Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins Prediction & Betting Tips 9/16/2024

Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins Preview

From Progressive Field in Cleveland, we have the Twins and Guardians facing off in an AL Central matchup. The Twins have won two straight and they are 79-70, while the Guardians are on a two-game winning streak and they are 86-64 overall. Matthew Boyd will be starting for the Guardians, while the Twins are sending Pablo Lopez to the mound.

The money line odds have the Guardians at -106 compared to the Twins at -112, and the over/under line is currently 7.5 runs. BSGL is carrying this game on TV, and the first pitch is set for 6:40 PM ET.

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Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins Trends and Key Stats

• The Twins are 1-4 across their last five road games. They have gone 0-5 vs. the runline.
• Conversely, the Guardians have achieved a 3-2 (SU) record and 3-2 record in their last five home games.
• In their previous ten games, Twins have won 4-6 as favorites and 3-7 as underdogs.
• The Guardians have a 8-2 record when favored, while their record as the underdog is 2-8.

Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins Prediction

Heading into their last game vs. the Reds, the Twins closed out the series with a 9-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -178. Offensively, the Twins scored their nine runs on jsonly 12 hits and didn’t hit a home run.

Cole Sands got the start for the Twins, going 3 2/3 innings, and got the win. He also issued just one walk and struck out three. David Festa picked up the save, going 3 1/3 innings out of the bullpen. The Twins scored three runs in the 6th to put things out of reach and added another three in the 7th for good measure.

Minnesota is 79-70 overall and trails the Guardians by 6.5 games in the AL Central. The Twins are 28-20 against other teams in the division. They are on the road today, where they are 37-37 this season. As the road team, the Twins have gone 28-15 when favored this year.

So far, the Twins have gone 63-41 as the favorite overall. As the underdog, Minnesota is just 16-29 this year. They come into today’s game having dropped three straight on the road. Their overall series record is 26-17-4. The Twins were edged by the Reds in their most recent series, going 4-6 over their last 10 games.

Minnesota has been a .500 team against the run line on the road this season, going 37-37. The Twins have been a favorite in 104 games and have gone 46-58 against the run line in those contests. Minnesota’s average run differential this season is +0.2 runs per game.

The Minnesota Twins are on the road to face the Cleveland Guardians today, with the over/under line set at 7.5 runs. The Twins have a combined run average of 9.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 76-67. Their games have averaged 8 runs per game this season, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 19-17. Overall, 64.4% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, and they are currently on a five-game over streak.

Pablo López has been pitching great for the Twins, as he has won his last four starts. Most recently, he faced the Angels on September 10th and picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up four earned runs. In that outing, he gave up one homer. For the season, López is 15-8 with a 3.88 ERA. Out of his 29 starts, he has turned in 17 quality starts and is averaging 9.73 strikeouts per nine innings. Overall, he has allowed 23 homers. López’s ERA at home is 4.3 compared to 4.85 on the road.

Carlos Santana has been swinging a hot bat for the Twins of late, going 8/18 in his last five games with two homers and five RBIs. Overall, he leads the team with 22 homers and 65 RBIs, but his batting average for the season is just .243. Ryan Jeffers and Willi Castro are 2nd and 3rd on the team in RBIs, with 62 and 55, respectively.

As a team, the Twins are 9th in home runs and are averaging 4.7 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they have the league’s 9th best team batting average and are 7th in slugging percentage.

Cleveland closed out their series vs. the Rays with a 2-0 win. Heading into the game, the Guardians were the slight favorite at -126 on the money line. It was a good all-around performance, as the offense scored their only two runs in the 2nd inning, and the pitching staff held the Rays to zero runs. Ben Lively got the start for the Guardians, going five innings, and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out two.

Angel Martinez was hot at the plate, going 2/3 with a run scored. The Guardians also had three other players with a hit. José Ramírez was only 2/4 but didn’t score a run.

Cleveland is currently 86-64 overall and leads the AL Central by four games over the Royals. The Guardians will host the Twins today with a 2-game winning streak, and they are 6-4 across their last 10 games. In the AL Central, their record against other teams in the division is 27-21 this year.

So far, the Guardians have gone 45-27 at home compared to 41-37 on the road. As the underdog, Cleveland is 25-32 this year, and they are 61-32 when favored. The Guardians’ overall series record is 26-15-6 this year.

When the Cleveland Guardians win, they win by an average of 3.3 runs. When they lose, they lose by an average of 3.2 runs. Their run line record is 76-74, and they are 35-37 against the run line at home. They are 41-37 against the run line on the road. They have covered the run line in their last two games at home and have failed to cover the run line in their last two games overall.

The Cleveland Guardians have played to the under in four straight games, and the under has hit in 20 of their 37 games with an over/under line of 7.5 runs this season. Overall, the under has hit in 66 of their 139 games this season, and their games have averaged 8.4 runs per game. Today’s over/under line is set at 7.5 runs.

Matthew Boyd gets the start for the Guardians today and is coming off a short outing against the White Sox, where he went 4 1/3 innings, giving up one earned run on six hits. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, Boyd had put together three straight quality starts. Boyd’s ERA for the season is 2.18, along with a record of 2-1. Opposing batters are hitting .181 this season off Boyd. In his three home starts, Boyd has an ERA of 1.56.

Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor have carried the Guardians offense this season, as both players have over 100 RBIs and are in the top two spots for home runs. Ramirez is batting .272 for the season and is currently on an eight-game hitting streak. Over his last five games, he has gone 6/20 with one homer. Naylor is batting .245 for the season and has gone deep 29 times.

As a team, the Guardians are averaging 4.5 runs per game and are 12th in the league in home runs. They are batting just .238 for the season and have the league’s worst BABIP. Currently, they are 7th in home runs and are averaging 4.8 runs per game at home.

Our prediction for this Twins vs. Guardians matchup is to take the Guardians on the money line at -106. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Guardians, and with the payout being close to even, we see this as a great value pick.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Matthew Boyd is projected to finish with six strikeouts compared to Pablo Lopez with five. Boyd also has a better chance of picking up a win compared to Lopez, as he ranks 12th in our starting pitcher rankings, with Lopez coming in at 2nd.

Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins Betting Tips

• We like the Guardians on the moneyline (-106)
• The Guardians are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Cleveland Guardians Injury Report

Minnesota Twins Injury Report