Colorado Rockies vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction & Betting Tips 7/4/2024

Colorado Rockies vs Milwaukee Brewers Preview

Thursday’s forecast in Denver calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-80s. The Brewers and Rockies will face off at 8:10 PM ET from Coors Field. Milwaukee is currently on a two-game winning streak and is 52-35 overall, while the Rockies have lost two straight and are 5th in the NL West with a record of 29-57.

Milwaukee is the favorite on the money line, and the over/under line is sitting at 10.5 runs. Tobias Myers is slated to start for the Brewers, while the Rockies are going with Cal Quantrill.

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Colorado Rockies Trends and Key Stats

• Across their last five road games, the Brewers are 3-2. This includes going 2-3 vs. the runline.
• On the other side, the Rockies have gone 1-4 (SU) and 1-4 in their previous five home contests.
• The Brewers have a straight-up record of 7-3 in their last ten games as the favorite, with a runline record of 6-4.
• When playing as the underdog, the Rockies have gone 1-9 against the runline, with a straight-up record of 3-7 over their last ten games.

It was all Milwaukee in the last game of this series, as the Brewers took down the Rockies by a score of 3-0. The Brewers offense only had one more hit than the Rockies and struck out six times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -173 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Colin Rea for the Brewers and Dakota Hudson for the Rockies. Rea went seven innings and didn’t give up a run, picking up a win in the game. Hudson was tagged for three runs in just 4 2/3 innings of work and took the loss.

Milwaukee’s two biggest hitters in the lineup were Christian Yelich and Brice Turang. Yelich and Turang each had three hits and scored a run for the Brewers’ offense.

Colorado Rockies vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

Milwaukee is on the road today vs. the Rockies, leading the NL Central by seven games over the Cardinals. The Brewers are 52-35 overall, and they have taken a 2-1 series lead vs. the Rockies. So far, they have gone 20-10 against other teams in the NL Central.

The Brewers have won two straight games, and they are 8-2 over their last 10. At home, the Brewers are 27-13 this year and 25-22 on the road. As the favorite, the Brewers are 31-17 this year and 21-18 as the underdog. Milwaukee’s overall series record is 17-8-2, and they have won two straight series.

On the road this season, the Brewers have been a solid bet against the run line, going 26-21. They have an average run margin of +0.7 runs per game away from home. As the underdog, they have been especially profitable, going 26-13 against the run line.

The Milwaukee Brewers are on the road to face the Colorado Rockies today, and the over/under line is set at 10.5 runs. The Brewers’ games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 46-37. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs per game, and they have not had any games with an over/under line of 10.5 runs this season. The under has hit in their last two games.

Milwaukee is sending right-hander Tobias Myers to the mound today vs. the Rockies. He has made 11 starts this year and has a record of 5-2 with a 3.26 ERA. Myers’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.16. In his 12 appearances, he has turned in four quality starts. Myers most recently pitched vs. the Cubs, where he went six innings, giving up three earned runs, and finished with a no-decision. Before that outing, he had won three straight starts. Myers has been much better on the road, coming in with a 2.53 ERA compared to 5.17 at home.

After being one of the league’s top home run hitting teams for most of the season, the Brewers are now just 14th in the league in homers. However, they still have a strong offense, as they are 7th in runs per game (4.8), and are 2nd in the league in team batting average. Milwaukee has also been very good at getting on base, with an OBP of .333 and the 3rd fewest strikeouts in the league.

William Contreras and Willy Adames have been two of the Brewers’ top power threats this season, with Contreras having 10 homers and Adames having 13. Adames’ 56 RBIs are 9th in the league, and Contreras is 14th in the league with 51 RBIs. Rhys Hoskins has also been a big power threat, with 11 homers, but he is batting just .220 this season.

With a record of 29-57, the Rockies are 5th in the NL West, and they trail the Dodgers by 23.5 games for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 10-17 in divisional matchups. The Rockies have dropped two straight games, and they are 2-8 over their last ten games.

At home, the Rockies are 17-26 compared to a 12-31 mark on the road. This season, the Rockies have really struggled in day games, going 10-24. As the underdog, Colorado is 29-57 this season, and they have lost two straight games as the underdog.

Despite a run line record of 21-22 at home, the Rockies have a run differential of -1.2 runs per game in home games. They have covered the run line in 41 of 86 games overall, and their average run differential in losses is -4.0 runs per game.

The Rockies are at home today, and the O/U line for their game against the Brewers is set at 10.5 runs. The combined run average for their games this season is 10.1, and their O/U record is 44-40. When the O/U line is set at 10.5 runs, their record is 6-7. This season, 22 of their games have had O/U lines set at 10.5 runs, accounting for 25.6% of their games. Their current under streak is at 2 games.

Right-hander Cal Quantrill gets the start for the Rockies today as he faces the Brewers at home. He has made 17 starts this year and has a record of 6-6 with a 3.78 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Quantrill has a WHIP of 1.30 and has issued 3.21 walks per nine innings compared to 6.8 strikeouts. Quantrill has turned in 10 quality starts this year, and his last outing was a rough one. Against the White Sox, he took the loss, giving up five earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had given up three earned runs in three straight starts.

For the season, the Rockies are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. However, they have been better at home, averaging 4.7 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .244, which is 11th in the league, and have the 12th best slugging percentage in the league. The Rockies have been one of the worst teams in terms of striking out this season.

Shortstop Ezequiel Tovar comes into the game with a batting average of .276 and is 2nd on the team with 12 home runs. Ryan McMahon is the team’s top power threat, as he has 14 homers, which is 13th in the league. Brendan Rodgers and Brenton Doyle are both on three-game hitting streaks, with Doyle and Rodgers each hitting four homers in their last nine games.

With the Rockies being the underdog at +122, that is the direction we recommend going for today’s Brewers vs. Rockies matchup. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Rockies, and with the money line payout, this is the route we would go.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Cal Quantrill picking up five strikeouts compared to Tobias Myers with six. However, we have Quantrill going for the Rockies, and you could look to get him as the winning pitcher if you’re looking for a player prop bet.

Colorado Rockies vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Tips

• Take the Brewers on the moneyline
• On the run line we like Rockies (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Colorado Rockies Injury Report

Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report