the bat well of late, with Carpenter batting .346 in his last nine games and Greene having gone 14/30 in his last nine games. Carpenter has three homers during this stretch, while Greene has one. Carpenter is the Tigers’ current leader in RBIs, with 29, and Greene is 3rd on the team with 20 RBIs. Jake Rogers comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak.
There is a lot of value in taking the Tigers on the money line at +111. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Tigers, making them a great pick to win straight up.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we actually have Casey Mize finishing with fewer strikeouts than Yusei Kikuchi, but we still like Mize to pick up the win. Our projections have Mize going six innings, while Kikuchi is predicted to go five.
Detroit Tigers vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Tips
- We like the Tigers on the moneyline (+111)
- The Tigers are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Detroit Tigers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Shelby Miller | Out | Forearm |
| Sawyer Gipson-Long | Out | Elbow |
Toronto Blue Jays Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Chad Green | Out | Shoulder |
| Bowden Francis | Out | Forearm |
| Yariel Rodríguez | Out | Back |
