Detroit Tigers vs New York Yankees Preview
The Tigers host the Yankees today at 7:10 PM ET at Journey Bank Ballpark at Historic Bowman Field in Williamsport, PA. Detroit is 4th in the AL Central with a record of 60-64, while the Yankees are leading the AL East at 73-51.
ESPN is carrying tonight’s TV coverage, and the Tigers are favored on the money line, with the odds sitting at -121 compared to the Yankees at +103. Sunday’s starting pitching matchup features Marcus Stroman for the Yankees and Tarik Skubal for the Tigers.
Check out BetCoco for Detroit Tigers – New York Yankees odds
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees Trends and Key Stats
- The Yankees are 3-2 across their last five road games. They have gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
- In the Tigers’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 2-3 (SU) with 4-1 against the spread.
- The Tigers have a straight-up record of 6-4 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
- The Yankees have a 6-4 straight-up record and a 7-3 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.
Detroit cruised to a 4-0 win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. The Tigers had a huge 2nd inning, scoring three of their four runs. As for the Yankees, they had their best chance to score in the 4th, but the Tigers got out of a bases-loaded jam.
Keider Montero only went five innings for the Tigers but didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued two walks. On the other side, Carlos Rodón had a rough outing for the Yankees, giving up four earned runs in just 3 1/3 innings of work.
Spencer Torkelson and Zach McKinstry each had two hits and an RBI for the Tigers’ offense. Jace Jung also had a two-hit game and scored a run. Andy Ibanez drove in two runs while going 1/4.
Detroit Tigers vs New York Yankees Prediction
Heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Tigers, the Yankees are 73-51 overall, good for 1st place in the AL East. They lead the Orioles by just one game for the division lead. The Yankees are 5-5 over their last ten games and are 1-1 in their current series with the Tigers.
At home, the Yankees have gone 32-27 this season, and they have been really good on the road at 41-24. As the underdog, the Yankees have been excellent this season, putting together an 18-6 record, which includes having won six straight as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 23-12-4 and have won two straight series.
The Yankees have a run line record of 65-59 this season, with a run differential of +0.9 runs per game. They are 39-26 against the run line on the road, where they have a scoring margin of +1.4 runs per game. They have been a run line underdog in 24 games, going 20-4 in those contests. In their last six games as a run line underdog, they have covered the run line each time.
The New York Yankees have been playing in high-scoring games this season, with a combined run average of 9.3. Their over/under record is 68-52, and the average over/under line for their games has been 9 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, their record is 7-6. Overall, 87.1% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs. Their current under streak is at 2 games.
Marcus Stroman gets the start for the Yankees today as he faces the Tigers on the road. He has made 23 starts this season and has a record of 8-6 with a 4.00 ERA. Stroman’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.40. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going five innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings. Stroman has made seven quality starts this year and is averaging 6.45 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed 18 home runs and is averaging 3.86 walks per nine innings.
The Yankees come into today’s game as the top-scoring offense in the league, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.5 runs per contest. Overall, the Yankees are the league’s top home run-hitting team and also lead the MLB in on-base percentage and OPS. As a team, they are batting .252.
Aaron Judge and Juan Soto have been the Yankees’ top two hitters this season, with Judge leading the team with a .332 batting average and 44 homers, while Soto is batting .302 with 34 homers. Judge has been especially hot of late, going 11/25 in his last seven games with three homers. Judge also comes into the game on a six-game hitting streak.
Detroit is 60-64 overall and 4th in the AL Central, trailing the Guardians by 12.5 games. So far, they are 20-22 against other teams in the AL Central. The Tigers are looking to get back to .500 today, as they are also 30-32 both at home and on the road.
As the underdog, the Tigers have gone 37-43 this year, compared to a mark of 23-21 as the favorite. Detroit’s overall series record is 16-18-5, and they are currently tied with the Yankees in their series. Looking back at their last ten games, the Tigers are 6-4 overall.
Despite their .500 run differential, the Tigers have been a profitable run line team this season. Their 65-59 mark against the run line includes a 38-24 record on the road, where they have a positive run differential. They have been particularly good against the run line as an underdog, going 52-28.
The Detroit Tigers are hosting the New York Yankees in a game with an over/under line of 7.5 runs. The Tigers’ games have averaged 8.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 64-57. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, their record is 18-16. Overall, 59.7% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, and their games have gone under the total in each of their last four contests.
Tarik Skubal gets the start for the Tigers today and comes in with a record of 14-4 and an ERA of 2.53. So far this season, he has made 24 starts, and opponents are batting .197 off the left-hander. Skubal’s WHIP for the season is .92, and he has made 18 quality starts. In his last outing, he went six innings, giving up one earned run and picking up the win. Looking back further, Skubal has won three straight starts. The last time he lost, he gave up two homers and seven earned runs to the Royals. He has given up at least one homer in three of his last four starts.
Heading into today’s game, the Tigers offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 23rd in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging 4.1 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .231 this season, and their on-base percentage of .295 is also near the bottom of the league.
Riley Greene and Matt Vierling have been the Tigers’ top power hitters this season, with Greene leading the team with 17 homers and Vierling right behind him with 14. Greene also has the team’s best on-base percentage, at .357. Kerry Carpenter has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 5/16 with three homers over his last four games.
Looking at the money line, we like the Tigers to pick up a win over the Yankees with a final score prediction of 5-4. The payout on the Tigers is -121, and we have Tarik Skubal finishing with six strikeouts, and Marcus Stroman with just four.
If you’re looking for a potential parlay, you could look to the over/under, and if so, we would recommend taking the over at 7.5. Offensively, we have the Tigers finishing with nine hits compared to the Yankees with eight.
Detroit Tigers vs New York Yankees Betting Tips
- Take the Tigers on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Yankees (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Detroit Tigers Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Wenceel Pérez | Out | Oblique |
Casey Mize | Out | Hamstring |
Riley Greene | Out | Hamstring |
Reese Olson | Out | Shoulder |
Brendan White | Out | Elbow |
Sawyer Gipson-Long | Out | Elbow |
New York Yankees Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Anthony Rizzo | Out | Arm |
Tyler Lyons | Out | Personal |
Jon Berti | Out | Calf |
Cody Poteet | Out | Tricep |
Lou Trivino | Out | Elbow |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. | Out | Elbow |
Clarke Schmidt | Out | Lat |
Jonathan Loáisiga | Out | Elbow |
Ian Hamilton | Out | Lat |
JT Brubaker | Out | Elbow |
Kenlly Montas | Out | Personal |