Cleveland Guardians vs San Diego Padres Preview
There is an interleague matchup between the Padres and Guardians that is set to get started at 7:10 PM ET from Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH. The Guardians are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -108, while the Padres are at -110. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs.
BSGL will be televising Saturday’s Padres vs. Guardians matchup, and Gavin Williams will be on the mound for the Guardians, while the Padres are starting Dylan Cease. Williams and the Guardians are 59-37, while the Padres are 50-50 and are looking to snap a two-game losing streak.
Check out BetCoco for Cleveland Guardians – San Diego Padres odds
Cleveland Guardians vs. San Diego Padres Trends and Key Stats
- The Padres are 2-3 in their five most recent road games, including a 2-3 runline record.
- The Guardians, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 1-4 (SU) and 1-4 record.
- In their previous ten games, the Padres have recorded a 4-6 record as the favorite, while they have a 6-4 record as the underdog.
- The Guardians have a 6-4 record when favored, while their record as the underdog is 3-7.
Cleveland cruised to a 7-0 win over the Padres in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a huge 8th inning, scoring six of their seven runs. As for the Padres, they only had four hits in the game and didn’t score a run until the 5th.
Tanner Bibee started for the Guardians and picked up the win, going 5 2/3 innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with just three strikeouts but induced eight groundouts. On the other side, Matt Waldron got the start for the Padres and took the loss, giving up one earned run in six innings of work.
At the plate, David Fry was the star for the Guardians, going 3/3 with a two-run homer. He scored three times and drove in three runs. Jose Ramirez and Steven Kwan each had two hits and two RBIs.
Cleveland Guardians vs San Diego Padres Prediction
San Diego is right at .500 with a record of 50-50 heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Guardians. The Padres have dropped two straight games, and they trail the Dodgers by eight games in the NL West. So far, they are 15-17 in divisional games.
As the favorite, the Padres are 29-29 this year and 21-21 as the underdog. At home, they have gone 26-28 compared to 24-22 on the road. San Diego’s overall series record is 17-13-3, and they have lost three straight series overall.
The Padres have been a strong bet on the run line on the road this season, going 31-15. Their average run margin on the road is +0.7, and their overall run line record is 50-50. They have been a better bet on the run line as an underdog, going 28-14, compared to 22-36 as a favorite.
The San Diego Padres have played in 58 games this season with over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, and their over/under record is 53-46. Their combined run average in those games is 8.9 runs per game. The Padres have played in just nine games with over/under lines set lower than 7.5 runs, and their over/under record in those games is 16-17.
Dylan Cease has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 8-8 with an ERA of 3.99. His WHIP for the season is currently 1.08. Cease’s most recent outing came on July 13th, where he picked up the win, going six innings and not allowing a run. In that outing, he finished with 11 strikeouts. Cease has made 11 quality starts this year and is averaging 11.66 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, Cease has allowed a total of 15 home runs. Per nine innings, he is giving up 2.82 walks on the road compared to 3.46 at home.
As a team, the Padres are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.6 runs per game. San Diego is one of the top home run hitting teams in the league, and they are also one of the best hitting teams in the league, with a team batting average of .260.
Jurickson Profar and Fernando Tatis Jr. are tied for the team lead with 14 home runs, which is 14th in the league. Profar is also 1st on the team in RBIs (59) and comes into today’s game on a four-game hitting streak. Profar has gone just 6/36 in his last nine games, but he does have two homers in that stretch. Manny Machado and Jake Cronenworth are also tied for 2nd on the team with 13 homers.
Cleveland is 59-37 overall this season, good for a five-game lead over the Twins in the AL Central. The Guardians have gone 15-13 in divisional games this season and are on a three-game winning streak at home. On the road, the Guardians are 28-26 this season.
This year, the Guardians have been really good in day games, going 26-11, and they have an overall record of 3-1 as home underdogs. As the underdog, Cleveland has gone 16-17 this year and 43-20 when favored. The Guardians’ overall series record is 20-9-2, and they have dropped two straight series.
The Guardians have been a solid run line bet this season, going 49-47 overall. They have been especially good at home, where they are 22-20 against the run line. Their average run margin for the season is +1.0, and they have been favored in 63 games, going 29-34 against the run line in those contests. They have been an underdog in 33 games, going 20-13 against the run line.
Today’s game between the Cleveland Guardians and San Diego Padres has an over/under line of 7.5 runs. The Guardians have played in 63 games with higher over/under lines than this one, and their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 47-43, and they have gone over in 15 of 28 games with a 7.5 run line. Their games have averaged 8 runs per game this season, and they are currently on a 4-game under streak.
Gavin Williams will be making his third start of the season, and he will be at home against the Padres. He has gone 5 innings in each of his first two starts, allowing 1 earned run in his first start and then 5 runs in his last outing. In his last start, he struck out 5 batters and gave up 3 hits.
The Guardians offense has been solid this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. At home, they have been even better, putting up 5.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .244 (9th) and have the 10th most home runs in the league. So far, they have done a good job of avoiding strikeouts, but they are just 17th in the league in walks.
José Ramírez and Josh Naylor have been the team’s top power threats this season, with Ramirez leading the team with 23 homers and Naylor right behind him with 22. Ramirez’s 79 RBIs are 2nd in the MLB, and Naylor is 4th in the league with 70 RBIs. Both players come into the game on a bit of a cold streak, with Angel Martinez batting just .190 in his last five games and Bo Naylor at .214 in that stretch.
Our prediction for this Padres vs. Guardians matchup is to take the Guardians on the money line at -108. We have the Guardians winning this one by a final score of 6-5. At -108, there is some solid value in this pick.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Dylan Cease finishing with six strikeouts compared to Gavin Williams with five. However, we do have Williams finishing with a better ERA than Cease.
Cleveland Guardians vs San Diego Padres Betting Tips
- Take the Guardians on the moneyline
- The Guardians are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Cleveland Guardians Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Matthew Boyd | Out | Elbow |
| Sam Hentges | Out | Shoulder |
| Shane Bieber | Out | Elbow |
| Trevor Stephan | Out | Elbow |
| James Karinchak | Out | Shoulder |
San Diego Padres Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Yu Darvish | Out | Personal |
| Joe Musgrove | Out | Elbow |
| Jay Groome | Out | Suspension |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | Out | Tricep |
| Wandy Peralta | Out | Groin |
| Luis Patiño | Out | Elbow |
| Tom Cosgrove | Out | Elbow |
