Detroit Tigers vs Toronto Blue Jays Preview
There does appear to be a chance of light rain in Detroit on Saturday, where the forecasted temperature is 66 degrees. The Blue Jays are facing the Tigers at Comerica Park in Detroit, and they are the slight money line favorite (-116).
First pitch for this AL matchup is set for 1:10 PM ET, and MLBN will be televising the game. José Berríos is scheduled to start for the Blue Jays, while Reese Olson goes for the Tigers. Toronto is 5th in the AL East, while the Tigers are 4th in the AL Central. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs.
Check out BetCoco for Detroit Tigers – Toronto Blue Jays odds
Detroit Tigers Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the Blue Jays are 3-2. This includes going 4-1 vs. the runline.
- Conversely, the Tigers have achieved a 1-4 (SU) record and 1-4 record in their last five home games.
- The Blue Jays are 4-6 in their last ten games as the favorite and 4-6 as the underdog.
- The Tigers are 4-6 (favorite) and 3-7 (underdog).
Detroit rallied for three runs in the 4th inning and added two more in the 5th, picking up a 6-2 win over the Blue Jays in the most recent game of this series. The Tigers had just two more hits than the Blue Jays and struck out six more times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at +101 on the money line.
Kenta Maeda only went five innings for the Tigers but didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. He finished the game with just one strikeout and allowed four hits. Jason Foley got the save. Alek Manoah had a rough outing for the Blue Jays, taking the loss.
Offensively, the Tigers were led by Colt Keith and Kerry Carpenter, as they were the only two Tigers hitters to have more than one hit. Keith also homered in the game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 2/3 with two RBIs for the Blue Jays.
Detroit Tigers vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction
Toronto is 23-27 overall and trails the Yankees by 11.5 games in the AL East. So far, they are 7-8 in the division and are currently in 5th place. The Blue Jays are at an even 12-12 at home but are just 11-15 on the road.
As the favorite, the Blue Jays have gone 17-14 this year and 6-13 as the underdog. For the series, the Blue Jays are 5-8-3 this year, with their series vs. the Tigers tied at 1-1. Heading into today’s game, the Blue Jays are 5-5 over their last 10.
When the Blue Jays win, they win by an average of 3.3 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 4.1 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 23-27, and on the road, they are 13-13 vs. the run line. As the favorite, they are 15-16 vs. the run line, and as the underdog, they are 8-11.
The Toronto Blue Jays have an over/under record of 21-28 this season and their games have averaged 8.4 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 6-6-1. Overall, 44% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.
José Berríos has been solid for the Blue Jays this season, coming into the game with a record of 5-3 and an ERA of 2.98. He has made eight quality starts this year and is coming off a game in which he allowed just three earned runs in six innings of work. In that outing, he gave up two homers. Berríos has allowed at least one homer in each of his last three starts. The right-hander’s ERA on the road is 5.05, compared to 1.77 at home. Berríos has a record of 2-2 on the road.
Bo Bichette has been swinging a hot bat for the Blue Jays, going 16/38 in his last 10 games. He also has one home run and seven RBIs during this stretch. Overall, Bichette is batting .288 with a team-high 24 RBIs. Daulton Varsho has also gone deep three times in his last 10 games but is just 7/38 during this stretch.
As a team, the Blue Jays are 25th in the league in runs scored, averaging just 3.9 runs per game. They have been a bit better at home, averaging 4 runs per contest. Toronto is also near the bottom of the league in terms of home runs and team slugging percentage. Currently, they have four players with three-game hitting streaks.
Detroit will be looking to get back to .500 today, as they are currently 24-27 and trail the Guardians by 10 games in the AL Central. So far, they have gone 10-9 in divisional games. The Tigers dropped the first game of this series vs. the Blue Jays but bounced back to win game two.
At home, the Tigers are 11-14 this season compared to 13-13 on the road. As the favorite, Detroit has gone 12-12 and 12-15 as the underdog. The Tigers’ overall series record is 7-7-2, and they have dropped two straight series at home.
When betting the run line on the Detroit Tigers, it’s been a good idea to take them on the road, where they have covered the run line in 15 of 26 games. At home, they have covered the run line in just 7 of 25 games. They have been the underdog in 27 games and have covered the run line in 17 of those games.
The Detroit Tigers are at home today against the Toronto Blue Jays, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The combined run average in Tigers games this season is 8.3 runs, and their over/under record is 27-22. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 4-6-2. So far this season, 33.3% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, while 43.1% have had lower lines.
Detroit is sending right-hander Reese Olson to the mound today vs. the Blue Jays. So far this season, he has made nine starts and has a record of 0-5 with an ERA of 2.16. Olsen’s WHIP for the season is 1.06. In his last outing, Olsen took the loss, going 2 2/3 innings vs. the Royals and giving up one earned run. Before that, he had turned in four straight quality starts. Olsen’s ERA at home is 0.90 compared to 3.49 on the road. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.74 strikeouts and 2.88 walks.
Over the Tigers’ last six games, Colt Keith has been on fire, going 10/18 with a home run and four RBIs. For the season, he is batting just .235. Kerry Carpenter has also been swinging a hot bat, going 5/15 in his last six games with two homers and five RBIs. Carpenter is the Tigers’ leader in RBIs this season and is 2nd on the team with seven homers.
As a team, the Tigers are averaging 4.1 runs per game and have been better on the road (4.5) than at home (3.6). So far, they are 18th in home runs and are batting a collective .231. Detroit’s team on-base percentage is just .302, which is 20th in the league.
Our prediction for the Blue Jays vs. Tigers game is to take the Tigers on the money line, with the payout sitting at -104. We have the Tigers winning this one by a score of 5-4.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Reese Olson is projected to finish with five strikeouts, and he is currently 20th among starters in terms of projected strikeouts. As for José Berríos, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts as well, and he is 14th among starters in terms of projected strikeouts.
Detroit Tigers vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Tips
- Take the Blue Jays on the moneyline
- The Tigers are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Detroit Tigers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Shelby Miller | Out | Forearm |
| Reese Olson | Probable | Hip |
| Sawyer Gipson-Long | Out | Elbow |
Toronto Blue Jays Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Chad Green | Out | Shoulder |
| Bowden Francis | Out | Forearm |
| Yariel Rodríguez | Out | Back |
