Colorado Rockies vs Boston Red Sox Preview
The Rockies host the Red Sox today at Coors Field in Denver and will be looking to pull off the upset, as they are +137 on the money line. However, the forecasted temperature of 80 degrees and clear skies may not be enough to help the Rockies, as they are just 37-65 this season. Cal Quantrill will be on the mound for the Rockies, and he will be facing a Red Sox team that is 3rd in the AL East with a record of 54-46.
Wednesday’s over/under line is at 10.5 runs, and the Red Sox are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -162. Nick Pivetta is the Red Sox’s projected starter.
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Colorado Rockies vs. Boston Red Sox Trends and Key Stats
- The Red Sox are 1-4 in their five most recent road games, including a 2-3 runline record.
- The Rockies, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 2-3 (SU) and 3-2 record.
- Over their last ten games, the Red Sox have a 7-3 straight-up record when playing as the favorite, along with a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
- When playing as the underdog, the Rockies have a 1-9 record against the runline and a 3-7 straight-up record in their last ten games.
Boston cruised to an easy 6-0 win over the Rockies in the most recent game of this series. The Red Sox had a huge 1st inning, scoring three of their six runs. As for the Rockies, they had their best chance to score in the 3rd, but could only muster two hits.
Cooper Criswell pitched well for the Red Sox in this one, going seven innings and striking out four without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Ty Blach only went 2 1/3 innings for the Rockies, giving up six runs and took the loss.
At the plate, Tyler O’Neill hit the game’s only two homers while going 2/5 with three RBIs. Rafael Devers also had a two-hit game and drove in a run for Boston’s offense.
Colorado Rockies vs Boston Red Sox Prediction
Boston is on the road today vs. the Rockies, and they are 54-46 overall, which has them 3rd in the AL East, six games behind the Orioles. So far, they have gone 13-11 in AL East matchups. The Red Sox have gone 4-6 across their last ten games.
As the road favorite, the Red Sox have been really good this year, going 14-4, and they are 30-21 overall on the road. At home, the Red Sox are 24-25 this season. So far, they have an overall series record of 16-11-5.
When the Red Sox win, they win big, with an average run margin of +4.1 runs per game. Their run line record is 47-53, and they are 29-22 against the run line on the road, where they have a scoring margin of +1.1 runs per game. They are 28-21 against the run line as an underdog.
The Red Sox are on the road against the Rockies today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 10.5 runs. Boston’s games have averaged 9.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 47-47. The average over/under line for their games is 9 runs, and when the line has been set at 10.5 runs, their record is 1-1. This is just the second time this season that the over/under line for a Red Sox game has been set at 10.5 runs, accounting for just 1.0% of their games.
Through 15 starts, Nick Pivetta has a record of 4-6 and an ERA of 3.87 for the Red Sox. He has made six quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t allow a run. Against the Dodgers on July 19th, Pivetta went six innings, giving up two hits and one walk while striking out eight. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings. Pivetta’s ERA at home is 6.53 compared to 3.04 on the road.
Over the past eight games, Jarren Duran has been on fire for the Red Sox, going 14/34 with two homers and seven RBIs. This has helped him move into the team’s 3rd spot in RBIs, as he has 48 for the season. Duran’s 12 homers are also the 3rd most on the team. Tyler O’Neill has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/31 with four homers in his last seven games.
Overall, the Red Sox have been one of the league’s best offenses this season, as they are 4th in team batting average and 3rd in slugging percentage. They are also near the top of the league in both on-base percentage and OPS. As a team, the Red Sox are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 9th in the MLB.
Colorado is hosting the Red Sox today with an overall record of 37-65, putting them 5th in the NL West. So far, they have gone just 12-18 in divisional games and trail the Dodgers by 24 games in the division. The Rockies are just 23-29 at home this year and 14-36 on the road.
The Rockies have really struggled as the underdog this year, going 37-65 in such games. They have yet to record a win as the favorite. Colorado’s overall series record is 6-23-3, and they are currently 1-1 in their series vs. the Red Sox. Looking at their recent performance, the Rockies are 5-5 over their last 10 games.
The Rockies have been a .500 team against the run line this season, going 51-51. They’ve been slightly better at home, going 28-24, but they’ve been a bit worse on the road at 23-27. Their average run margin is -1.7 runs per game, and they’ve been a run line underdog in every game this season.
The Rockies are playing at home against the Red Sox today, with the over/under line set at 10.5 runs. Their combined run average is 10.0 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 52-48. When the over/under line is set at 10.5 runs, their record is 7-11. So far this season, 22.5% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 10.5 runs.
Cal Quantrill will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Reds, as he gets the start for the Rockies today. Against the Reds, he gave up five earned runs in just two innings of work. Quantrill has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 6-7 with an ERA of 4.15. Looking at his overall numbers, Quantrill has a WHIP of 1.34 and is averaging 6.9 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed 14 homers and is averaging 3.41 walks per nine innings. So far, he has turned in 11 quality starts.
Over his last six games, Ezequiel Tovar has been on fire for the Rockies, going 13/28 with four home runs and nine RBIs. Tovar is also on a 10-game hitting streak heading into today’s game. For the season, he is hitting .280 with a team-high 47 RBIs. Tovar’s 16 home runs are also the best mark on the team and 14th in the league.
As a team, the Rockies are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. They have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 4.6 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .244, which is 11th in the league, and have the 14th best slugging percentage in the MLB.
With the Rockies coming in as +137 underdogs, we see this as a great opportunity to take them on the money line. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Rockies, giving us a lot of value with them on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Cal Quantrill finishing with five strikeouts, while Nick Pivetta is projected to finish with six. However, we have Quantrill finishing with a better chance to pick up a win than Pivetta.
Colorado Rockies vs Boston Red Sox Betting Tips
- We like the Rockies on the moneyline (+137)
- The Rockies are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Colorado Rockies Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Bard | Out | Forearm |
| Germán Márquez | Out | Elbow |
| Antonio Senzatela | Out | Elbow |
| Ryan McMahon | Questionable | Finger |
| Nolan Jones | Out | Back |
| Lucas Gilbreath | Out | Elbow |
| Jordan Beck | Out | Hand |
Boston Red Sox Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Kenley Jansen | Out | Heart |
| Liam Hendriks | Out | Elbow |
| Chris Martin | Out | Elbow |
| Trevor Story | Out | Shoulder |
| Lucas Giolito | Out | Elbow |
| Bryan Mata | Out | Lat |
| Triston Casas | Out | Ribs |
| Garrett Whitlock | Out | Elbow |
| Justin Slaten | Out | Elbow |
| Vaughn Grissom | Out | Hamstring |
| Chris Murphy | Out | Elbow |
