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Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction 9/14/24

Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction & Betting Tips 9/14/2024

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Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays 9/14/24
  • Take the Guardians on the moneyline
  • On the run line we like the Rays (+1.5)
  • Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays Preview

At 6:10 PM ET, the Rays and Guardians square off in an AL matchup. This one is being played at Progressive Field in Cleveland, and the Guardians are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -131. The money line odds for the Rays are at +110, and they are 4th in the AL East with a record of 73-75. Cleveland leads the AL Central with an overall record of 84-64.

Joey Cantillo will start for Cleveland, while the Rays are starting Drew Rasmussen. Tampa Bay is currently on a two-game winning streak, and the over/under line for this game is sitting at 8.5 runs. BSSUN is carrying this game on TV.

Check out BetCoco for Cleveland Guardians – Tampa Bay Rays odds

Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays Trends and Key Stats

  • 2-3 is the record of Rays in their last five road games. They have also gone 4-1 vs. the runline.
  • On the other side, the Guardians have gone 3-2 (SU) and 3-2 in their previous five home contests.
  • Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Guardians have won 7-3 straight-up, and have a 7-3 record vs. the runline.
  • Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Rays have a straight-up record of 5-5 and a 8-2 record vs. the runline.

Tampa Bay picked up a 3-1 win over the Guardians in the most recent game of this series. The Rays offense got off to a fast start, scoring two runs in the first and adding their final run in the 3rd. On the other side, the Guardians got on the board with one run in the 8th.

Zack Littell started for the Rays and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with five strikeouts but didn’t issue a walk. As for the Guardians, Tanner Bibee got the start and took the loss, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work.

At the plate, the Rays were led by Logan Driscoll and Jonathan Aranda, as they were the only two Rays hitters to have more than one hit. Driscoll also homered in the game. For the Guardians, Jhonkensy Noel went 2/3 with an RBI.

Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction

Tampa Bay is 73-75 overall and trails the Yankees by 13 games in the AL East. The Rays are in 4th place in the division, one spot behind the Red Sox. The Rays have won two straight games, and they are 5-5 over their last 10.

At home, the Rays are 37-38 this season, and they are one game above .500 at 36-37 on the road. Tampa Bay has gone 19-24 in divisional games this year. As the underdog, the Rays are 38-45 this year, and they are 35-30 when favored. Tampa Bay has won two straight games as the underdog.

The Rays have been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 43-30 overall. They have covered the run line in three straight road games and are 53-30 as the underdog. Their average run differential in winning games is +2.8, while it drops to -3.4 in losses.

The Tampa Bay Rays are on the road against the Cleveland Guardians today, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Rays games this season is 8.1 runs, and their over/under record is 65-75. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 17-17. This season, only 8.1% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher, and their current under streak is at three games.

Drew Rasmussen will be coming out of the bullpen for the Rays today as he gets the start on the road vs. the Guardians. So far, he has made three starts and 11 total appearances. Rasmussen’s ERA is 2.79, and his record for the season is 0-1. In his last outing, he took the loss, going 1 2/3 innings and giving up one earned run on one hit. Before that, he had put together three straight outings in which he didn’t give up an earned run. Rasmussen’s ERA at home is 7.2 compared to 0.9 on the road.

Yandy Diaz comes into the game with a five-game hitting streak, and over his last six games, he is batting .429 with one home run. For the season, he is hitting .284 with a team-leading 65 RBIs. Christopher Morel leads the team with 21 homers but is batting just .198 for the season. Brandon Lowe is also near the top of the home run list, with 18, and is batting .244.

As a team, the Rays are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 28th in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs, batting average, and slugging percentage. However, they have been good at drawing walks and have the 12th best BABIP in the league.

Cleveland comes into today’s game vs. the Rays with an overall record of 84-64, which has them leading the AL Central by three games over the Royals. The Guardians have dropped two straight games, and this includes losing the first two games of this series vs. the Rays.

So far, the Guardians have gone 27-21 against other teams in the AL Central. At home, the Guardians are 43-27 this year and have gone 41-37 on the road. As the favorite, Cleveland is 59-32 and 25-32 as the underdog. This year, the Guardians’ overall series record is 27-15-5.

The Guardians have been a solid run line bet this season, going 74-74, but they’ve been better on the road (41-37) than at home (33-37). They’ve been a better bet as an underdog (32-25) than as a favorite (42-49). They’ve been outscored by 0.5 runs per game overall, but they’ve been outscoring opponents by 0.4 runs per game on the road and 0.6 runs per game at home. In their wins, they’ve been outscoring opponents by 3.3 runs per game, but in their losses, they’ve been outscored by 3.2 runs per game.

The Cleveland Guardians have an over/under record of 66-71 this season, with an average combined run average of 8.4 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 20-20. The Guardians have had 29 games with over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 19.6% of their games. Their current under streak is at 2 games.

Joey Cantillo will be looking to build off his last outing, where he faced the White Sox and picked up the win. In that September 9th outing, he went seven innings, giving up just one earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Cantillo has made five starts and one of them was a quality start. His ERA for the season is 5.96, along with a record of 1-3. Opposing batters are hitting .232 this season off Cantillo. Per nine innings, he has 8.77 strikeouts and 3.16 walks. The left-hander’s ERA on the road is 7.48 compared to 3.38 at home.

Jose Ramirez has been one of the league’s top power threats this season, as his 34 homers are 8th in the MLB and the best mark on the Guardians. He also comes into the game with the 2nd most RBIs in the league at 106. Ramirez is also currently on a six-game hitting streak. Josh Naylor is also among the league leaders in homers, as his 29 long balls are the 13th best mark in the league.

Lane Thomas has been swinging a hot bat for the Guardians, going 7/21 in his last five games with three runs scored. Over this stretch, he has also driven in nine runs. Austin Hedges and Bo Naylor have also homered in their last two games, with Hedges going 1/3 and Naylor going 3/12 in his last four games.

Our recommendation for this Rays vs. Guardians matchup is to take the Guardians on the money line at -131. We do have this game finishing with a final score of 6-5 in favor of the Guardians, and at home, they are a good pick to pick up the win.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Joey Cantillo is projected to finish with the most strikeouts among starters with a total of eight. As for Drew Rasmussen, we have him finishing with a total of five, which is the ninth lowest among starters.

Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays Betting Tips

  • Take the Guardians on the moneyline
  • On the run line we like the Rays (+1.5)
  • Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Cleveland Guardians Injury Report

Player Status Injury
Carlos Carrasco Out Hip
Alex Cobb Out Finger
Sam Hentges Out Shoulder
Ben Lively Questionable Thigh
Shane Bieber Out Elbow
Trevor Stephan Out Elbow
James Karinchak Out Shoulder
Steven Kwan Questionable Back

Tampa Bay Rays Injury Report

Player Status Injury
Wander Franco Out Personal
Jeffrey Springs Out Elbow
Colin Poche Out Shoulder
Shane McClanahan Out Elbow
Richie Palacios Out Knee
Jacob Waguespack Out Shoulder
Pete Fairbanks Out Lat
Christopher Morel Questionable Achilles

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