Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Preview
The Guardians come into Wednesday’s matchup vs. the Tigers looking for the series sweep, as they have won the first two games. This game is set to get started at 1:10 PM ET from Progressive Field in Cleveland. Detroit, on the other hand, is looking to avoid the sweep and is starting Reese Olson.
As for the over/under line, it is currently at 8 runs, with the Guardians being the favorite on the money line at -140. If you’re looking to watch this game on TV, it is being carried by BSDET.
Check out BetCoco for Cleveland Guardians – Detroit Tigers odds
Cleveland Guardians Trends and Key Stats
- The Tigers are 1-4 in their five most recent road games, including a 2-3 runline record.
- In the Guardians’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 2-3 (SU) with 4-1 against the spread.
- Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Guardians have won 7-3 straight-up, and have a 6-4 record vs. the runline.
- The Tigers have a 6-4 straight-up record and a 8-2 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.
Detroit rallied for eight runs in the 8th inning in the most recent game of this Tigers vs. Guardians series. The Tigers scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up eight in the top of the 8th, picking up an 11-7 win. Heading into the game, the Tigers were at +118 on the money line.
Kenta Maeda got the start for the Tigers, going just two innings while giving up seven runs and took a no-decision. Tyler Holton got the win out of the bullpen. Logan Allen only went 2 1/3 innings for the Guardians, giving up seven earned runs.
Andy Ibanez and Ryan Vilade each had three RBIs for the Tigers’ offense. Ibanez, Jake Rogers, and Wenceel Perez each had two hits and two RBIs.
Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Prediction
Detroit is 19-17 overall and is 4th in the AL Central, trailing the Guardians by four games. So far, they have been good against other teams in the AL Central, going 10-5. The Tigers will look to get back above .500 today, as they are on the road for this one.
At home, the Tigers are 8-9 this year, and they have gone 11-8 on the road. Detroit has been pretty good as the favorite this year, putting up a mark of 9-7. As for their record as the underdog, they are an even 10-10 this year. The Tigers’ overall series record is 6-3-2, and they are 1-1 in their current series vs. the Guardians.
When the Tigers are on the road, they have been a good bet against the run line, going 12-7 overall. They have covered in their last two games and are 14-6 against the run line as the underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is 2.8, while it’s -2.7 in losing games.
The Detroit Tigers have played 34 games this season and have had 11 games with over/under lines set higher than 8 runs. Their games have averaged 7.9 runs per game, and their over/under record is 16-18.
Detroit is sending right-hander Reese Olson to the mound today vs. the Guardians. He has made six starts this year and has a record of 0-4 with an ERA of 2.70. So far, opponents are batting .228 off Olsen this year. In his six starts, he has turned in two quality starts and is averaging 8.37 strikeouts per nine innings. One of the issues for Olsen has been walks, as he is averaging 3.51 per nine innings. The right-hander’s most recent outing came vs. the Yankees, where he went five innings, giving up no earned runs and two hits.
Riley Greene and Mark Canha have been the Tigers’ top power threats this season, with Greene’s nine homers ranking 3rd in the league and Canha’s five homers coming in at 7th. Greene is also leading the team with 17 RBIs, while Canha is 2nd with 16. Greene has also been hot of late, going 10/29 in his last seven games, with three homers. Wenceel Perez and Andy Ibanez have also been swinging the bat well, with both players having two homers in their last six and seven games, respectively.
As a team, the Tigers are averaging 4 runs per game and are batting just .228 for the season. They are also near the bottom of the league in terms of strikeouts and on-base percentage. Detroit comes into the game with two players on three-game hitting streaks, with those players being Jake Rogers and Spencer Torkelson.
Cleveland is hosting the Tigers today with an overall record of 23-13, which has them leading the AL Central. The Guardians are 2.5 games ahead of the Twins for the division lead. So far, they have gone 5-2 in divisional matchups. Cleveland has gone 11-6 at home this year and are 12-7 on the road.
The Guardians are 10-5 as the home favorite this year and have an overall record of 14-7 as the favorite. They have also been good as the underdog, coming in with a mark of 9-6 this year. This season, the Guardians have an overall series record of 8-3.
The Cleveland Guardians have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 23-13 overall. They have been especially good on the road, going 13-6 against the run line, compared to 10-7 at home. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 12-3 against the run line, compared to 11-10 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.6, while it is -3.3 in losing games.
Today’s over/under line of 8 runs for the Cleveland Guardians’ game against the Detroit Tigers is right in line with the average line for the Guardians this season. The Guardians’ games have gone over the line in 19 of their 34 games this season, and their average combined run total is 8.7 runs per game. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and their record when the line is set at 8 runs is 4-2-1.
Cleveland is sending Tanner Bibee to the mound today vs. the Tigers, and he is coming off a rough outing vs. the Angels. In that game, he gave up six earned runs in five innings of work, taking the loss. Looking back over his last three outings, Bibee has given up at least two homers in each start. Overall, he has made seven starts, and opponents are batting .250 this season vs. Bibee. The right-hander’s ERA for the season is 4.46, along with a record of 2-1. Bibee’s WHIP for the season is 1.38.
The Guardians come into the game as one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .242, which is 13th in the league, and are also near the top of the league in home runs. Josh Naylor and José Ramirez have been a big reason for their power numbers, as Naylor’s nine homers is 3rd in the league, and Ramirez is right behind him with seven.
Over his last four games, Josh Naylor has gone 5/12 with two homers and four RBIs. José Ramirez has also gone deep twice in his last five games, going 5/18 over that stretch. Ramirez also comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak.
Our predicted final score for this one is 5-4 in favor of the Guardians, and with them sitting at -140 on the money line, we see this as a great value pick. Offensively, we have the Guardians finishing with nine hits compared to the Tigers with eight.
Looking at today’s starters, we have Tanner Bibee finishing with six strikeouts compared to Reese Olson with five. However, we actually have Olson finishing with a better ERA than Bibee, but we still have the Guardians coming out on top.
Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Betting Tips
- Take the Guardians on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Tigers (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Cleveland Guardians Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Shane Bieber | Out | Elbow |
| Trevor Stephan | Out | Elbow |
| James Karinchak | Out | Shoulder |
| Eli Morgan | Out | Shoulder |
| Steven Kwan | Out | Hamstring |
| Angel Martínez | Out | Hand |
| Gavin Williams | Out | Elbow |
Detroit Tigers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Mark Canha | Questionable | Illness |
| Gio Urshela | Out | Hamstring |
| Sawyer Gipson-Long | Out | Elbow |
