Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians Preview
The forecast from Detroit on Tuesday calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the mid-70s. First pitch from Comerica Park is set for 6:40 PM ET. Cleveland is currently 56-33, while the Tigers are 43-48, and Cleveland is favored on the money line (-143).
Detroit will be looking to extend their four-game winning streak, but they are facing an AL Central-leading Guardians club that is 1st in the division. Kenta Maeda is slated to start for the Tigers, while Ben Lively will go for the Guardians. The over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and BSDET is carrying this game on TV.
Check out BetCoco for Detroit Tigers – Cleveland Guardians odds
Detroit Tigers Trends and Key Stats
- The Guardians are 1-4 in their five most recent road games, including a 1-4 runline record.
- Conversely, the Tigers have achieved a 4-1 (SU) record and 4-1 record in their last five home games.
- Over their last ten games, the Guardians have a 5-5 straight-up record when playing as the favorite, along with a 2-8 record vs. the runline.
- As the underdog, the Tigers have gone 3-7 vs. the runline and 5-5 straight-up.
Detroit rallied for one run in the 8th inning in the most recent game of this Tigers vs. Guardians series. The Tigers scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up one run in the bottom of the 8th, picking up a 2-1 win. Heading into the game, the Tigers were at +122 on the money line.
Keider Montero pitched well for the Tigers in this one, going 6 1/3 innings and striking out four without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Shelby Miller got the save. Scott Barlow took the loss for the Guardians out of the bullpen.
Offensively, the Tigers were led by Wenceel Perez, who went 2/4 with an RBI. Angel Martinez had two hits for the Guardians.
Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction
Cleveland comes into today’s game vs. the Tigers with an overall record of 56-33, which has them leading the AL Central by five games over the Twins. So far, they have gone 14-11 in divisional games. The Guardians have lost two of their last three games and are 5-5 over their last 10.
At home, the Guardians have been really good this year, going 30-11. On the road, Cleveland is 26-22 and have dropped two straight on the road. So far, they have been really good in day games, going 24-10 this season.
When the Guardians are on the road, they have been a solid bet on the run line, going 26-22. Their average run margin in those games is +1.0, which is slightly below their overall average run margin of +1.1. They have been an even better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 20-10, compared to 27-32 as the favorite.
Today’s game between the Cleveland Guardians and the Detroit Tigers has an over/under line of 8.5 runs, which is slightly below the combined run average of 8.7 runs per game for these two teams. The Guardians’ over/under record for the season is 44-39, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 12-13. So far this season, 22.5% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs.
Ben Lively will be looking to build off his last outing, where he faced off against the White Sox and picked up the win. In that July 4th outing, he went 6 innings and gave up 3 earned runs. Looking at his overall numbers, Lively has made 14 starts and has a record of 8-4. His ERA for the season is 3.14, along with a WHIP of 1.16. Opposing batters have a batting average of .231 off Lively this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.8 strikeouts and just 2.56 walks. Lively has turned in five quality starts this year.
Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor have been the Guardians’ top power threats this season, as Ramirez’s 23 homers are 4th in the league and Naylor’s 21 is 6th in the MLB. Ramirez also comes into the game 2nd in the league with 76 RBIs. However, Ramirez is batting just .200 over his last 10 games, and Naylor is hitting .263 in his last seven games.
Overall, the Guardians are 7th in runs scored, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .245 and have the 7th best on-base percentage in the league. Cleveland is also one of the league’s best power-hitting teams, coming in 7th in isolated power.
Detroit is 43-48 overall and 14 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. The Tigers have won four straight games and are 14-12 against other teams in the division. Detroit’s overall record has them 4th in the AL Central.
So far, the Tigers have been just below .500 both at home (20-22) and on the road (23-26). As the underdog, Detroit is 23-29 this year, and they have won three straight as the underdog overall. Detroit’s series record is 11-14-4 this year, and they are coming off a series win over the Twins.
When the Tigers win, they do so by an average of 3.6 runs per game. When they lose, they lose by an average of 3.6 runs per game. Their run line record as the underdog is 31-21, and they have covered the run line in three straight games as the underdog.
When the Tigers play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, which is just above their combined run average of 8.4 runs per game. Overall, Detroit has a 47-41 over/under record this season, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game. In games where the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Tigers have a 10-10 record. However, the under has hit in their last three games.
Kenta Maeda has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 2-5 with a 6.71 ERA. So far, he has turned in just two quality starts and is averaging 6.86 strikeouts per nine innings. Maeda’s WHIP for the season is 1.52. In his last outing, he took the loss, going 3 2/3 innings, and giving up nine hits, three earned runs, and one homer. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings. Maeda has a home ERA of 4.67 compared to 11.25 on the road.
Over his last six games, Colt Keith has been on fire at the plate, going 10/24 with three home runs and five RBIs. For the season, he is batting just .225. Riley Greene is the Tigers’ top hitter this season, batting .258 with 17 homers and 45 RBIs. Greene’s 17 homers are 10th in the league. Detroit’s offense is averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 23rd in the MLB.
As a team, the Tigers have been one of the league’s worst offenses this season, as they are 23rd in runs per game, 18th in batting average, and have a collective OPS of just .671. Detroit’s team on-base percentage of .294 is also one of the league’s worst marks.
Looking at the money line, we see the Tigers at +122 as a great value pick. We actually have them winning this game 6-5. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could take the Tigers on the money line and the over, as the line is sitting at 8.5 runs.
Starting with the Guardians, they are projected to finish with nine hits, compared to the Tigers with nine as well. However, we have the Tigers finishing with six runs, compared to the Guardians at five.
Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Tips
- Take the Guardians on the moneyline
- On the run line we like Tigers (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Detroit Tigers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Jack Flaherty | Questionable | Back |
| Casey Mize | Out | Hamstring |
| Parker Meadows | Out | Hamstring |
| Kerry Carpenter | Out | Back |
| Sawyer Gipson-Long | Out | Elbow |
Cleveland Guardians Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Matthew Boyd | Out | Elbow |
| Shane Bieber | Out | Elbow |
| Trevor Stephan | Out | Elbow |
| James Karinchak | Out | Shoulder |
| Will Brennan | Out | Oblique |
