Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Prediction & Betting Tips 5/7/2024

Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Preview

The Tigers and Guardians are set to face off in an AL Central matchup at 6:10 PM ET on Tuesday. This one is being played at Progressive Field in Cleveland and features a Tigers club that is 18-17 compared to the Guardians at 23-12. Logan Allen is starting for Cleveland, and he is up against Kenta Maeda for the Tigers.

Looking at the odds, the over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the Guardians are the favorite at -124. If you’re looking to watch this game on TV, it is being carried by BSGL.

Check out BetCoco for Cleveland Guardians – Detroit Tigers odds

Cleveland Guardians Trends and Key Stats

• Across their last five road games, the Tigers are 0-5. This includes going 1-4 vs. the runline.
• The Guardians, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 2-3 (SU) and 4-1 record.
• Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Guardians have won 8-2 straight-up, and have a 7-3 record vs. the runline.
• The Tigers have a 5-5 straight-up record and a 8-2 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.

Detroit wasted a good outing from Jack Flaherty, as he went six innings and gave up just two earned runs as the Tigers starter vs. the Indians. The Tigers actually had a 1-0 lead after the first inning but could only muster one more run in the 2nd inning. As for the Indians, they scored their first run in the 3rd inning and took the lead for good with a run in the 6th, picking up a 2-1 win.

Triston McKenzie started for the Indians, going five innings and giving up just one earned run. He finished with six strikeouts but issued three walks. Nick Sandlin got the win out of the bullpen, and Emmanuel Clase got the save.

At the plate, Jose Ramirez and Tyler Freeman were the only two Indians hitters to have more than one hit. Ramirez, Freeman, and Amed Rosario each had an RBI for Cleveland’s offense.

Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Prediction

Detroit will be on the road today to take on the Guardians, and they are looking to snap a four-game losing streak. Currently, the Tigers are 18-17 overall, which has them five games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. So far, they have gone 9-5 in divisional games.

At home, the Tigers are 8-9 this year and have gone 10-8 on the road. As the underdog, the Tigers have an overall record of 9-10 and are 9-7 when favored. Detroit’s series record is 6-3-2 this year and is currently in a series.

The Tigers have been a good team to bet on the run line when they are the underdog, as they are 13-6 on the run line in those games. They have a run line record of 16-19 overall, and they have a run line record of 11-7 on the road. Their average run margin in winning games is 2.7, while their average run margin in losing games is -2.7.

The Tigers have played 33 games this season, and 25 of them have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or fewer. Their games have averaged 7.6 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 15-18. The Tigers have played just four games with over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, and the over has hit in just one of those games.

Kenta Maeda is looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win. Against the Cardinals on May 1st, he went six innings and only gave up one earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Maeda has made six starts and has a record of 1-1. His ERA for the season is 5.02, along with a WHIP of 1.22. Out of his six starts, Maeda has turned in two quality starts and is averaging 6.91 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has given up a total of eight home runs. Maeda’s ERA at home is 6.16, compared to 8.1 on the road.

So far this season, the Tigers are averaging 3.8 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in most of the key offensive categories, including team batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. However, Detroit does have two of the league’s top home run hitters in Riley Greene and Mark Canha, who have 9 and 5 homers, respectively.

Greene has been especially hot of late, going 12/38 in his last 10 games with four homers and six RBIs. Wenceel Pérez is also swinging a hot bat right now, going 9/28 in his last nine games with three homers. For the season, Greene is batting .266, while Canha is hitting .248.

Cleveland is hosting the Tigers today with an overall record of 23-12, good for 1st place in the AL Central. The Guardians currently lead the Twins by 2.5 games and are 5-1 against other teams in the division. They have won three straight games, and their home win streak is up to three games as well.

So far, the Guardians have been good both at home (11-5) and on the road (12-7). This season, they are 11-3 in day games. As the favorite, the Guardians are 14-6 this year and 9-6 as the underdog. Cleveland’s overall series record is 8-3, and they are 5-5 in their last ten games.

When the Cleveland Guardians win, they tend to do so convincingly, as their average run margin in victories is 3.6. Their run line record as the underdog is an impressive 12-3, while their overall run line record is 23-12. They have been a good bet on the run line on the road, going 13-6, compared to 10-6 at home.

The Cleveland Guardians have had a combined run average of 8.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 18-15. The over/under line for today’s game against the Detroit Tigers is set at 8.5 runs. The Guardians have played 11.4% of their games with a line set at 8.5 runs or higher, and their over/under record in those games is 4-8. The under has hit in each of their last two games.

Through seven starts, Logan Allen has a record of 3-2 and an ERA of 5.11. He has made one quality start this year and is coming off a rough outing against the Astros, where he took the loss. In that start, Allen gave up two earned runs, seven hits, and one homer in 5 2/3 innings of work. Looking back further, he has given up at least one homer in three straight outings. At home, Allen’s ERA is 7.56 compared to 4.07 on the road. Opponents are batting .265 off Allen this season.

For the season, the Guardians are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .242, which is 9th in the MLB, and have the 8th ranked isolated power figure in the league. Cleveland is also one of the better teams in the league at avoiding strikeouts.

Steven Kwan comes into the game batting .353 for the Guardians, and he is also 4th on the team with three home runs. Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor are the team’s top power threats, with Ramirez leading the team with seven homers and Naylor right behind him at eight. However, Ramirez is batting just .230 for the season and has gone just 4/31 in his last nine games. Naylor has also struggled as of late, hitting just .241 in his last eight games.

Our prediction for this game is that the Guardians will pick up a 5-4 win at home. With the Guardians coming in at -124 on the money line, this is the way we recommend playing this one.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Logan Allen is projected to finish with four strikeouts, while Kenta Maeda is projected to finish with five. However, Allen is projected to give up fewer hits than Maeda, and we have him finishing with a better chance to pick up a win.

Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Betting Tips

• Take the Guardians on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Tigers (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Cleveland Guardians Injury Report

Detroit Tigers Injury Report