Detroit Tigers vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction & Betting Tips 9/15/2024

Detroit Tigers vs Baltimore Orioles Preview

From Comerica Park in Detroit, we have the Orioles and Tigers facing off in an AL matchup. Sunday’s forecast in Detroit calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid to upper 60s. First pitch is set for 12:10 PM ET.

Baltimore is 84-65 and they are 2nd in the AL East, while the Tigers are 76-73 overall and 4th in the AL Central. Keider Montero is starting for the Tigers, while the Orioles are sending Cade Povich to the mound. On the money line, the Orioles are the slight favorite, and the over/under line is at 8.5 runs. BSDET will be televising Sunday’s Orioles vs. Tigers matchup.

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Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles Trends and Key Stats

• Across their last five road games, the Orioles are 2-3. This includes going 2-3 vs. the runline.
• Conversely, the Tigers have achieved a 3-2 (SU) record and 3-2 record in their last five home games.
• The Orioles are 5-5 in their last ten games as the favorite and 5-5 as the underdog.
• In their last ten games, the Tigers have a record of 7-3 as the favorite and 4-6 as the underdog.

Detroit wasted an excellent outing from Beau Brieske, as he went just one inning but didn’t give up a hit or a run for the Tigers. After Brieske, the Tigers bullpen gave up four runs in eight innings of work. On the other side, Corbin Burnes was dominant for the Orioles, going seven innings and striking out seven without giving up a run.

At the plate, the Orioles were led by Gunnar Henderson, Cedric Mullins, and Livan Soto, as they were the only three Orioles hitters to have more than one hit. Henderson and Mullins each scored two runs and drove in a run, while Soto had an RBI.

Detroit’s top hitter was Parker Meadows, who went 1/4 with a home run and three RBIs. Colt Keith also had a three-hit game for the Tigers.

Detroit Tigers vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

Baltimore is 84-65 overall this year, and they are 2nd in the AL East, two games behind the Yankees for the division lead. The Orioles will be on the road today, taking on the Tigers. This season, they have gone 30-19 in AL East matchups.

The Orioles have an overall series record of 25-15-7 this year, but they have dropped two straight series. So far, they are 42-33 at home compared to a 42-32 mark on the road. As the favorite, Baltimore is 68-48 this year, and they are 16-17 as the underdog. They are also just 4-6 across their last 10 games.

When the Orioles are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 44-30. Their average run margin in those games is +0.7 runs per game, compared to +0.4 runs per game at home. Baltimore has been a favorite in 116 games and an underdog in 33 games. Their run line record as a favorite is 58-58, while they are 22-11 as an underdog.

When the Baltimore Orioles are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Orioles and their opponents have combined to average 9.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 78-60 overall. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 24-19. This season, 47 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, which represents 31.5% of their games. Their current under streak is at four games.

Baltimore is sending Cade Povich to the mound today vs. the Tigers, and he comes in with a record of 2-8 and an ERA of 5.91. Looking at his overall numbers, Povich has made 13 starts, and opponents are batting .281 this season. In his 13 appearances, he has turned in three quality starts. Povich’s ERA on the road is 21.05, and he is 0-4 away from home. Most recently, he gave up four earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work vs. the Red Sox. Before that outing, he had not allowed an earned run in two straight starts.

As a team, the Orioles are 2nd in the league in home runs and are also among the league’s best offenses in terms of runs scored, batting average, and slugging percentage. Baltimore is averaging 4.9 runs per game and has been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. The team’s collective isolated power (ISO) of .187 is the best mark in the league.

Gunnar Henderson and Anthony Santander have been the Orioles’ top power threats this season, with 37 and 41 homers, respectively. Henderson is batting .283 for the season and has gone 15/40 with three homers over his last 10 games. Cedric Mullins is also swinging a hot bat right now, going 10/31 in his last 10 games.

Detroit is 76-73 overall and trails the Twins by 6.5 games for 3rd place in the AL Central. The Tigers are nine games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. This season, they have gone 24-22 in divisional games.

The Tigers have an even 38-36 record at home this season and are 38-37 on the road. So far, they have been better as the underdog, where they are 41-49. Detroit has gone 35-24 when favored this year. As for their overall series record, the Tigers are 22-20-5 and have won two straight series.

The Tigers have been a solid run line team this season, going 78-71 overall. They have been much better on the road, going 46-29 compared to 32-42 at home. They have been a much better bet as the underdog, going 57-33 compared to 21-38 as the favorite. Their average run margin this season is +0.2 runs per game.

The Detroit Tigers are playing at home today against the Baltimore Orioles. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is higher than their combined run average of 8.2. The Tigers have a 74-71 over/under record on the season, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game. Their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs in 15 of their games, and they have gone over in 15 of those games. The under has hit in their last three games.

Keider Montero will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. In that outing vs. the Rockies, he went 9 innings and didn’t give up a walk. Montero has made 14 starts this year and has a record of 5-6. His ERA for the season is 4.88, along with a WHIP of 1.28. Opposing batters are hitting .249 off the right-hander this season. Montero has one complete game shutout this year and four quality starts. His ERA at home is 5.25, compared to 5.66 on the road.

Heading into today’s game, the Tigers are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the majors. They have been a bit better on the road this season, averaging 4.3 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .234, which is 18th in the league, and their OBP of .298 is also near the bottom of the league. Detroit’s team OPS of .685 is just 22nd in the league.

Riley Greene comes into the game as the Tigers’ leader in home runs (21) and RBIs (66), while batting a solid .263. He is also on a five-game hitting streak. Colt Keith and Matt Vierling have also been solid at the plate, with Keith batting .263 and Vierling at .259. Vierling is 2nd on the team with 16 homers.

Our prediction for this Orioles vs. Tigers matchup is to take the Tigers on the money line at -105. We actually have the Tigers winning this one by a score of 6-5, so there is some value in taking them on the money line.

Looking at some of the starting pitcher projections, we have Keider Montero with a better chance of picking up a win compared to Cade Povich. Montero is projected to finish with four strikeouts, which isn’t great, but he is projected to finish with a solid line in terms of hits and earned runs allowed.

Detroit Tigers vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Tips

• We like the Tigers on the moneyline (-105)
• The Tigers should also cover at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Detroit Tigers Injury Report

Baltimore Orioles Injury Report