Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Prediction & Betting Tips 7/26/2024

Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Preview

Friday’s matchup between the Twins and Tigers has a first pitch of 6:40 PM ET from Comerica Park in Detroit. The Twins are 2nd in the AL Central with a record of 56-45, while the Tigers are 4th in the division at 51-53.

Minnesota is currently favored on the money line, with the odds sitting at -168 compared to the Tigers at +143. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and BSN will be televising this one.

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Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins Trends and Key Stats

• The Twins are 2-3 in their five most recent road games, including a 2-3 runline record.
• On the opposing side, the Tigers have a 2-3 (SU) record, along with a 5-0 record in their last five home contests.
• In their last ten games as the favorite, the Twins have a straight-up record of 5-5 and a runline record of 3-7.
• The Tigers have a 4-6 record vs. the runline and a 5-5 straight-up record in their last ten games as the underdog.

Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Prediction

Matt Wallner had only one hit in the Twins’ 5-4 win over the Phillies, but it was a big one. He homered in the 2nd inning, and the Twins added another run to take the early lead. Minnesota was the +115 underdog at home going into this game.

Steven Okert got the start for the Twins, going only one-third of an inning. He didn’t give up a run, but he did issue a walk. Jhoan Duran got the win out of the bullpen, and the Twins scored three runs in the 7th to take the lead. Duran also picked up the save.

Minnesota is 56-45 overall, putting them 2nd in the AL Central, 4.5 games behind the Guardians for the division lead. So far, they are 19-13 against other teams in the AL Central. The Twins are playing on the road today, where they are 27-24 this season.

The Twins have been good as the favorite this year, going 44-26 and 21-9 as the favorite on the road. Minnesota closed out their series vs. the Phillies with a win and took the series 2-1. Currently, they are 4-6 over their last 10 games.

The Twins have been a strong bet on the run line this season, going 48-53 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, where they are 28-23. They have covered the run line in their last two road games and have an average scoring margin of +0.4 runs per game away from home.

Minnesota is on the road in Detroit today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The Twins have a combined run average of 9.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 51-48. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, Minnesota has gone 7-15-2 in those games. Overall, 39 of their games have had over/under lines set above 8 runs, which accounts for 38.6% of their games this season.

Right-hander Pablo López gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Tigers on the road. This year, he has made 20 starts, and his record is 8-7 with an ERA of 4.87. Looking at his overall numbers, López has a WHIP of 1.15 and opponents are batting .241 this year. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going seven innings and giving up one earned run on four hits. López has made nine quality starts this year and is averaging 10.38 strikeouts per nine innings. The last time he faced the Tigers, he gave up six earned runs in five innings of work.

Carlos Correa and Ryan Jeffers are both on a nice stretch of games heading into today’s game, as Correa is on a four-game hitting streak, and Jeffers has also hit safely in his last five games. Over his last five games, Correa is 7/20 with three RBIs, and Jeffers has two homers in that stretch. For the season, Correa is batting .308 with 13 homers, and Jeffers is also tied for the team lead with 14 homers.

Max Kepler is batting .350 over his last five games and is also on a five-game hitting streak. Willi Castro has been a solid contributor for the Twins this season, batting .262 with seven homers and 32 RBIs. As a team, the Twins are 7th in scoring at 4.8 runs per game and are 8th in home runs.

Javier Baez had only one hit in the Tigers’ 3-0 win over the Guardians, but it was a big one. He hit a three-run homer in the 2nd inning to give the Tigers the lead. Detroit’s offense scored their other three runs in the 2nd as well. The Tigers went on to win the game 3-0 as the +127 underdog on the money line.

Tyler Holton got the start for the Tigers and picked up the win. He only lasted two innings, but Detroit’s bullpen was able to close things out. Easton Lucas got the save, and Shelby Miller closed things out in the 9th.

Detroit will take on the Twins at home today with an overall record of 51-53, putting them 4th in the AL Central. The Tigers trail the Guardians by 11 games in the division and are 18-15 against other teams in the AL Central. Detroit is coming off a series where they split the four games vs. the Guardians.

At home, the Tigers are 24-24 this year and have gone 27-29 on the road. As the underdog, Detroit is 29-33 this year compared to 22-20 as the favorite. They have won two straight at home, and their overall series record is 14-14-4 this year.

Despite being at home, the Tigers have struggled to cover the run line, going 20-28. They have been a better bet on the run line on the road, where they are 33-23. They have been a solid run line underdog, going 41-21, and have covered the run line in 13 straight games as the underdog.

The Detroit Tigers have had an over/under record of 56-45 this season, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the line has been set at 8 runs, they have gone over 14 times, under 11 times, and pushed twice. The over/under line for today’s game against the Minnesota Twins is set at 8 runs, and the combined run average for Tigers games this season is 8.5 runs.

Right-hander Keider Montero gets the start for the Tigers today as he faces the Twins at home. He has made 5 starts and 6 appearances this season and has a record of 1-3 with a 5.97 ERA. Montero’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.39. In his 31 2/3 innings of work, he has given up 7 home runs. Montero’s last outing came vs. the Blue Jays, where he took the loss, giving up 5 earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had turned in two straight quality starts. So far, he has two quality starts this year.

Heading into today’s game, the Tigers offense is averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. They have been a bit better at home, averaging 4.4 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .233, and their on-base percentage of .298 is also near the bottom of the league. Detroit’s offense is also near the bottom of the league in terms of slugging percentage and OPS.

Riley Greene and Matt Vierling have been the Tigers’ top power threats this season, with Greene leading the team with 17 homers and Vierling right behind him with 13. Greene is also batting .264 for the season and has driven in a team-high 51 runs. Vierling has gone 8/29 in his last seven games, but has just one home run in that stretch. Justyn-Henry Malloy has gone 5/18 in his last six games, including two homers.

Getting the Tigers at +143 on the money line is a great value pick for today’s Twins vs. Tigers matchup. Our model has the Tigers winning this one by a score of 5-4, giving you some options if you want to take the Tigers on the run line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Keider Montero finishing with five strikeouts compared to Pablo López with six. However, we have López finishing with a better chance to pick up the win, but we still like the Tigers to get the win.

Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Betting Tips

• We like the Tigers on the moneyline (+143)
• On the run line we like Tigers (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Detroit Tigers Injury Report

Minnesota Twins Injury Report