Cleveland Guardians vs Seattle Mariners Prediction & Betting Tips 6/18/2024

Cleveland Guardians vs Seattle Mariners Preview

From Progressive Field in Cleveland, we have the Mariners and Guardians facing off in an AL matchup. Tuesday’s game has a start time of 6:40 PM ET and is being televised on BSGL. The Guardians are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -117, while the Mariners are at -102.

Seattle comes in with a record of 43-31 and they are currently on a three-game winning streak. The Guardians are 44-25 and are 1st in the AL Central, while the Mariners are leading the AL West. Triston McKenzie is starting for the Guardians, and the Mariners are sending Bryce Miller to the mound.

Check out BetCoco for Cleveland Guardians – Seattle Mariners odds

Cleveland Guardians Trends and Key Stats

• The Mariners are 2-3 across their last five road games. They have gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
• In the Guardians’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 2-3 (SU) with 3-2 against the spread.
• Over the last ten games, Mariners has a record of 7-3 when playing as favorites and 6-4 when playing as underdogs.
• In their last ten games, the Guardians have a record of 6-4 as the favorite and 6-4 as the underdog.

Cleveland Guardians vs Seattle Mariners Prediction

The Mariners’s offense was carried by Tyler Locklear in their most recent game vs. the Rangers. Locklear went only 1/4, but his one hit was a home run, and he drove in a total of three runs. The Mariners also scored a run in the 4th inning and added another in the 7th to close out the 5-0 win. Seattle’s offense was the -146 favorite going into the game.

Logan Gilbert started for the Mariners, going eight innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out nine Rangers batters. Gilbert was efficient with his pitches, throwing only 87 in the outing.

Seattle is on a three-game winning streak as they are 43-31 overall this season. The Mariners hold a nine-game lead in the AL West over the Astros and have gone 17-5 against other teams in their division. This year, they are 27-12 at home compared to 16-19 on the road.

So far, the Mariners have been good as the underdog, putting up an overall record of 15-13 in these games. They have also been good in their two most recent series, having won two straight series. As the favorite, the Mariners are 28-18 this year.

Seattle is 36-38 against the run line this season, including 15-20 on the road. The Mariners have been the underdog in 28 of their 74 games and are 16-12 in those contests. Their average run differential is +0.3 runs per game, but they are 20-26 vs. the run line as the favorite this season.

Seattle is on the road today against Cleveland, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Mariners have played 71 games this season, and the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs or higher in just 12.2% of those games. Their games have averaged 7.5 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 28-43. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, they have a record of 5-2.

Right-hander Bryce Miller gets the start for the Mariners today as he faces the Guardians on the road. He has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 5-5 with a 3.48 ERA. Miller’s WHIP for the season is currently .98, and opponents are batting .189 off him this year. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going seven innings and not giving up a run to the White Sox. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight starts. Miller has pitched well on the road, with a 2.0 ERA compared to 6.22 at home.

With a team batting average of just .221, the Mariners are near the bottom of the league in terms of hitting. They are also the league’s worst team in terms of striking out, averaging 10 Ks per game. However, they do come into the game as the MLB’s 7th ranked home run hitting team. Overall, they are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 25th in the league.

Julio Rodríguez has been swinging the bat well for the Mariners, going 7/27 in his last seven games with two homers. For the season, he is batting .268 with seven homers. Cal Raleigh and Mitch Garver are also near the top of the team’s home run list, but both are batting under .210 for the season.

Cleveland closed out their series vs. the Blue Jays with a 7-6 loss on the road. The Guardians were the +102 underdog going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Guardians, as they got on the board with two runs in the 2nd inning but gave up the lead right away as the Blue Jays scored twice in the bottom of the 2nd.

Ben Lively got the start for the Guardians and took the loss. He only lasted four innings, giving up four earned runs on six hits. Daniel Schneemann had a good day at the plate, going 3/4 with a homer and two RBIs.

Cleveland is hosting the Mariners today with an overall record of 44-25, good for 1st place in the AL Central. The Guardians hold a 5.0 game lead over the Royals heading into today’s game. The Guardians dropped the final two games of their series vs. the Blue Jays.

At home, the Guardians are 21-8 this season, and they have gone 23-17 on the road. As the favorite, the Guardians are 30-14 this year and 18-7 as the favorite at home. Cleveland’s overall series record is 15-6-2 this year, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games.

The Guardians have been a solid run line bet this season, going 39-30 overall and 23-17 on the road. They have covered the run line in two straight games and have an average run margin of +1.2 runs per game this season.

Today’s over/under line for the Cleveland Guardians’ game against the Seattle Mariners is set at 8.5 runs. The Guardians’ games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 32-32. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 5-10. Overall, 14 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 20.3% of their games this season.

Triston McKenzie will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win vs. the Reds. In that start, he went 5 1/3 innings and gave up just two earned runs. Looking at his overall numbers, McKenzie has made 13 starts and has a record of 3-3. His ERA for the season is 4.10, along with a WHIP of 1.41. Opposing batters are hitting .220 off the right-hander this season. McKenzie has made three quality starts this year and is averaging 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has issued 5.03 walks per nine innings.

Over the last six games, Steven Kwan has been on fire for the Guardians, going 14/25. Kwan is also on an 11-game hitting streak. Josh Naylor and José Ramirez have been the team’s top power threats this season, with Ramirez’s 18 homers leading the team and Naylor right behind him with 17. Ramirez’s 62 RBIs are the 2nd most in the league.

As a team, the Guardians are 5th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, also averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .242, which is 12th in the league. Cleveland is also one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams, coming in 11th in the league.

Our predicted final score for this Mariners vs. Guardians matchup is 6-5 in favor of the Mariners. With the Mariners predicted to pick up a win, the best bet would be to take them on the money line, where they are currently at -102.

If you’re looking for a potential parlay, you could also look to the over/under, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs. Our model has this game going over, and with the Mariners predicted to score six runs, they could help you get to the over on their own.

Cleveland Guardians vs Seattle Mariners Betting Tips

• We like the Mariners on the moneyline (-102)
• The Mariners should also cover at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Cleveland Guardians Injury Report

Seattle Mariners Injury Report