Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Preview
Carlos Carrasco and the Cleveland Guardians will host the Detroit Tigers today in Cleveland, and the Guardians are the slight favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at +101 compared to the Tigers at -120. This AL Central matchup has a first pitch time of 6:40 PM ET from Progressive Field in Cleveland, and the over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs.
BSGL will be televising Monday’s Tigers vs. Guardians matchup, and Detroit comes in with a record of 49-51, which has them 4th in the AL Central. Cleveland is currently on a two-game losing streak, and their overall record of 59-39 has them 1st in the AL Central.
Check out BetCoco for Cleveland Guardians – Detroit Tigers odds
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers Trends and Key Stats
- 4-1 is the record of Tigers in their last five road games. They have also gone 5-0 vs. the runline.
- In the Guardians’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 1-4 (SU) with 1-4 against the spread.
- Over their last ten games, the Tigers have a 5-5 straight-up record when playing as the favorite, along with a 3-7 record vs. the runline.
- Over their last ten games as the underdog, the Guardians have gone 3-7 vs. the runline and 6-4 straight-up.
Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Prediction
The Tigers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Blue Jays with a 5-4 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 5th inning before the Blue Jays scored four runs in the bottom of the 5th. Detroit was the +142 underdog on the money line going into this matchup.
Keider Montero had a rough outing, giving up five earned runs on eight hits and issuing three walks. Justus-Henry Malloy hit a homer for the Tigers but went only ‘third of an inning, and the Tigers couldn’t score again after their 4th-inning rally.
Detroit is 49-51 overall and trails the Guardians by 11 games in the AL Central. The Tigers are 16-13 against other teams in the division. The Tigers’ record has them in 4th place in the AL Central, and they are 11 games behind the Guardians heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Guardians.
At home, the Tigers are an even 24-24 this year, and they have gone 25-27 on the road. So far, they have been slightly better as the underdog, where they are 28-31 compared to 21-20 as the favorite. Detroit’s overall series record is 14-13-4, and they have won four straight series.
When betting the run line, the Tigers have been a better play on the road, where they are 29-23. They have covered the run line in six straight road games. As the underdog, they are 38-21 vs. the run line. Detroit’s average run margin in wins is +3.6, while it is -3.5 in losses.
The Detroit Tigers are on the road today against the Cleveland Guardians, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The Tigers have a combined run average of 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 54-43. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 16-10. Overall, 64.0% of their games this season have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, and their current over streak is at three games.
Tarik Skubal has been pitching well for the Tigers this season, as he comes into the game with a record of 10-3 and an ERA of 2.40. Skubal has made 19 starts this year and has a WHIP of .88. In his 19 appearances, he has turned in 14 quality starts and is averaging 10.86 strikeouts per nine innings. Skubal’s last outing came on July 12th, where he finished with a no-decision, going six innings and giving up two earned runs. Before that, he had won two straight starts. The left-hander has been better at home, coming in with a 6-0 record and 1.89 ERA compared to 4-3 with a 3.22 ERA on the road.
Riley Greene has been on a tear of late for the Tigers, going 13/31 in his last eight games. This has helped him move into the top spot on the team’s home run list. Overall, he is batting .271 with 51 RBIs. Matt Vierling is also a player to watch, as he is 2nd on the team with 12 homers and has a batting average of .251.
As a team, the Tigers are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. They have been a bit better at home, averaging 4.4 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting just .233 and have an on-base percentage of only .299.
Cleveland closed out their series vs. the Padres with a 2-1 loss. The Guardians were the slight favorite at -112 on the money line. Things started off well for the Guardians, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Padres scored two runs in the top of the 2nd.
Ben Lively got the start for the Guardians and took the loss. He only lasted 5 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs on six hits. The Guardians also wasted a good performance from the bullpen, as the Padres scored their only run in the 7th to pick up the win.
Cleveland is hosting the Tigers today with an overall record of 59-39, which has them leading the AL Central by five games over the White Sox. The Guardians head into today’s game having dropped two straight, and they went 3-7 over their last 10 games. So far, they are 15-13 in divisional matchups.
The Guardians have been good at home this year, coming in with a mark of 31-13 compared to 28-26 on the road. As the favorite, Cleveland has gone 43-22, and they are 16-17 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Guardians are 19-10-2 but dropped three straight series at one point.
When the Guardians are favored, they are 29-36 vs. the run line, but when they are the underdog, they are 20-13. Their average run differential in wins is +3.4, but in losses, it is -3.1.
The Cleveland Guardians have an over/under record of 47-45 this season, with an average combined run average of 8.6 runs per game. The over/under line for today’s game against the Detroit Tigers is set at 7.5 runs, which matches their average line for the season. The Guardians have played 63 games with higher lines than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 64.3% of their games this season. They are currently on a 6-game under streak.
Right-hander Carlos Carrasco gets the start for the Guardians today as he faces the Tigers at home. He has made 17 starts this year and has a record of 3-7 with a 5.02 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .263 this year off Carrasco, and he has a WHIP of 1.36. Carrasco has made four quality starts this year and is coming off a rough outing against the Rays, where he took the loss. In that start, he went five innings and gave up two earned runs on six hits. Before that, he had gone three straight starts without taking the loss. Carrasco has made 10 appearances on the road, going 1-4 with a 5.53 ERA.
Heading into today’s game, José Ramírez and Josh Naylor are the top power hitters for the Guardians, as Ramírez’s 23 homers are 5th in the league, and Naylor’s 22 round-trippers are 6th in the MLB. Ramírez also has 79 RBIs, which is the 2nd most in the league. As a team, the Guardians are 13th in home runs and are averaging 4.7 runs per game (10th in the league).
Over his last six games, José Ramírez has gone 6/24 with two RBIs, but he has yet to go deep during that stretch. Angel Martinez has also struggled of late, going 5/23 in his last six games. Jhonkensy Noel has gone 2/6 with a homer and two RBIs in his last four games.
Our prediction for today’s Tigers vs. Guardians matchup is to take the Guardians on the money line at +101. We have the Guardians winning this one by a final score of 7-6. With the over/under sitting at 7.5 runs, you could also look to take the over in this one.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Carlos Carrasco finishing with five strikeouts compared to Tarik Skubal with six. However, Carrasco is projected to go just five innings, while Skubal is projected to go seven.
Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Betting Tips
- Take the Tigers on the moneyline
- The Guardians are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 13 runs, we like the over
Cleveland Guardians Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Matthew Boyd | Out | Elbow |
| Sam Hentges | Out | Shoulder |
| Shane Bieber | Out | Elbow |
| Trevor Stephan | Out | Elbow |
| James Karinchak | Out | Shoulder |
Detroit Tigers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Casey Mize | Out | Hamstring |
| Parker Meadows | Out | Hamstring |
| Kerry Carpenter | Out | Back |
| Reese Olson | Out | Shoulder |
| Sawyer Gipson-Long | Out | Elbow |
