Colorado Rockies vs Chicago Cubs Preview
Chicago and Colorado face off in an NL matchup at 8:10 PM ET on Saturday. This one is being played at Coors Field in Denver and has the Rockies as slight +131 money line underdogs. The Cubs are favored at -154, and the over/under line is sitting at 11 runs.
Jameson Taillon will start for the Cubs, and he is facing off against Kyle Freeland. Chicago is 75-72 this season, while the Rockies are 56-92. Colorado is currently on a two-game winning streak, and they are 5th in the NL West. The Cubs have lost two straight and are 2nd in the NL Central.
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Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs Trends and Key Stats
- The Cubs are 3-2 in their five most recent road games, including a 3-2 runline record.
- Conversely, the Rockies have achieved a 2-3 (SU) record and 2-3 record in their last five home games.
- In their last ten games as the favorite, the Cubs have a straight-up record of 7-3 and a runline record of 6-4.
- As the underdog, the Rockies have gone 2-8 vs. the runline and 2-8 straight-up.
It was all Colorado in the last game of this series, as the Rockies took down the Cubs by a score of 9-5. The Rockies offense only had two more hits than the Cubs and struck out six more times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at +124 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Austin Gomber for the Rockies and Javier Assad for the Cubs. Gomber only went six innings but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. On the other side, Assad was tagged for four homers and four runs in six innings of work.
Chicago’s best chance to get back into the game came in the 8th inning when they scored three runs, but they couldn’t muster any offense in the 9th. As for the Rockies, they scored three runs in the 2nd and added four insurance runs in the 8th.
Colorado Rockies vs Chicago Cubs Prediction
Chicago is on the road today, and they are looking to pick up a win after dropping two straight games. Currently, the Cubs are 75-72, putting them 10 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. So far, they have gone just 21-28 in divisional play.
At home, the Cubs are 38-33 this year compared to 37-39 on the road. As the favorite, Chicago has gone 38-34 and 37-38 as the underdog. The Cubs have won four straight series on the road, and their overall series record is 21-23-3.
The Cubs are 45-31 against the run line on the road this season, but they have failed to cover in their last two road games. Their average run margin on the road is +0.3 runs per game, and their overall run line record is 72-75. They have been a better bet against the run line as an underdog, going 49-26 compared to 23-49 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.8 runs per game, while it is -3.2 runs per game in losses.
Chicago Cubs games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, but the over/under line for today’s game against the Colorado Rockies is set at 11 runs. The Cubs have gone over the total in 69 of their 142 games this season, with an average over/under line of 8 runs. The over has hit in each of their last four games.
Right-hander Jameson Taillon is starting for the Cubs today as he faces the Rockies on the road. He has made 25 starts this season and has a record of 10-8 with a 3.57 ERA. Taillon’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.17. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one earned run. Looking back over his last four outings, Taillon has given up four earned runs twice and has allowed at least one homer in three of those starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 6.95 strikeouts and just 1.72 walks.
Chicago’s offense has been solid on the road this season, averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is 3rd in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.6 runs per contest, which is 13th in the MLB. The Cubs are also one of the best teams in terms of drawing walks and have the 10th best on-base percentage in the league.
Seiya Suzuki and Ian Happ have been the Cubs’ top power threats this season, with Suzuki’s 20 homers ranking 2nd on the team, and Happ’s 23 long balls leading the way. Suzuki is also 4th on the team with 66 RBIs, while Happ’s 81 RBIs are the best in the lineup. Nico Hoerner comes into the game batting .261 and has gone deep five times this season.
Colorado is 56-92 overall, and they are 31.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Rockies have gone just 15-28 in divisional games this year. They are also 23 games under .500 on the road, going 33-37 at home.
The Rockies have won two straight games, and they are 5-5 across their last 10. This season, they are just 2-2 as the favorite and 54-90 as the underdog. As the home underdog, Colorado has gone 31-35 this year, and their overall series record is 11-32-4.
The Rockies have been a solid run line bet this season, going 73-75 overall. They are 37-33 against the run line at home, where they have an average run margin of -0.7. As the underdog, they are 72-72 against the run line, and they have covered in two straight games as the underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.8, while it drops to -4.1 in losses.
The Rockies have played in 115 games with an over/under line lower than 11 runs this season, which accounts for 77.7% of their games. Their games have averaged 9.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 72-73 overall. When the over/under line has been set at 11 runs, their record is 7-9-1. Today’s over/under line is set at 11 runs, which is higher than their average line of 9 runs per game this season.
Kyle Freeland gets the start for the Rockies today and is coming off a strong outing vs. the Brewers, where he gave up just one earned run in six innings of work. In that outing, he only gave up three hits and didn’t allow a homer. Looking back further, Freeland has given up a homer in three straight starts. His ERA for the season is 4.97, along with a record of 5-7. Opponents are batting .276 off the left-hander this season. Freeland has made nine quality starts this year and has a BB/9 figure of 2.25 compared to 7.12 strikeouts per nine innings.
Colorado’s offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game this season, which is 21st in the league. However, they have been much better at home, putting up 5 runs per contest, which is 3rd in the MLB. As a team, the Rockies are batting .242, which is 13th in the league, and they also have the 13th best slugging percentage in the league.
Currently, the Rockies have three players with at least 22 home runs, with Ezequiel Tovar and Michael Toglia both leading the team with 23 homers. Tovar is also batting .267 for the season, while Toglia is hitting just .221. Brenton Doyle is also near the top of the team’s home run leaderboard, and he has a batting average of .266.
Our prediction for today’s Cubs vs. Rockies game is to take the Rockies on the money line, with a payout of +131. We have the Rockies winning this one by a score of 7-5.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Kyle Freeland finishing with five strikeouts compared to Jameson Taillon with five as well. However, we have Taillon giving up more hits and finishing with a higher ERA.
Colorado Rockies vs Chicago Cubs Betting Tips
- We like the Rockies on the moneyline (+131)
- The Rockies are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 12 runs, we like the over
Colorado Rockies Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Bard | Out | Forearm |
| Kris Bryant | Out | Back |
| Germán Márquez | Out | Elbow |
| Antonio Senzatela | Out | Elbow |
| Dakota Hudson | Out | Elbow |
| Cal Quantrill | Out | Triceps |
| Lucas Gilbreath | Out | Shoulder |
Chicago Cubs Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge López | Out | Groin |
| Yency Almonte | Out | Shoulder |
| Colten Brewer | Out | Hand |
| Justin Steele | Out | Elbow |
| Adbert Alzolay | Out | Forearm |
| Julian Merryweather | Out | Knee |
| Brennen Davis | Out | Ankle |
| Nick Madrigal | Out | Finger |
| Ben Brown | Out | Neck |
| Hayden Wesneski | Out | Forearm |
| Luke Little | Out | Shoulder |
