Cleveland Guardians vs Los Angeles Angels Preview
At 7:10 PM ET, the Angels and Guardians will square off in an American League matchup. Friday night’s matchup is taking place at Progressive Field in Cleveland, with the Guardians heading in as the heavy favorite. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs.
Los Angeles comes in with a record of 11-20, while the Guardians are currently 20-11. Tanner Bibee is starting for Cleveland, and he is facing off against Jose Soriano for the Angels. You can catch this one on MLBN.
Check out BetCoco for Cleveland Guardians – Los Angeles Angels odds
Cleveland Guardians Trends and Key Stats
- The Angels are 1-4 in their five most recent road games, including a 2-3 runline record.
- Conversely, the Guardians have achieved a 2-3 (SU) record and 4-1 record in their last five home games.
- As the favorite, the Guardians are 8-2 over their last ten games, including going 6-4 vs. the runline.
- Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the Angels have a 2-8 straight-up record and a 4-6 record vs. the runline.
Cleveland Guardians vs Los Angeles Angels Prediction
Ehire Adrianza had only one hit in the Angels’ last game vs. the Phillies, but it was a home run, and the Angels only scored one run in the 2-1 loss. The Angels were the +177 underdog at home going into this matchup. Patrick Sandoval got the start for the Angels and took the loss. He only lasted five innings, giving up two earned runs on four hits. Sandoval also issued two walks and struck out 10 Phillies batters.
Taylor Ward and Luis Rengifo each had two hits for the Angels, but they didn’t score a run. The Angels also wasted a big game from Zach Neto, who went 2/4 with a double.
Los Angeles is 11-20 overall this season, and they are looking to snap a two-game losing streak today on the road vs. the Guardians. The Angels dropped the final two games of their series vs. the Phillies. Currently, they are six games behind the Mariners for the AL West lead.
So far, the Angels have yet to play a game vs. another AL West team. At home, they are just 4-11 compared to 7-9 on the road. This season, they are just 2-12 in day games, and they have struggled as the underdog, going 10-17.
The Angels have been a solid bet on the run line this season, with a 15-16 record. They have been especially profitable on the road, where they are 10-6 ATS. They have covered the run line in three straight games, but have yet to do so as the favorite, going 0-4 ATS in those games.
Los Angeles Angels games have been averaging 9.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 17-13. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 2-2-1. So far this season, 80.6% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs. Their games have gone over the line in 60% of the games with lines set at 8 runs.
Through five starts, José Soriano has yet to pick up a win and is 0-4 with a 4.76 ERA. His WHIP for the season is currently 1.37. Soriano’s only quality start came on April 16th against the Rays, where he went five innings and gave up just one earned run. In his last outing, he was tagged with the loss after going just 1 2/3 innings and giving up four earned runs. Soriano has allowed at least one homer in three straight starts. So far, he has walked 5.56 batters per nine innings compared to 9.13 strikeouts.
So far this season, the Angels offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. They have been a little better on the road, averaging 4.3 runs per game. As a team, the Angels are batting .242, which is 11th in the league, and they are also near the top of the league in home runs. In terms of plate discipline, they are 20th in strikeouts and 21st in walks.
Mike Trout is leading the Angels in home runs this season with 10, but he is batting just .220. However, he does have an OBP of .325. Taylor Ward has been the Angels’ top hitter so far, batting .278 with seven homers. Ward is also on a three-game hitting streak. Jo Adell has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/33 in his last nine games with three homers.
Cleveland closed out their series vs. the Astros with a 8-2 loss on the road. The Guardians were the +115 underdog going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Guardians, as they got on the board with two runs in the 3rd inning but gave up the lead right away as the Astros scored one run in the bottom of the third.
Logan Allen got the start for the Guardians and took the loss. He only lasted 5 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs on seven hits. Cleveland’s offense was hot early but cooled off after the 3rd inning, and Will Brennan was the only Guardians hitter to have more than one hit, going 3/4 with two runs scored.
Cleveland is 20-11 overall, putting them 1.5 games ahead of the Royals for the AL Central lead. The Guardians will be hosting the Angels today, and they are 4-1 against other teams in the AL Central. The Guardians lost two of three in their series vs. the Astros.
At home, the Guardians are 8-4 this year and have gone 12-7 on the road. So far, they have been really good as the favorite, putting up an 11-5 mark. As the home favorite, the Guardians are 7-3 this year. Heading into today’s game, the Guardians have lost two straight series.
When the Guardians win, they do so by an average of 3.6 runs per game, which is a big reason why they are 21-10 against the run line this season. They are 8-4 vs. the run line at home, where their average scoring margin is +0.8 runs per game. As the underdog, the Guardians are 12-3 vs. the run line.
Today’s over/under line of 8 runs for the Cleveland Guardians’ game against the Los Angeles Angels is right on par with their season average of 8.8 runs per game. The Guardians have played 29 games this season, and 15 of them have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, with the over hitting in 4 of the 7 games with an over/under line of 8 runs.
Tanner Bibee gets the start for the Guardians today and is coming off a strong outing against the Braves. In that April 27th start, he went 7 innings, didn’t give up a run, and only allowed two hits. Bibee finished with nine strikeouts in that outing. Overall, he has made six starts and has a record of 2-0 with an ERA of 3.45. Opposing batters are hitting .230 off the right-hander this season. Bibee has made one quality start this year and is averaging 10.05 strikeouts per nine innings.
So far this season, the Guardians offense has been one of the league’s best, averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is 5th in the league. Not only are they one of the league’s top-scoring offenses, but they are also one of the league’s best at avoiding strikeouts. As a team, the Guardians are batting .247, which is 9th in the league, and have the 8th best on-base percentage in the league.
Steven Kwan has been the Guardians’ top hitter this season, batting .349 with three home runs. Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor are also near the top of the league in RBIs, with Ramirez leading the team with 25 RBIs and Naylor right behind him at 24. Over his last 10 games, Kwan is hitting .289, and Will Brennan has gone 11/32 in his last nine games.
Our prediction for the Angels vs. Guardians game is to take the over, with the line currently sitting at 8 runs. We see the Guardians coming out on top by a score of 5-4, meaning there is some value in taking the Guardians on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Tanner Bibee is projected to finish with six strikeouts compared to José Soriano with five. However, Soriano has a better chance of picking up a win, with Bibee ranking 13th among starters in his chances of getting a win.
Cleveland Guardians vs Los Angeles Angels Betting Tips
- Take the Guardians on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Angels (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Cleveland Guardians Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Sam Hentges | Out | Finger |
| Shane Bieber | Out | Elbow |
| Trevor Stephan | Out | Elbow |
| James Karinchak | Out | Shoulder |
| Eli Morgan | Out | Shoulder |
| Angel Martínez | Out | Hand |
| Gavin Williams | Out | Elbow |
Los Angeles Angels Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Drury | Questionable | Migraine |
| José Cisnero | Out | Shoulder |
| Mike Trout | Out | Knee |
| Miguel Sanó | Out | Knee |
| Anthony Rendon | Out | Hamstring |
| Robert Stephenson | Out | Elbow |
| José Quijada | Out | Elbow |
| Michael Stefanic | Out | Quadriceps |
| Sam Bachman | Out | Shoulder |
| Chase Silseth | Out | Elbow |
| Guillermo Zuñiga | Out | Pectoral |
