Detroit Tigers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Preview
Detroit comes into this interleague matchup vs. the Pirates looking to extend their three-game winning streak. They are 26-27 overall and the money line odds have them at -152. As for the Pirates, they are +128 on the money line and have an overall record of 25-29.
BSDET will be televising this one, and the over/under line is currently at 7 runs. Tuesday’s forecast in Detroit calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the low 70s. Jared Jones is starting for the Pirates, while the Tigers are going with Tarik Skubal. First pitch from Comerica Park is set for 6:40 PM ET.
Check out BetCoco for Detroit Tigers – Pittsburgh Pirates odds
Detroit Tigers Trends and Key Stats
- The Pirates are 3-2 across their last five road games. They have gone 4-1 vs. the runline.
- Conversely, the Tigers have achieved a 1-4 (SU) record and 1-4 record in their last five home games.
- The Tigers have a straight-up record of 4-6 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 3-7 record vs. the runline.
- Looking at the Pirates’ previous ten games as the underdog they are 6-4 straight-up and 8-2 vs. the runline.
Detroit Tigers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction
The Pirates will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Braves with an 8-1 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 2nd inning before the Braves scored eight runs in the 3rd to put things out of reach. Pittsburgh was the +201 underdog at home going into the game.
Martin Perez was only able to last three innings, giving up eight earned runs on 14 hits. The Pirates also issued three walks in the 3rd inning. Connor Joe was hot at the plate, going 2/3 with a run scored. However, the Pirates only had one other hit, a single by Carmen Mlodzinski in the 2nd.
Pittsburgh will be on the road today to take on the Tigers with an overall record of 25-29. The Pirates are 4th in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by 6.5 games. So far, they are 7-7 in divisional matchups this year.
At home, the Pirates have gone 12-15 this year, and they are just above .500 at 13-14 on the road. This season, the Pirates have really struggled as the favorite, going 7-14. However, as the underdog, they are 18-15, which includes going 11-10 as the underdog on the road. Pittsburgh took their most recent series, winning two of three games vs. the Braves.
When betting the run line on the Pirates, it’s been profitable to take them as the underdog, as they are 24-9 against the run line in that spot. They have been especially good against the run line on the road, going 17-10. They have also been on a run line winning streak of four games. However, they have been a poor bet as the favorite, going just 6-15 against the run line.
The Pittsburgh Pirates are on the road today against the Detroit Tigers. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 7 runs. The combined run average for Pirates games this season is 8.5 runs, and their over/under record is 27-26. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 7 runs is 3-2. Overall, 88.9% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7 runs, while just 1.9% have had lower lines.
Pittsburgh is sending Jared Jones to the mound today vs. the Tigers. He has made 10 starts this year and has a record of 3-4 with an ERA of 3.05. Looking at his overall numbers, Jones has a WHIP of .97 and has turned in seven quality starts. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Jones has been much better at home, with an ERA of 2.4 compared to 3.79 on the road.
Over the past nine games, Bryan Reynolds has been swinging a hot bat for the Pirates, going 13/41 with two homers and eight RBIs. Reynolds is also on a five-game hitting streak. Andrew McCutchen has also been swinging a better bat of late, hitting .278 in his last nine games with two homers. For the season, McCutchen is batting just .226.
As a team, the Pirates are 23rd in scoring at 4 runs per game. They have been a bit better on the road, averaging 4.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting just .228 and have the league’s 12th worst slugging percentage. Pittsburgh’s offense has been good at drawing walks this season.
The Tigers’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Blue Jays, closing out their series with a 14-11 win. After allowing three runs to the Blue Jays in the top of the 1st, the Tigers responded with four runs of their own. Detroit went on to add another four runs in the 2nd inning.
Casey Mize got the start for the Tigers, going 4 1/3 innings, and picked up the win. He did struggle on the mound, giving up three earned runs on eight hits and issuing two walks. Matt Vierling was hot at the plate, going 4/6 with two homers and four RBIs.
Detroit is 26-27 overall and are 9.5 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. The Tigers have won three straight games, and they took three of four from the Blue Jays in their most recent series. So far, they are 10-9 in divisional games this year.
At home, the Tigers are 13-14 this year and 13-13 on the road. As the home favorite, Detroit has gone 9-10 and 13-12 as the favorite overall. Their overall series record is 8-7-2 this year.
When betting the run line on the Tigers, it’s been best to take them as the underdog, as they are 18-10 against the run line in those games. They are just 5-20 against the run line when favored, and 8-19 against the run line at home. Their overall run line record is 23-30, and their average run margin in winning games is +3.3, while in losing games it’s -3.2.
Today’s over/under line for the Detroit Tigers game against the Pittsburgh Pirates is set at 7 runs. The Tigers have had a combined run average of 8.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 28-23. The average over/under line for their games this season has been set at 8 runs. When the line is set at 7 runs, their over/under record is 4-1. In 47 of their games this season, the over/under line has been set higher than 7 runs, which accounts for 88.7% of their games. Only one game this season has had an over/under line set lower than 7 runs, which is just 1.9% of their games.
Detroit is sending left-hander Tarik Skubal to the mound today vs. the Pirates. He has made 10 starts this year and has a record of 6-1 with an ERA of 2.25. Skubal’s WHIP for the season is currently .85. In his 10 starts, he has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 10.8 strikeouts per nine innings. Skubal has a total of 72 strikeouts this year, and he is coming off a rough outing vs. the Royals, where he gave up four earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Heading into today’s game, the Tigers are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. Their team batting average of .236 is 14th in the MLB, and they are also 15th in home runs. Detroit’s top two home run hitters are Riley Greene and Kerry Carpenter, who have 9 and 8 homers, respectively. Carpenter also leads the team with 29 RBIs.
Over his last eight games, Kerry Carpenter has gone 7/19 with three homers and seven RBIs. Colt Keith has also been swinging a hot bat, going 11/23 over his last eight games. Jake Rogers is currently on a four-game hitting streak for the Tigers.
Our prediction for this Pirates vs. Tigers matchup is to take the Tigers on the money line at -152. We have the Tigers winning this one by a final score of 5-4. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could take the over, as the line is sitting at 7 runs.
Looking at the starting pitcher matchups, Tarik Skubal is projected to have a solid outing, with our model having him finishing with seven strikeouts. As for Jared Jones, he is projected to finish with just four strikeouts.
Detroit Tigers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Tips
- Take the Tigers on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Pirates (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Detroit Tigers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Shelby Miller | Out | Forearm |
| Sawyer Gipson-Long | Out | Elbow |
Pittsburgh Pirates Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Martín Pérez | Questionable | Groin |
| Johan Oviedo | Out | Elbow |
| Marco Gonzales | Out | Forearm |
| Ke’Bryan Hayes | Out | Back |
| Ryan Borucki | Out | Tricep |
| Jason Delay | Out | Knee |
| Joey Bart | Questionable | Thumb |
| Dauri Moreta | Out | Elbow |
| Endy Rodríguez | Out | Elbow |
