Cleveland Guardians vs San Francisco Giants Preview
Carlos Carrasco and the Cleveland Guardians are hosting the Giants today, who are starting Hayden Birdsong. The Guardians are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -131 compared to the Giants at +111. First pitch from Progressive Field is set for 1:40 PM ET, and the game will be televised on BSGL.
San Francisco comes into the game with a record of 44-46 and is 4th in the NL West, while the Guardians are 1st in the AL Central with an overall record of 55-32.
Check out BetCoco for Cleveland Guardians – San Francisco Giants odds
Cleveland Guardians Trends and Key Stats
- 3-2 is the record of Giants in their last five road games. They have also gone 4-1 vs. the runline.
- On the opposing side, the Guardians have a 1-4 (SU) record, along with a 1-4 record in their last five home contests.
- The Guardians have a straight-up record of 6-4 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 3-7 record vs. the runline.
- Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the Giants have a 6-4 straight-up record and a 7-3 record vs. the runline.
Cleveland picked up a 5-4 win over the Giants in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a three-run 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up two in the 6th. As for the Giants, they scored three runs in the 5th and added one more in the 7th.
Logan Allen got the start for the Guardians, going just 4 1/3 innings while giving up two runs and striking out nine. He did not factor in the decision as Pedro Avila got the win out of the bullpen. Emmanuel Clase got the save. Kyle Harrison had a rough outing for the Giants, giving up four runs in 3 1/3 innings of work.
At the plate, Steven Kwan was the only player for the Guardians to have more than one hit. He also hit the game’s only home run. Jhonkensy Noel drove in two runs while going 1/3. Tyler Fitzgerald had a two RBI game at the plate for the Giants.
Cleveland Guardians vs San Francisco Giants Prediction
With an overall record of 44-46, the Giants are 4th in the NL West, 11 games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. San Francisco will be on the road today, facing the Guardians with their series vs. the Guardians tied at 1-1. So far this season, the Giants have gone 15-14 in divisional games.
As the road team, the Giants are 19-27 this season compared to 25-19 at home. San Francisco has won three straight series, and their overall series record is 15-11-2 this year. As the underdog, the Giants are 20-28 and 24-18 as the favorite.
San Francisco has been a solid team to bet on the run line this season, as they are 45-45 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 25-21. The Giants have covered the run line in three straight games and are 3-0 against the run line as the underdog in those games. Their average run margin in their wins is +3.2, while their average run margin in their losses is -3.6.
The San Francisco Giants are on the road today against the Cleveland Guardians. The over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs, which is slightly higher than their combined run average of 9.1 runs per game. The Giants have gone over the total in 49 of their 87 games this season, and their average over/under line is 8 runs per game. When the line has been set at 9 runs, they have gone over the total in 4 of 5 games. Only 6.7% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher.
Hayden Birdsong is getting the start for the Giants on the road against the Guardians. He is coming off a win in his first start of the season, where he went 5 innings and gave up 2 earned runs. In that game, he struck out 5 and gave up 2 homers. Birdsong’s first start of the year was at home vs. the Cubs, where he went 4 2/3 innings and gave up 3 earned runs.
Heading into today’s game, the Giants are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. This season, they have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 4.5 runs per game. As a team, the Giants are batting .244, which is 12th in the league, and they have the 15th ranked slugging percentage in the league.
Over the team’s last seven games, Heliot Ramos has been on fire, going 12/29 with two homers and seven runs batted in. For the season, he is batting .300 with 12 homers, which is tied for the team lead. Matt Chapman also has 12 homers and is batting .244 for the season. Chapman has also gone deep twice over his past seven games while batting .346.
Cleveland is 55-32 overall this season, putting them in 1st place in the AL Central. They currently lead the Twins by six games for the top spot in the division. The Guardians are 14-10 against other teams in the AL Central. So far, they have been tough to beat at home, going 29-11, and they are 26-21 on the road.
The Guardians have dropped six of their last ten games and are tied in their series vs. the Giants at 1-1. So far, they have an overall series record of 19-7-2. When favored, the Guardians are 39-18 this year, and they are 26-10 as the favorite at home.
When betting the run line on the Cleveland Guardians, it’s been a profitable endeavor this season. The Guardians are 47-40 against the run line, including a 21-19 mark at home. They’ve been a better bet on the road, going 26-21 against the run line. As the favorite, they’re 27-30, while as the underdog, they’re 20-10. Their average run margin for the season is +1.1 runs per game.
Today’s over/under line of 9 runs is slightly higher than the Cleveland Guardians’ average combined run average of 8.8 runs per game this season. The Guardians have played 67 games with lower over/under lines than 9 runs, and their over/under record this season is 43-38. When the over/under line has been set at 9 runs, the Guardians have gone 5-7-2 in those games.
Right-hander Carlos Carrasco gets the start for the Guardians today as he faces the Giants at home. He has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 3-6 with an ERA of 5.21. Opposing batters are hitting .262 off Carrasco this season, and his WHIP is currently 1.35. Carrasco’s last outing came against the White Sox, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. He has not taken the loss in any of his last three outings.
Jose Ramirez has been one of the league’s top run producers this season, as his 76 RBIs are 2nd in the MLB and the top mark in the league. He has also been a big power threat for the Guardians, as his 23 homers are 4th in the league. Ramirez is also batting a solid .271 for the season. Josh Naylor is also among the league leaders in home runs, as his 21 homers are 6th in the league. Naylor is batting .243 for the season.
As a team, the Guardians are 6th in the league in scoring at 5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per game. Overall, they are one of the league’s better home run-hitting teams and have the 10th best slugging percentage in the league.
Based on the money line, we recommend taking the Guardians to pick up a win at home. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Guardians, giving you some room to take the over, as the line is currently sitting at 9 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Carlos Carrasco is predicted to finish with seven strikeouts, which is good for the bottom third of all starters. As for Hayden Birdsong, he is projected to finish with five K’s, which would put him in the middle of the pack.
Cleveland Guardians vs San Francisco Giants Betting Tips
- Take the Guardians on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Giants (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Cleveland Guardians Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Matthew Boyd | Out | Elbow |
| Shane Bieber | Out | Elbow |
| Trevor Stephan | Out | Elbow |
| James Karinchak | Out | Shoulder |
| Will Brennan | Out | Oblique |
San Francisco Giants Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Ray | Out | Elbow |
| Wilmer Flores | Out | Knee |
| Alex Cobb | Out | Hip |
| Tom Murphy | Out | Knee |
| Blake Snell | Out | Groin |
| Thairo Estrada | Out | Wrist |
| Tristan Beck | Out | Vascular |
| Ethan Small | Out | Oblique |
| Austin Warren | Out | Elbow |
| Keaton Winn | Out | Elbow |
| Jung Hoo Lee | Out | Shoulder |
