Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals Preview
Cleveland comes into this AL Central matchup vs. the Royals looking to extend their lead in the division, as they are 40-20. The Guardians are the favorites on the money line today, with their odds sitting at -124, while the Royals are +104. This game’s over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and it will be televised on BSGL.
First pitch from Progressive Field in Cleveland is set for 6:40 PM ET, and the forecast calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the upper 70s. Nick Sandlin is starting for the Guardians, while the Royals are going with Brady Singer. Kansas City is 2nd in the AL Central, with a record of 36-26.
Check out BetCoco for Cleveland Guardians – Kansas City Royals odds
Cleveland Guardians Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Royals have recorded a 1-4 record, with a 3-2 performance on the runline.
- The Guardians, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 3-2 (SU) and 1-4 record.
- Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Guardians have a straight-up record of 7-3, while going 4-6 against the runline.
- Looking at the Royals’ previous ten games as the underdog they are 4-6 straight-up and 6-4 vs. the runline.
Cleveland picked up an 8-5 win over the Royals in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a huge 7th inning, scoring five of their eight runs. As for the Royals, they scored three of their five runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Guardians were favored at -133 on the money line.
Triston McKenzie got the start for the Guardians, going just 5 1/3 innings while giving up five runs and striking out seven. He did not factor in the decision, as Cade Smith got the win out of the bullpen. Emmanuel Clase got the save. Seth Lugo only went six innings for the Royals, giving up five earned runs on six hits.
Josh Naylor and Tyler Freeman each homered for the Guardians, while Bobby Witt Jr. hit two homers for the Royals. Naylor, Freeman, and Will Brennan each had two RBIs for Cleveland’s offense.
Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals Prediction
Kansas City is 36-26 overall and trails the Guardians by five games in the AL Central. The Royals are 12-9 in the division and have dropped three straight as the underdog. So far, they are 19-8 as the favorite and 17-18 as the underdog.
At home, the Royals have been strong at 22-10 this year. However, they are just below .500 at 14-16 on the road. Kansas City has dropped two straight series and are 3-7 over their last 10 games.
The Royals are 38-24 against the run line this season, including an 18-12 mark on the road. They have covered the run line in 15 of 27 games as the favorite and 23 of 35 as the underdog. The average run margin in their wins is +4.0, while it drops to -2.8 in their losses.
The Kansas City Royals are on the road today against the Cleveland Guardians, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The Royals and their opponents have combined to average 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 27-33. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 7-14. So far this season, 21.0% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, while 45.2% have been set lower.
Brady Singer gets the start for the Royals today as he faces off against the Guardians on the road. So far this season, he has made 11 starts and has a record of 4-2 with an ERA of 2.63. Singer’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.12. In his 11 appearances, he has turned in four quality starts and is averaging 9.34 strikeouts per nine innings. The right-hander most recently faced the Rays, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up one earned run in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
So far this season, the Royals are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. At home, they have been even better, averaging 5.5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .253, which is 4th in the league, and have the 6th best slugging percentage in the league. Kansas City’s offense has been led by Bobby Witt Jr. and Salvador Perez, who are batting .319 and .315, respectively.
Witt Jr. has been especially hot of late, going 16/41 in his last nine games with three homers. He also has the team’s top batting average for the season and is 5th in the league with 46 RBIs. Perez is right behind him in the team’s batting average race and has 10 homers this season.
Cleveland comes into today’s game vs. the Royals with an overall record of 40-20, which has them leading the AL Central by five games. So far, they have gone 11-5 in divisional games and are coming off a win over the Royals. The Royals are in 2nd place in the division, and they trail the Guardians by five games.
At home, the Guardians have gone 21-7 this year while posting a 19-13 mark on the road. Cleveland has been really good in day games, going 17-5 this year. As the favorite, the Guardians are 28-12, and they are 12-8 as the underdog. Cleveland’s overall series record this year is 14-5.
The Guardians are a profitable run line team overall, going 34-26 on the season. They have been even better at home, where they are 16-12 against the run line. They have a positive run differential both at home and on the road, but they have been better against the run line as the underdog, going 15-5.
The Cleveland Guardians have an over/under record of 30-26 this season, with an average combined run average of 8.8 runs per game. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 8.5 runs, they have gone 5-10. So far this season, 21.7% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, while 53.3% have had lines set lower than that.
Cleveland is starting Nick Sandlin today, and he has made 29 appearances out of the bullpen this year. Sandlin’s record is 4-0, and his ERA is an impressive 2.77. This year, he has allowed just two home runs and is averaging 10.04 strikeouts per nine innings. Sandlin most recently pitched on June 2nd, where he went one inning, giving up one hit and no runs. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Sandlin has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings.
For the season, the Guardians are averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is 3rd in the majors. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .238, which is 11th in the league, and are also near the top of the league in home runs. Cleveland’s offense has been led by José Ramírez, who is batting .272 for the season and leads the team with 58 RBIs.
David Fry has been one of the league’s top hitters so far, with a batting average of .342 and an OBP of .479. He has also been hot of late, going 7/25 in his last seven games with two homers. Josh Naylor and Ramírez are tied for the team lead with 16 homers. Naylor has been struggling of late, hitting just .139 in his last nine games. Ramírez has gone 11/33 in his last nine games.
The best bet for this one is to take the Guardians on the money line, where they are sitting at -124. We have the Guardians winning this one by a score of 6-5, which means you could also look to take the over, as the line is sitting at 8.5 runs.
Looking at some of the starting pitcher projections, Brady Singer is predicted to finish with five strikeouts, which is 15th among starters today. As for the Guardians, they are projected to finish with the second-fewest strikeouts today.
Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals Betting Tips
- Take the Guardians on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Royals (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Cleveland Guardians Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Shane Bieber | Out | Elbow |
Trevor Stephan | Out | Elbow |
James Karinchak | Out | Shoulder |
Eli Morgan | Out | Elbow |
Gavin Williams | Out | Elbow |
Kansas City Royals Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Jordan Lyles | Out | Personal |
Michael Wacha | Out | Foot |
Brady Singer | Probable | Illness |
Josh Taylor | Out | Biceps |
Kyle Wright | Out | Shoulder |
Kris Bubic | Out | Elbow |
Kyle Isbel | Questionable | Head |
Michael Massey | Out | Back |