Detroit Tigers vs New York Yankees Prediction & Betting Tips 8/17/2024

Detroit Tigers vs New York Yankees Preview

Carlos Rodon will start for the Yankees on Saturday, as they look to extend their winning streak to four games. They are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -193 compared to the Tigers, who are +162. Saturday’s over/under line is at 9 runs.

New York will be facing off against the Tigers in Detroit, with the game being played at Comerica Park. Keider Montero is slated to start for the Tigers. They are currently 4th in the AL Central, while the Yankees are 1st in the AL East. MLBN will be carrying this game on TV.

Check out BetCoco for Detroit Tigers – New York Yankees odds

Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees Trends and Key Stats

• The Yankees are 4-1 across their last five road games. They have gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
• Conversely, the Tigers have achieved a 2-3 (SU) record and 4-1 record in their last five home games.
• The Yankees have a 6-4 straight-up record in their last ten games as the favorite, and 5-5 against the runline.
• When playing as the underdog, the Tigers have gone 5-5 against the runline, with a straight-up record of 6-4 over their last ten games.

The Yankees offense only had two more hits than the Tigers in the most recent game of this series. New York went into the matchup as -209 favorites and picked up a 3-0 win. Heading into the game, the Yankees had scored the most runs in the league while the Tigers had the second-fewest.

Gerrit Cole started for the Yankees and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but issued two walks. As for the Tigers, Beau Brieske only went one inning and gave up one run on one hit.

Aaron Judge and Oswald Peraza each homered for the Yankees, while Gleyber Torres went 2/4 with an RBI. Judge, Peraza, and Torres were the only three Yankees hitters to have more than one hit.

Detroit Tigers vs New York Yankees Prediction

The Yankees are on a three-game winning streak, and they lead the AL East by one game over the Orioles. So far, they have gone just 22-23 against other AL East teams. New York is 73-50 overall and took the first game of their series vs. the Tigers.

At home, the Yankees are 32-27 this year, and they have been really good on the road, going 41-23. As the road favorite, the Yankees are 24-19 this year, and they are 55-44 as the favorite overall. New York has been tough to beat as the underdog, going 18-6 this season. The Yankees’ overall series record is 23-12-4, and they have won two straight series.

When the Yankees are on the road, they have been a solid bet to cover the run line, going 39-25 on the season. They have won three straight games against the run line and have covered the run line in 20 of 24 games as the underdog.

The Yankees have played 119 games this season with an average combined run total of 9.3 runs per game. Their over/under record is 68-51, and the average over/under line in their games is 9 runs. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 9-11-2. They have played 18 games with higher over/under lines than 9 runs, which accounts for 14.6% of their games.

Carlos Rodón gets the start for the Yankees today as he faces the Tigers on the road. So far this season, he has made 24 starts and has a record of 13-7 with an ERA of 4.18. Rodón’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.22. In his 24 appearances, he has turned in 12 quality starts and is averaging 9.8 strikeouts per nine innings. Rodón has been pitching well lately, as he has won his last four starts. Most recently, he didn’t allow a run in 5 2/3 innings of work against the Rangers. Before that, he had allowed at least one homer in three straight starts.

Not only are the Yankees the top home run hitting team in the league, but they are also 2nd in runs per game and have the league’s top OPS and OBP. As a team, they are batting .253, which is 8th in the league. Aaron Judge and Juan Soto have been two of the league’s top power hitters this season, with Judge leading the league with 44 homers and Soto’s 34 homers being 5th in the MLB. Judge is also 1st in the league with 111 RBIs, while Soto is 2nd on the team with 87.

Both Judge and Soto have been swinging the bat well of late, with Judge going 13/25 with three homers in his last seven games, and Soto has six homers in this stretch while batting .304. Judge also comes into the game on a five-game hitting streak.

Detroit is 59-64 overall and trails the Guardians by 13.5 games in the AL Central. So far, they are 20-22 against their division. The Tigers are looking to bounce back today, as they dropped the first game of the series vs. the Yankees. Currently, they are 6-4 over their last 10 games.

At home, the Tigers are 29-32 this season, and they have gone 30-32 on the road. As the underdog, Detroit is 36-43 this year and 23-21 as the favorite. The Tigers’ overall series record is 16-18-5 this year.

When the Tigers win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.6 runs per game. That’s helped them to a 64-59 run line record on the season. They’ve been especially good on the run line on the road, going 38-24, compared to just 26-35 at home. They’ve been a run line underdog in most games, going 51-28 in that spot, compared to just 13-31 as the favorite.

The Tigers have played to an over/under record of 64-56 this season, and the average over/under line in their games has been 8 runs. When the line has been set at 9 runs, the over has gone 7-5-1 in their games. The over/under line for today’s game against the Yankees is set at 9 runs, and the combined run average in their games this season is 8.4 runs per game. Detroit has played just 4 games this season with an over/under line set at 9 runs, which represents only 3.3% of their games. Their games have gone under the total in 86.2% of their games this season, and they are currently on a 3-game under streak.

Through 10 appearances, Keider Montero has a record of 3-5 and an ERA of 5.76. He has made nine starts and has a WHIP of 1.35. Montero’s ERA at home is 6.97, and he has yet to win a game at home, coming in with a record of 0-4. The right-hander has been much better on the road, going 3-1 with a 5.0 ERA. In his last outing, Montero gave up four earned runs in five innings of work but still came away with the win. Before that, he had given up at least five earned runs in three straight starts.

Heading into today’s game, Matt Vierling and Riley Greene have been the Tigers’ top power threats this season, with Vierling’s 14 homers ranking 2nd on the team and Greene’s 17 leading the way. Greene also has the team’s top batting average at .264. Vierling comes into the game with a four-game hitting streak and has gone 5/16 with three homers over that stretch. Over his last four games, Kerry Carpenter has also been hot, going 5/16 with three homers.

Overall, the Tigers are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. Their team batting average of .230 is 19th in the MLB, and they are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage and OPS. As a team, they are also just 18th in home runs.

With the Tigers sitting at +162 on the money line, that is the direction we recommend going in this matchup. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Tigers, making their +162 odds a great value.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we actually have Carlos Rodón finishing with more strikeouts than Keider Montero. However, we still have Montero ending with four strikeouts, and Rodón with seven.

Offensively, our projections have the Yankees finishing with 8 hits, compared to the Tigers with nine. The Yankees are projected to hit more home runs, but we have them finishing with just one more than the Tigers.

Detroit Tigers vs New York Yankees Betting Tips

• We like the Tigers on the moneyline (+162)
• On the run line we like Tigers (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Detroit Tigers Injury Report

New York Yankees Injury Report