Cleveland Guardians vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction & Betting Tips 6/23/2024

Cleveland Guardians vs Toronto Blue Jays Preview

From Progressive Field in Cleveland, we have the Blue Jays and Guardians facing off in an AL matchup. The Guardians are the favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -112, while the Blue Jays are at -107. The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs.

First pitch for this one is set for 1:40 PM ET, and MLBN will be carrying the TV coverage for the game. Toronto is on a five-game losing streak and is 5th in the AL East, while Cleveland is 1st in the AL Central with a record of 48-26.

Check out BetCoco for Cleveland Guardians – Toronto Blue Jays odds

Cleveland Guardians Trends and Key Stats

• 1-4 is the record of Blue Jays in their last five road games. They have also gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
• On the other side, the Guardians have gone 2-3 (SU) and 3-2 in their previous five home contests.
• Over the last ten games, Blue Jays has a record of 6-4 when playing as favorites and 2-8 when playing as underdogs.
• 7-3 is the record of the Guardians as the favorite, while their record as the underdog stands at 6-4.

Cleveland picked up a 6-3 win over the Blue Jays in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians offense got off to a fast start, scoring two runs in the first and adding four more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Blue Jays got on the board with one run in the 2nd and added their final two runs in the 5th.

Ben Lively only went 5 2/3 innings for the Guardians but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with four strikeouts but issued two walks. Emmanuel Clase closed things out. Jose Berrios had a rough outing for the Blue Jays, giving up five earned runs in five innings of work.

At the plate, Steven Kwan and Jose Ramirez each homered for the Guardians. Kwan, Ramirez, Bo Naylor, and Daniel Schneemann each had two RBIs. Isiah Kiner-Falefa hit two homers for the Blue Jays.

Cleveland Guardians vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

Toronto is on a five-game losing streak, and they are 35-41 overall, putting them 5th in the AL East. The Blue Jays trail the Yankees by 15.5 games in the division and are 9-13 against other AL East teams. So far, they have dropped the first two games of this series vs. the Guardians.

As the road team, the Blue Jays are 17-22 this season compared to 18-19 at home. Toronto has dropped three straight on the road coming into today’s game. As the favorite, the Blue Jays are 29-20 and 6-21 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Blue Jays are 9-11-4 this year. Over their last ten games, the Blue Jays are just 3-7.

When it comes to betting the run line on the Toronto Blue Jays, it’s been a losing proposition overall this season, as they are 34-42 against the run line. However, they have been slightly better on the road, where they are 21-18 against the run line. They have been favored in 49 games and have gone 23-26 against the run line in those contests. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.1, while it drops to -3.9 in their losses.

The Toronto Blue Jays are on the road against the Cleveland Guardians today, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The Blue Jays have a combined run average of 8.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 32-41. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 7-15. Overall, 60.5% of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s 8.5-run total.

Left-hander Yusei Kikuchi gets the start for the Blue Jays today as he faces the Guardians on the road. Kikuchi has made 15 starts this year and has a record of 4-6 with a 3.65 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Kikuchi has a WHIP of 1.25 and has issued just 2.1 walks per nine innings. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up five earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One positive note for Kikuchi is that he has seven quality starts this year.

So far this season, the Blue Jays offense is averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 27th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging the same 3.8 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .232 and are near the bottom of the league in both home runs and slugging percentage. However, they do have the 2nd fewest strikeouts in the league and are 6th in walks.

Currently, Daulton Varsho and Davis Schneider are 1st and 2nd on the Blue Jays in home runs, respectively. Varsho has gone deep 11 times but is batting just .207. Schneider has a slightly better batting average at .227 and has three homers in his last nine games. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has been hot of late, going 11/32 in his last 10 games, and is currently on a seven-game hitting streak.

Cleveland is hosting the Blue Jays today with an overall record of 48-26, which has them leading the AL Central by 7.5 games over the Twins. The Guardians have won four straight games, and they are 11-6 in divisional matchups this year.

At home, the Guardians have gone 25-9 this year and are 23-17 on the road. So far, they have been really good in day games, going 19-8 this year. Cleveland’s four-game win streak has come at home, and they are 3-1 as the home underdog this year.

The Guardians have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 43-31 overall. They have been even better at home, going 20-14 on the run line. They have been a good bet as the underdog, going 18-7 on the run line. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.7, while their average run margin in losing games is -2.8. They are currently on a four-game run line win streak.

Today’s over/under line of 8.5 runs is slightly higher than the season average of 8 runs for the Cleveland Guardians. They have played 15 games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, going 7-11 in those contests. Overall, the Guardians have a 35-33 over/under record this season.

Triston McKenzie gets the start for the Guardians today and will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Mariners. In that start, he took the loss, going just 2 1/3 innings and giving up four earned runs. Looking back over his last four starts, McKenzie has finished with a no-decision in three of them. The right-hander has a record of 3-4 this season and an ERA of 4.48. Opposing batters are hitting .221 off McKenzie this season. So far, he has made 14 appearances and three of them have been quality starts. Per nine innings, McKenzie is averaging 5.37 walks compared to 8.32 strikeouts.

For the season, the Guardians are 3rd in the league in scoring, averaging 5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per game. As a team, the Guardians are batting .243, which is 11th in the league, and have the 10th ranked home run total in the league.

José Ramírez and Josh Naylor have been the Guardians’ top power hitters this season, with both players having 19 home runs. Ramirez’s 67 RBIs are 2nd in the league, and Naylor is 5th in the league in RBIs. David Fry and Will Brennan have also been solid run producers, with Fry batting .307 with 8 homers and Brennan batting .256 with 8 homers. Brennan is also on a 3-game hitting streak and has gone 8/19 in his last five games.

Our prediction for today’s Blue Jays vs. Guardians game is to take the Guardians on the money line, with the payout being -112. We have the Guardians winning this one by a score of 6-5.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Triston McKenzie finishing with six strikeouts compared to Yusei Kikuchi with five. McKenzie is also projected to go 1.1 innings longer than Kikuchi.

Cleveland Guardians vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Tips

• Take the Blue Jays on the moneyline
• The Guardians are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Cleveland Guardians Injury Report

Toronto Blue Jays Injury Report