Colorado Rockies vs Philadelphia Phillies Preview
The Phillies are the heavy favorite heading into Friday’s matchup vs. the Rockies, with their money line odds sitting at -202 compared to the Rockies at +170. This one is taking place at 8:40 PM ET from Coors Field in Denver, and the forecast calls for temperatures in the low 70s with broken clouds.
Philadelphia is 37-14 and they have won six straight, while the Rockies are 16-33 overall and are 5th in the NL West. Cristopher Sanchez is starting for the Phillies, and he is facing off against Ty Blach for the Rockies.
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Colorado Rockies Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Phillies have recorded a 4-1 record, with a 3-2 performance on the runline.
- Conversely, the Rockies have achieved a 1-4 (SU) record and 2-3 record in their last five home games.
- Looking back on their last ten games as the favorite, the Phillies are 9-1 straight-up and 7-3 vs. the runline.
- When playing as the underdog, the Rockies have a 1-9 record against the runline and a 3-7 straight-up record in their last ten games.
Colorado Rockies vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
The Phillies’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Rangers, closing out their series with a 5-2 win. After allowing one run to the Rangers in the top of the 2nd, the Phillies responded with three runs of their own. Philadelphia went on to add another two runs in the 4th inning.
Zack Wheeler put together a good start for the Phillies, going seven innings and giving up just two runs on five hits. He only had five strikeouts in the outing and got the win.
Philadelphia is on the road today to take on the Rockies, and they come in having won six straight games. The Phillies are 37-14 overall this season, and they lead the Braves by six games in the NL East. So far, they are 11-5 against other teams in the NL East.
At home, the Phillies have gone 22-8 this year, and they are 15-6 on the road. This season, the Phillies have been really good in night games, going 24-7. As the favorite, the Phillies are 32-11 this year, and they are 5-3 as the underdog. Philadelphia won their most recent series, taking all three games vs. the Rangers. The Phillies have won two straight series and have an overall series record of 11-2-4 this year.
Philadelphia is 29-22 against the run line this season, including a 13-8 mark on the road. They’ve covered the run line in four straight games and are 24-19 when favored this season.
The Philadelphia Phillies are on the road to face the Colorado Rockies, with today’s over/under line set at 11 runs. The combined run average for Phillies games this season is 9.0 runs, and their over/under record is 25-23. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and they have not had any games with an over/under line set at 11 runs. In fact, 100% of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s 11-run line.
Left-hander Cristopher Sánchez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Rockies on the road. He has made nine starts this year and has a record of 2-3 with an ERA of 3.31. Sánchez’s WHIP for the season is 1.45, and opponents are batting .262 off him this year. In his last outing, Sánchez went seven innings, giving up two earned runs, and he finished with a no-decision. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Sánchez has made four quality starts this year and is averaging 8.63 strikeouts per nine innings.
The Phillies come into the game as the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5.4 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.8 runs per contest. Overall, they are 2nd in team batting average (.260) and have the best on-base percentage in the league. Philadelphia also has the league’s 5th best slugging percentage and the 3rd best OPS.
Both Alec Bohm and Bryce Harper have been swinging the bat well of late, with Bohm hitting .297 over his last nine games and Harper at .375 over his last eight. Bohm comes into the game with the 2nd best batting average on the team at .323, while Harper is hitting .281 for the season. Harper’s 12 homers is the best mark on the team and 5th best in the league.
The Rockies will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Athletics with a 10-9 loss. Colorado was the +101 underdog on the money line going into this matchup. Things looked good for the Rockies early, as they got on the board with two runs in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Athletics scored three times in the bottom of the first.
Colorado started Ryan Feltner, and he took the loss, going six innings and giving up seven earned runs on
Brenton Doyle had a big game at the plate, going 2/5 with a double, two RBIs, and a run scored. The Rockies also had three other players with two hits.
Colorado is 16-33 overall, putting them 5th in the NL West, 15.5 games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. So far, they are 8-12 against other NL West teams. The Rockies have won four straight games at home, and they are 9-12 at home this year.
The Rockies have really struggled on the road, going just 7-21. As for their series record, the Rockies are 2-13-1 and lost two straight series before their most recent series vs. the Athletics, where they lost 2-1. As the underdog, the Rockies are 16-33 this year.
When the Rockies win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.4 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.9 runs per game. Overall, they have a run line record of 26-23, and they are 11-10 against the run line at home. Their run line win streak at home is at four games, and they have covered the run line in three straight games as the underdog.
The Rockies have played in 49 games this season, and 40 of them have had lower over/under lines than today’s 11-run line. Their games have averaged 9.6 runs per game, and their over/under record is 26-23. When the over/under line has been set at 11 runs, their record is 2-3. Only 8.2% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 11 runs.
Left-hander Ty Blach gets the start for the Rockies today as he faces the Phillies at home. Blach has made three starts and six total appearances this season, finishing with a record of 1-2 and an ERA of 5.14. Opposing batters are hitting .325 off Blach this season, and his WHIP is currently 1.43. In his last outing, Blach took the loss, giving up six earned runs in three innings of work. Before that, he had picked up the win, allowing just one earned run in five innings of work. Blach has allowed at least one homer in three of his last four outings.
Colorado’s offense has been pretty average this season, as they are 20th in the league at 4.1 runs per game. They have been a bit better at home, averaging 4.3 runs per contest. The Rockies have been a below-average home run hitting team this season and are also near the bottom of the league in terms of strikeouts and walks.
Over his last 10 games, Ryan McMahon has four homers and nine RBIs, while batting .279. For the season, he is hitting .298 with a team-high 30 RBIs. Ezequiel Tovar has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 14/47 in his last 10 games with four homers and eight RBIs. He is batting .274 for the season.
With the money line payout for a Rockies win sitting at +170, this is the route we recommend going for today’s Phillies vs. Rockies matchup. We have the Rockies taking this one by a final score of 7-5.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Ty Blach is projected to finish with five strikeouts compared to Cristopher Sanchez, who we have at six. However, Blach is projected to give up fewer runs and finish with a lower ERA.
Colorado Rockies vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Tips
- We like the Rockies on the moneyline (+170)
- On the run line we like Rockies (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 12 runs, we like the over
Colorado Rockies Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Bard | Out | Forearm |
| Germán Márquez | Out | Elbow |
| Antonio Senzatela | Out | Elbow |
| Kyle Freeland | Out | Elbow |
| Nolan Jones | Out | Back |
| Lucas Gilbreath | Out | Elbow |
| Jake Bird | Out | Elbow |
Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Trea Turner | Out | Hamstring |
| Dylan Covey | Out | Shoulder |
| Rafael Marchán | Out | Back |
| Luis F. Ortiz | Out | Ankle |
| Yunior Marte | Out | Shoulder |
| Michael Rucker | Out | Hand |
