Detroit Tigers vs St. Louis Cardinals Preview
At 6:40 PM ET, the Tigers and Cardinals will square off in an interleague matchup. Monday’s matchup is being played at Comerica Park in Detroit, and the forecast calls for light rain and temperatures in the mid to upper 70s. St. Louis is sending Steven Matz to the mound, and he is facing off against Kenta Maeda for the Tigers.
Right now, the over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the Cardinals are the slight favorite on the money line at -115. Looking at the standings, the Tigers are 16-12, and the Cardinals are 13-15.
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Detroit Tigers Trends and Key Stats
- 3-2 is the record of Cardinals in their last five road games. They have also gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
- Conversely, the Tigers have achieved a 3-2 (SU) record and 4-1 record in their last five home games.
- In their previous ten games, Cardinals have won 4-6 as favorites and 4-6 as underdogs.
- The Tigers have a 4-6 record when favored, while their record as the underdog is 6-4.
Detroit Tigers vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction
The Cardinals will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Mets with a 4-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 11th inning before the Mets scored three runs in the bottom of the 11th. St. Louis was the +117 underdog on the money line going into this road game.
Lance Lynn put together a good start for the Cardinals, going five innings and giving up just one earned run while striking out three. However, the Cardinals couldnjson’t close things out, and Matthew Liberatore took the loss out of the bullpen. The Cardinals also wasted a big game from Dylan Carlson, who homered in the 2nd inning, going 2 for 4.
St. Louis is 5th in the NL Central heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Tigers. The Cardinals are 13-15 overall, putting them 4.5 games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead. So far, they have yet to win a game vs. another NL Central team, going 0-3.
The Cardinals dropped the final game of their most recent series vs. the Mets. This season, they are 4-10 in day games and 8-8 on the road. St. Louis’ overall series record is 5-4, and they have won two straight series.
St. Louis has been a solid run line bet this season, going 16-12 overall. They have been even better on the road, going 9-7 against the run line. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 10-5 against the run line as an underdog this season.
The St. Louis Cardinals have had a mixed bag when it comes to over/under outcomes this season. Their games have averaged 8.0 runs per game, but their over/under record is 10-17. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, they are 6-5 in those games. Overall, the over/under line for their games has averaged 8 runs, but only 10.7% of their games have had a line set at 8.5 runs.
Steven Matz and the Cardinals are on the road to take on the Tigers. Matz is still looking for his first win of the season. He has a loss in each of his first two starts, and in his last outing, he gave up 7 runs in just 4 1/3 innings against the Diamondbacks.
St. Louis will be looking for their offense to get going, as they are averaging just 3.6 runs per game (26th) and are the league’s worst home run hitting team. So far, they are batting just .217 as a team, which is 22nd in the league. The team’s on-base percentage of .300 is also near the bottom of the league rankings.
Over his last six games, Nolan Gorman has gone 6/19 with a home run and four RBIs. Brendan Donovan has also been swinging a good bat of late, going 7/24 in his last six games. Willson Contreras has four homers this season but has gone just 5/21 in his last six games.
Heading into their last game vs. the Royals, the Tigers closed out the series with a 4-1 win. Leading up to thethe game, they were the heavy favorite at -171. Offensively, the Tigers scored their four runs on 10 hits and only hit two home runs.
Tarik Skubal put together a good start for the Tigers, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. Detroit’s offense was carried by Wenceel Perez, who went 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.
Detroit’s overall record is 16-12 heading into today’s matchup vs. the Cardinals. The Tigers are 3rd in the AL Central, trailing the Guardians by three games. They closed out their series vs. the Royals with back-to-back wins. This year, they have been good in the AL Central, putting together a record of 9-4.
At home, the Tigers are 6-8 this year and 10-4 on the road. Detroit has won three straight games as the underdog, and they are 8-6 both as the favorite and underdog this year. The Tigers have won two straight series, and their overall series record is 5-2-2 this year.
The Tigers have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 12-16 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 9-5. They have also been a good bet as the underdog, going 10-4. Their average run margin in winning games is 2.6, while it is -3.2 in losing games. They have covered the run line in their last five games as the underdog.
The Tigers have played 26 games this season, and 21 of them have had over/under lines set at 8.5 or lower. Their games have averaged 7.8 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 12-14. In games with over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, the over/under record is 1-4. The Tigers’ last game was a 5-0 win over the Royals, and the over/under line was set at 7.5 runs.
Kenta Maeda is getting the start for the Tigers at home against the Cardinals. Maeda has started 3 games so far this season and has yet to pick up a win. His last start was a 5-inning outing against the Rays, where he struck out 5 and gave up 3 hits. He has yet to give up a home run this season.
Mark Canha has been on a tear for the Tigers, going 11/28 in his last eight games, including two home runs. He also has a team-high 15 RBIs and is batting .272 for the season. Canha is also on a seven-game hitting streak. Kerry Carpenter is also swinging a hot bat for the Tigers, as he is batting .276 overall and has gone deep three times.
As a team, the Tigers are 23rd in scoring at 4 runs per game and are batting just .223. Their on-base percentage of .298 is also near the bottom of the league. Overall, they are 13th in home runs, but their slugging percentage and isolated power numbers are both near the bottom of the league.
Our prediction for this Cardinals vs. Tigers matchup is to take the Tigers on the money line, with the payout being -104. We have the Tigers winning this one by a score of 5-4.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Kenta Maeda of the Tigers has a better chance of picking up a win than the Cardinals’ starter, Steven Matz. Maeda is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is better than Matz, who we have finishing with six as well.
Detroit Tigers vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Tips
- We like the Tigers on the moneyline (-104)
- The Tigers should also cover at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Detroit Tigers Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Carson Kelly | Questionable | Ribs |
Gio Urshela | Out | Hamstring |
Andy Ibáñez | Out | Hamstring |
Sawyer Gipson-Long | Out | Elbow |
St. Louis Cardinals Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Matt Carpenter | Out | Oblique |
Keynan Middleton | Out | Forearm |
Dylan Carlson | Out | Shoulder |
Tommy Edman | Out | Wrist |
Drew Rom | Out | Biceps |
Riley O’Brien | Out | Forearm |