Colorado Rockies vs Baltimore Orioles Preview
From Coors Field in Denver, we have the Orioles and Rockies facing off in an interleague matchup. First pitch for Saturday’s matchup is set for 8:10 PM ET. The Rockies are looking to snap a two-game losing streak, but they are the heavy underdog on the money line (+146). Baltimore is 2nd in the AL East with a record of 78-58.
Today’s over/under line is at 11.5 runs, and the Orioles are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -172 compared to the Rockies at +146. Ryan Feltner is starting for the Rockies, while the Orioles are sending Dean Kremer to the mound.
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Colorado Rockies vs. Baltimore Orioles Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Orioles have recorded a 2-3 record, with a 3-2 performance on the runline.
- Conversely, the Rockies have achieved a 1-4 (SU) record and 1-4 record in their last five home games.
- In their last ten games as the favorite, the Orioles have a straight-up record of 5-5 and a runline record of 5-5.
- Over their last ten games as the underdog, the Rockies have gone 2-8 vs. the runline and 2-8 straight-up.
Baltimore picked up a 5-3 road win over the Rockies in the most recent game of this series. The Orioles had a two-run lead going into the 9th inning and the Rockies could only muster one run in their half of the 9th. Heading into the game, the Orioles were favored at -143 on the money line.
Albert Suarez pitched well for the Orioles in this one, going seven innings and giving up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with four strikeouts but didn’t issue a walk. Suarez got the win in the game, while Seranthony Dominguez closed things out.
Offensively, the Orioles were led by Emmanuel Rivera, who homered and went 2/3 with three RBIs. Ramon Urias and Eloy Jimenez each had two hits and drove in a run for Baltimore’s lineup.
Colorado Rockies vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction
The Orioles are 78-58 overall this season, putting them 2nd in the AL East, 1.5 games behind the Yankees for the division lead. So far, they have been good against other teams in the AL East, going 28-15. Baltimore is winning the series vs. the Rockies and overall, they have a series record of 23-13-7.
At home, the Orioles are 39-30 this year, and they have gone 39-28 on the road. This season, the Orioles have been good as the favorite, putting up a record of 63-43. As the underdog, the Orioles are 15-15 this season. Looking at their recent games, the Orioles are 5-5 over their last 10.
The Orioles have been a solid team to bet on the run line this season, as they are 74-62 overall. They have been particularly good on the road, going 41-26 against the run line. They have been a favorite in most games, and their run line record as a favorite is 53-53. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.6, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.4.
The Orioles have played 136 games with over/under lines lower than today’s 11.5-run line, and their games have averaged a combined 9.3 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 73-53, and their games have had an average line of 8 runs.
Right-hander Dean Kremer gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Rockies on the road. He has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 6-9 with an ERA of 4.31. Kremer’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.27. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had picked up the win in two straight outings. Kremer has allowed at least one homer in three straight starts. So far, he has given up 15 homers and is averaging 3.78 walks per nine innings.
Heading into today’s game, the Orioles are the MLB’s 2nd best home run hitting team and are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 4th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .251, and their team on-base percentage of .315 is 11th in the league.
Anthony Santander has been a key power bat in the Orioles lineup, as his 38 homers are 3rd in the league and top on the team. He is also 13th in the league with 86 RBIs. However, he is batting just .236 this season. Gunnar Henderson has been a key run producer for the team, as his 78 RBIs are 2nd on the team, and he is batting .275.
With an overall record of 50-86, the Rockies are 31.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. Currently, they are in 5th place in the division and have gone just 15-28 in divisional matchups. Colorado is at home today, where they are 31-36 compared to 19-50 on the road.
Colorado has dropped two straight games, and they are just 2-2 as the favorite this year. As the underdog, the Rockies are 48-84 this season, and they have lost two straight games as the underdog. So far this year, the Rockies are 15-35 in day games, and their overall series record is 10-29-4.
The Rockies have been a good bet to cover the run line on the road this season, going 35-32. Their average run differential on the road is -2.3, but they have covered the run line in 35 of their 67 wins. They have failed to cover the run line in two straight games at home, and are just 1-3 against the run line as the favorite this season.
The Rockies are playing at home against the Orioles today, with the over/under line set at 11.5 runs. This season, the Rockies and their opponents have averaged 10.1 runs per game, and their over/under record is 68-65. The average over/under line for their games this season has been 10 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 11.5 runs is 5-5. In total, only 4.4% of their games have had over/under lines set at 11.5 runs or higher, with just six games having lines set that high.
Colorado is sending Ryan Feltner to the mound today vs. the Orioles. He has made 24 starts this season and has a record of 1-10 with an ERA of 4.95. Feltner’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.43. Looking at his overall numbers, Feltner has issued 2.9 walks per nine innings compared to 7.7 strikeouts. Feltner has made nine quality starts this year and has not picked up a win at home, coming in with a record of 0-3 and 6.70 ERA at Coors Field.
Colorado’s offense has been a lot better at home this season, averaging 5 runs per game, which is 5th in the league. Overall, they are 17th in the league at 4.3 runs per contest. The Rockies are also one of the top home run-hitting teams in the league, and they have the 11th best team batting average in the MLB.
Both of the Rockies top home run hitters, Brenton Doyle and Ezequiel Tovar, come into the game with good batting averages, with Doyle hitting .273 and Tovar at .273. Tovar has been hot of late, going 10/30 in his last seven games with two homers. Doyle is also on a five-game hitting streak. Michael Toglia is also among the league leaders in homers but has struggled with a batting average of just .219.
Our prediction for this Orioles vs. Rockies matchup is to take the Rockies on the money line at +146. We actually have the Rockies winning this one by a score of 6-5. So, you could also look to take the Rockies on the run line, as they are at home and have a higher payout than the Orioles on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Ryan Feltner is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the third-best among all starters today. As for Dean Kremer, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which ranks him 17th among all starters.
Colorado Rockies vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Tips
- We like the Rockies on the moneyline (+146)
- On the run line we like Rockies (+1.5)
- Our MLB model projects 11 runs, and we suggest taking the under
Colorado Rockies Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Bard | Out | Forearm |
| Kris Bryant | Out | Back |
| Germán Márquez | Out | Elbow |
| Antonio Senzatela | Out | Elbow |
| Dakota Hudson | Out | Elbow |
| Victor Vodnik | Out | Bicep |
| Lucas Gilbreath | Out | Shoulder |
Baltimore Orioles Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Danny Coulombe | Out | Elbow |
| Zach Eflin | Out | Shoulder |
| Jorge Mateo | Out | Elbow |
| Ryan Mountcastle | Out | Wrist |
| Tyler Wells | Out | Elbow |
| John Means | Out | Elbow |
| Kyle Bradish | Out | Elbow |
| Grayson Rodriguez | Out | Lat |
| Jacob Webb | Out | Elbow |
| Alexis Cruz | Out | Personal |
| Heston Kjerstad | Out | Head |
| Jordan Westburg | Out | Hand |
| Christopher Ramirez | Out | Personal |
| Isaiah Kearns | Out | Personal |
| Félix Bautista | Out | Elbow |
