Detroit Tigers vs St. Louis Cardinals Preview
At 3:40 PM from Comerica Park in Detroit, we have an interleague matchup between the Cardinals and Tigers. Heading into Tuesday’s game, the Cardinals are 13-15, while the Tigers come in with a record of 16-12. St. Louis is sending Kyle Gibson to the mound vs. Jack Flaherty for the Tigers.
Looking at the odds, the over/under line is at 8 runs, and the Tigers are the slight favorite at -119. You can catch this one on BSDET, and it is being televised on TV.
Detroit Tigers Trends and Key Stats
- The Cardinals are 3-2 in their five most recent road games, including a 2-3 runline record.
- The Tigers, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 3-2 (SU) and 4-1 record.
- Over the last ten games, Cardinals has a record of 4-6 when playing as favorites and 4-6 when playing as underdogs.
- The Tigers are 4-6 (favorite) and 6-4 (underdog).
Detroit Tigers vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction
The Cardinals will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Mets with a 4-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 11th inning before the Mets scored three runs in the bottom of the 11th. St. Louis was the +117 underdog on the money line going into this road game.
Lance Lynn put together a good start for the Cardinals, going five innings and giving up just one earned run while striking out three. However, the Cardinals couldnjson’t close things out, and Matthew Liberatore took the loss out of the bullpen. The Cardinals also wasted a big game from Dylan Carlson, who homered in the 2nd inning, going 2 for 4.
St. Louis will be on the road today vs. the Tigers, and they are looking to pick up their first win vs. an NL Central opponent this season, as they are 0-3 in the division. The Cardinals are 4.5 games behind the Cubs for the NL Central lead, and they are 13-15 overall.
The Cardinals dropped their most recent game vs. the Mets and are just 4-10 in day games this year. So far, they are 8-8 on the road compared to 5-7 at home. St. Louis has won two straight games as the favorite, and they are 7-6 overall as the favorite. As for their record as the underdog, it is 6-9 this year. The Cardinals’ overall series record is 5-4, and they have won two straight series.
When the St. Louis Cardinals win, they win big, with an average run margin of 2.5 runs. But when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.7 runs. Their overall run line record is 16-12, and they are 9-7 against the run line on the road, where they have a scoring margin of -0.2 runs per game. They have covered the run line in their last two games, and they are 10-5 against the run line as an underdog this season.
Today’s over/under line of 8 runs for the Cardinals’ game against the Tigers is right in line with their season average. St. Louis has played 27 games this season, and the over/under line has been set at 8 runs in 5 of those games. In those 5 games, the over/under record is 1-3-1, with the under hitting in 3 of those games.
Kyle Gibson and the Cardinals are on the road to take on the Tigers. Gibson is coming off a win in his last start, where he went 6 innings and struck out 6. He has yet to allow more than 1 earned run in a start this season, but he did take the loss in his only road start of the year, giving up 4 runs to the Diamondbacks.
Heading into today’s game, the Cardinals offense is averaging just 3.6 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in most other offensive categories, including home runs, batting average, and on-base percentage. The team’s collective slugging percentage of .336 is also one of the worst marks in the league.
Willson Contreras and Nolan Gorman are tied for the team lead with four home runs apiece, but Contreras has been the better overall hitter, batting .288 compared to Gorman’s mark of just .198. Gorman has gone 6/19 in his last six games, and Contreras is currently on a five-game hitting streak. Brendan Donovan has also gone deep twice this season and is batting just .229, but he is on a five-game hitting streak.
The Tigers’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Royals, closing out their series with a 4-1 win. After allowing one run to the Royals in the top of the first, the Tigers responded with two runs of their own. Detroit went on to add another two runs in the 2nd inning.
Tarik Skubal put together a good start for the Tigers, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. Detroit’s offense was carried by Wenceel Perez, who went 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.
Detroit’s overall record is 16-12 heading into today’s matchup vs. the Cardinals, and they are 3rd in the AL Central, three games behind the Guardians for the division lead. The Tigers have gone 9-4 in divisional games this year and closed out their series vs. the Royals with back-to-back wins.
At home, the Tigers are 6-8 this year and 10-4 on the road. Detroit has won two straight at home, and they are 5-2-2 in series this year. Also, the Tigers have won three straight games as the underdog, and they are 8-6 both as the favorite and underdog this year.
When the Tigers are the underdog, they’ve been a solid bet on the run line, going 10-4. Their average run differential in their wins is +2.6, while it’s -3.2 in their losses. They’ve been especially good on the run line on the road, going 9-5, and have covered in five straight as the underdog.
The Detroit Tigers have had 26 games this season with over/under lines set by sportsbooks. Of those 26 games, 12 have gone over the line, 14 have gone under, and none have pushed. The average over/under line in Tigers games this season has been 8 runs, and the average combined runs scored in their games is 7.8. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, the Tigers have gone over 3 times, under 4 times, and pushed twice.
Jack Flaherty and the Tigers are taking on the Cardinals today, and Flaherty has started the season with a pair of no-decisions. In his first start, he went 6 innings and struck out 10, but gave up 4 runs to the Twins. Then, in his last outing, he went 5 innings and gave up 4 runs to the Rays.
Mark Canha has been on a tear of late for the Tigers, going 11/28 in his last eight games with two homers and six RBIs. This has pushed his season average to .272, and he leads the team with five home runs. Canha is also on a seven-game hitting streak. Kerry Carpenter is also swinging a hot bat right now, as he is batting .276 for the season and has gone deep three times in his last eight games.
As a team, the Tigers are 21st in the league in scoring at 4 runs per game. They have been a little better on the road, averaging 4.4 runs per contest. Detroit is also looking for more power from their lineup, as they are just 14th in the league in home runs and have a collective slugging percentage of .352.
We see the Tigers taking this one at home by a score of 6-5. With the money line payout sitting at -119, this is the best route to go. Looking at the starters, Jack Flaherty has the second-best chances of picking up a win among starters today, and we have him finishing with eight strikeouts.
As for Kyle Gibson, we have him finishing with five strikeouts and his Cardinals going for a combined nine as a team. Offensively, we have the Tigers finishing with nine hits compared to the Cardinals at nine.
Detroit Tigers vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Tips
- Take the Tigers on the moneyline
- The Tigers are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Detroit Tigers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Carson Kelly | Questionable | Ribs |
| Gio Urshela | Out | Hamstring |
| Andy Ibáñez | Out | Hamstring |
| Sawyer Gipson-Long | Out | Elbow |
St. Louis Cardinals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Carpenter | Out | Oblique |
| Keynan Middleton | Out | Forearm |
| Dylan Carlson | Out | Shoulder |
| Tommy Edman | Out | Wrist |
| Drew Rom | Out | Biceps |
| Riley O’Brien | Out | Forearm |
