Detroit Tigers vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction & Betting Tips 6/9/2024

Detroit Tigers vs Milwaukee Brewers Preview

From Comerica Park in Detroit, we have an interleague matchup between the Brewers and Tigers. First pitch on Sunday is set for 1:40 PM ET. The forecast for the game calls for temperatures in the low 70s and partly cloudy skies.

Milwaukee is 38-26 this season and they are currently on a two-game winning streak. The Tigers have lost three straight and are 4th in the AL Central with a record of 31-33. Detroit is favored on the money line today (-171), and the over/under line is sitting at 7.5 runs. Today’s starting pitching matchup is Bryse Wilson for the Brewers and Tarik Skubal for the Tigers. On the season, Skubal is 2-6 with a 4.34 ERA, while Wilson is making his first start for the Brewers.

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Detroit Tigers Trends and Key Stats

• The Brewers are 2-3 in their five most recent road games, including a 2-3 runline record.
• On the other side, the Tigers have gone 3-2 (SU) and 2-3 in their previous five home contests.
• In their last ten games as the favorite, the Tigers have a record of 4-6 straight-up, and have gone 3-7 against the runline.
• The Brewers have a 5-5 straight-up record and a 7-3 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Brewers vs Tigers series. Milwaukee went into the matchup as -176 favorites and squeaked out a 5-4 win. The Brewers had a two-run lead heading into the 9th inning, and the Tigers could only muster one run in the bottom half of the inning.

Detroit wasted a good outing from Casey Mize, as he gave up just three earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Freddy Peralta got the start for the Brewers, going just 3 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs.

At the plate, the Brewers were led by Brice Turang, Jackson Chourio, Christian Yelich, and Sal Frelick, as they were the only four Milwaukee hitters to have more than one hit. Turang and Churio each scored two runs for the Brewers’ offense.

Detroit Tigers vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

Milwaukee is on the road today, taking on the Tigers, and they lead the NL Central by 6.5 games over the Reds. The Brewers are 38-26 overall and have taken the first two games of this series vs. the Tigers. So far, they have gone 16-8 in divisional matchups.

As the road team, the Brewers have gone 20-16 this season compared to an 18-10 mark at home. Milwaukee has been good as the underdog this year, going 19-14, and they are 19-12 as the favorite. The Brewers’ overall series record is 11-7-2, and they are 7-3 over their last 10 games.

The Brewers have a run differential of +1.1 runs per game this season, and they are 34-30 against the run line. They have been better on the road, where they are 21-15 against the run line compared to 13-15 at home. As the favorite, they are just 11-20 against the run line, but as the underdog, they are 23-10. In their wins, they are outscoring opponents by an average of 3.7 runs per game, while in their losses, they are being outscored by an average of 2.8 runs per game.

When the Milwaukee Brewers play on the road, the over/under line is typically set at 7.5 runs, and they have a 9-4 record in games with that line. Their games have averaged 9.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 36-27 overall. The over has hit in 71.9% of their games this season, and they are currently on a two-game over streak.

Bryse Wilson is looking to bounce back from a rough outing out of the bullpen, as he gets the start for the Brewers today. Against the Phillies on June 3rd, he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. In that outing, he gave up one homer. Looking back over his last four outings, Wilson has given up at least one homer in each appearance. Wilson’s ERA for the season is 3.35, along with a record of 3-2. Opponents are batting .222 off Wilson this season.

Over the last 10 games, Christian Yelich has been swinging a hot bat for the Brewers, going 16/39 with one home run and 10 RBIs. Yelich’s hot stretch has pushed his season average up to .257. William Contreras is also batting well for the Brewers, hitting .309 for the season, and he comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak.

As a team, the Brewers are 4th in the league in scoring at 5 runs per contest. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.6 runs per game. Overall, they are one of the league’s top home run hitting teams and are batting .257 as a team.

Detroit is 31-33 overall and trails the Guardians by 10.5 games in the AL Central. The Tigers have dropped three straight games, and they are currently losing their series vs. the Brewers 0-2. So far, they have gone 10-9 in divisional games this year.

At home, the Tigers are 14-17 this year and 17-16 on the road. As the favorite, Detroit has gone 15-13 and 16-20 as the underdog. So far, they have an overall series record of 9-7-4.

When betting the run line on the Detroit Tigers, it’s been more profitable to take them on the road this season. The Tigers are 10-21 against the run line at home but 18-15 on the road. They’ve been a better bet as the underdog, going 22-14 against the run line in those games. Their average run differential is -0.2 runs per game, but that number jumps to -0.8 at home.

The Detroit Tigers are at home today against the Milwaukee Brewers in a game with an over/under line of 7.5 runs. The Tigers have been involved in games with an average of 8.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 36-26. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, the Tigers have a record of 11-8, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs.

Tarik Skubal has been dominant at home this season, coming in with a record of 4-0 and an ERA of 2.11. Overall, he is 7-1 with a 1.97 ERA. Skubal has made 12 starts, and opponents are batting just .190 this season. Skubal has turned in nine quality starts this season and is coming off an outing in which he gave up just one earned run in six innings of work. In that outing, he finished with a no-decision. Skubal has allowed a total of five home runs this season.

Heading into today’s game, the Tigers offense is averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is just 19th in the MLB. They have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.9 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .228 and have a collective on-base percentage of only .295. Detroit’s team OPS of .667 is also among the worst in the league.

Riley Greene and Kerry Carpenter have been the Tigers’ top power threats this season, with Greene’s 11 homers leading the team and Carpenter’s eight long balls coming in as the 2nd most on the team. Carpenter also has a team-best 29 RBIs and is batting .283 for the season. Greene has gone just 6/26 in his last seven games and is hitting .238 for the season.

We see the Brewers picking up a 5-4 road win over the Tigers in this one. With the Brewers’ money line sitting at +146, we see this as a great value pick, especially with the payout sitting at nearly $1.50 for every dollar you bet.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Tarik Skubal finishing with more strikeouts than Bryse Wilson, but Skubal is still not a great pick to pick up the win. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could look at the Brewers’ run line, as we have them winning by one run.

Detroit Tigers vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Tips

• We like the Brewers on the moneyline (+146)
• The Brewers are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Detroit Tigers Injury Report

Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report