Colorado Rockies vs New York Mets Preview
There appears to be a chance of rain in Denver on Thursday, where the forecasted temperature is 64 degrees. At Coors Field, the Mets and Rockies will face off in an NL matchup. First pitch is at 3:10 PM ET.
New York is 60-54, and the Rockies are 42-73. David Peterson is starting for the Mets, while the Rockies are sending Austin Gomber to the mound. The Mets are the heavy money line favorite, with their odds sitting at -160, while the Rockies are at +136. The over/under line is currently 11 runs.
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Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the Mets are 2-3. This includes going 2-3 vs. the runline.
- Conversely, the Rockies have achieved a 3-2 (SU) record and 4-1 record in their last five home games.
- The Mets have a 6-4 straight-up record in their last ten games as the favorite, and 5-5 against the runline.
- The Rockies have a 1-9 record vs. the runline and a 3-7 straight-up record in their last ten games as the underdog.
New York rallied for three runs in the 9th inning in the most recent game of this Mets vs. Rockies series. The Mets scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up three in the top of the 9th, picking up a 5-3 win. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -153 on the money line.
Paul Blackburn started for the Mets and went six innings, giving up just one run and striking out six. He picked up a win in the game, while Jose Butto got the save. Ryan Feltner only went one inning for the Rockies, giving up one run on two hits.
Jesse Winker, Francisco Lindor, and Francisco Alvarez each had two RBIs for the Mets’ offense. Winker and Alvarez each had two hits, while Lindor scored two runs. Ezequiel Tovar had a two-run homer for the Rockies.
Colorado Rockies vs New York Mets Prediction
New York is 60-54 overall and trails the Phillies by eight games in the NL East. The Mets are 20-16 against other teams in the NL East. They are on the road today, and they are 30-29 at home compared to 30-25 on the road. The Mets have been good as the favorite this year, going 37-31 and 23-23 as the underdog.
The Mets are 18-14-7 in series this year, and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games overall. So far, they have split the first two games of their series vs. the Rockies.
When betting the Mets on the run line, it’s been better to take them on the road this season. They’ve covered the run line in 30 of 55 road games, compared to just 25 of 59 at home. They’ve been a better bet as an underdog, going 28-18 vs. the run line, as opposed to 27-41 as the favorite.
The Mets are on the road against the Rockies today, with the over/under line set at 11 runs. The Mets have a combined run average of 9.4 runs per game this season and have gone over the total in 58 of their 110 games this season. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 11 runs, they have gone under in all three games. The under has hit in four straight Mets games.
New York is sending left-hander David Peterson to the mound today vs. the Rockies. He has made 11 starts this year and has a record of 5-1 with an ERA of 3.47. Peterson’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.43. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going six innings and giving up two earned runs on four hits. Before that, he had won three straight starts. One area of concern for Peterson is his walk rate, as he is averaging 4.07 walks per nine innings compared to 7.09 strikeouts. This year, he has allowed a total of six homers.
So far this season, the Mets are 8th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, putting up 5.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are 6th in the league in home runs and have a team batting average of .250. Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor are the team’s top power threats, with Alonso’s 23 homers leading the team and Lindor’s 22 homers coming in as the 2nd most on the team.
Alonso comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak, but over his last four games, he is just 2/14. Jeff McNeil has also gone deep in his last four games, but he is hitting .286 over that stretch. Lindor and Alonso are the team’s top two run producers, with Lindor leading the way with 66 RBIs.
With a record of 42-73, the Rockies are 24 games out of the NL West lead. So far, they have gone 13-24 in divisional games. Colorado is looking to bounce back today, as they are just 4-6 over their last 10 games. The Rockies have really struggled on the road, going 17-43, and they are just above .500 at home at 25-30.
As the underdog, the Rockies are 42-73 this season, and they have yet to be the favorite in a game. Colorado’s overall series record is 8-25-3, and they are currently tied with the Mets in this series. The Rockies will take on the Mets today at home.
When the Rockies win, they win big, with an average run differential of +2.9 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run differential of -4.1 runs per game. The Rockies have been a solid bet against the run line overall, going 58-57, but they’ve been even better at home, where they are 30-25 against the run line. They have been a good bet as the underdog, going 58-57 against the run line, but they haven’t been favored often, as they are 0-0 against the run line in those games.
The Colorado Rockies have a combined run average of 10.0 this season, and their over/under record is 58-55. The average over/under line for their games is 9 runs, but when the line is set at 11 runs, their record is 6-6-1. So far this season, 90 of their games have had over/under lines set lower than 11 runs, which is 78.3% of their games. Their current under streak is at 2 games.
Through 21 starts, Austin Gomber has a record of 3-7 and an ERA of 4.66 for the Rockies. His WHIP for the season is 1.29. In his last outing, Gomber picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up two earned runs on six hits. Looking back further, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts before that outing. Gomber has made 12 appearances on the road, going 2-6 with a 6.64 ERA. At home, his record is 1-1 with a 3.87 ERA.
Colorado’s offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game this season, which is 17th in the league. They have been a much better offensive team at home, averaging 4.9 runs per game. Overall, they are 11th in the league in home runs and have the 12th best team batting average in the league. One area they have struggled is with strikeouts, as they are 29th in the league in this category.
Over the team’s last eight games, Brendan Rodgers has gone 10/31 with one home run and three RBIs. For the season, Ezequiel Tovar and Brenton Doyle are both batting over .280 and have 19 homers apiece. Tovar is 2nd on the team with 53 RBIs, and Doyle is the team’s current leader in RBIs.
Our prediction for this Mets vs. Rockies matchup is to take the Rockies on the money line at +136. With the over/under line sitting at 11 runs, we do like the over, but our prediction is that the Rockies will win this one by a score of 7-5.
Looking at today’s starters, we do have Austin Gomber finishing with just four strikeouts, which is the third-lowest among today’s starters. As for David Peterson, he is projected to finish with seven K’s, which is the second-best among today’s starters.
Colorado Rockies vs New York Mets Betting Tips
- Take the Mets on the moneyline
- The Rockies are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 12 runs, we like the over
Colorado Rockies Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Daniel Bard | Out | Forearm |
Germán Márquez | Out | Elbow |
Antonio Senzatela | Out | Elbow |
Kyle Freeland | Questionable | Finger |
Nolan Jones | Out | Back |
Ryan Feltner | Doubtful | Lat |
Lucas Gilbreath | Out | Elbow |
New York Mets Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Starling Marte | Out | Knee |
Brooks Raley | Out | Elbow |
Sean Reid-Foley | Out | Shoulder |
Drew Smith | Out | Elbow |
Kodai Senga | Out | Calf |
Reed Garrett | Out | Elbow |
Ronny Mauricio | Out | Knee |
Dedniel Núñez | Out | Elbow |
Christian Scott | Out | Elbow |
Christopher Larez | Out | Personal |