Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Preview
From Progressive Field in Cleveland, we have an AL Central matchup between the Tigers and Guardians. First pitch on Monday is set for 6:10 PM, where the forecast calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the low 60s. Detroit comes in with a record of 18-16, while the Guardians are 22-12.
Triston McKenzie is starting for Cleveland, and he is up against Jack Flaherty for the Tigers. The over/under line is at 7.5 runs, and the Guardians are the slight favorite at -119 on the money line.
Check out BetCoco for Cleveland Guardians – Detroit Tigers odds
Cleveland Guardians Trends and Key Stats
- The Tigers are 1-4 across their last five road games. They have gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
- Conversely, the Guardians have achieved a 2-3 (SU) record and 4-1 record in their last five home games.
- In the past ten games, when playing as the favorite, the Tigers have a record of 4-6, while as the underdog, they have a record of 5-5.
- 8-2 is the record of the Guardians as the favorite, while their record as the underdog stands at 5-5.
Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Prediction
The Tigers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Yankees with a 5-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 7th inning before the Yankees scored three runs in the bottom of the 7th. Detroit was the +111 underdog going into this road game.
Tarik Skubal pitched well for the Tigers, going six innings and giving up just two earned runs, and striking out 12. However, the Tigers couldnjson’t close things out, and Shelby Miller took the loss out of the bullpen. The Tigers also wasted a big game from Spencer Torkelson, who went 2/3 with two doubles and a run scored.
Detroit is 18-16 overall heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Guardians. The Tigers are in 4th place in the AL Central, four games behind the Guardians. So far, they have been good against other teams in the division, putting together a mark of 9-4.
At home, the Tigers are 8-9 this year and have gone 10-7 on the road. As the road favorite, Detroit is 3-1 this year, and they are looking to snap a four-game losing streak on the road. Their overall losing streak is at three games, and they dropped the final three games of their series vs. the Yankees.
The Tigers are 15-19 against the run line this season, including a 10-7 mark on the road. They have covered the run line in 12 of 18 games as an underdog, but are just 3-13 as the favorite. Their average run differential is +0.1 runs per game, but they have been outscored by 0.6 runs per game at home.
The Tigers have had 19 games with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, and in those games, the over has hit 10 times. Their over/under record for the season is 15-17, and their games have averaged 7.7 runs per game. They have gone over the total in their last two games, and their average over/under line for the season is 8 runs.
Through six starts, Jack Flaherty has a record of 0-1 and an ERA of 4.00. He has made four quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t allow a run. In that start vs. the Cardinals, Flaherty went 6 2/3 innings, giving up just two hits and one walk while striking out 14 batters. For the season, he has a total of 50 strikeouts, with an average of 12.5 per nine innings. Flaherty has allowed a total of five home runs this season. So far, he has been better on the road, with an ERA of 3.9 compared to 4.42 at home.
Over his last 10 games, Riley Greene has gone 12/38 with three homers and five RBIs. This has pushed his season average to .269, which is 5th best on the team. Greene’s eight homers are the best mark on the team and 3rd in the league. Mark Canha is also swinging a good bat right now, as he is batting .254 for the season and has gone deep five times.
As a team, the Tigers are averaging just 3.9 runs per game and are batting a collective .224. Their on-base percentage of .299 is also 18th in the league. Detroit’s team OPS of .656 is 23rd in the league. Collectively, the Tigers are 16th in home runs, but this hasn’t translated to a lot of runs.
The Guardians’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Angels, closing out their series with a 4-1 win. After allowing one run to the Angels in the top of the 2nd, the Guardians responded with two runs of their own. Cleveland went on to add another two runs in the 6th inning.
Carlos Carrasco put together a good start for the Guardians, going six innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. Cleveland’s offense was carried by Josh Naylor, who went 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.
Cleveland is hosting the Tigers today with an overall record of 22-12, good for 1st place in the AL Central. The Guardians hold a 2.5-game lead over the Twins in the division and are 4-1 against other AL Central teams this year. The Guardians have won two straight games, and they closed out their series vs. the Angels with a win.
At home, the Guardians are 10-5 this year and have gone 12-7 on the road. So far, they have been really good in day games, going 10-3. As the favorite, the Guardians are 13-6 this year and 9-6 as the underdog. Cleveland has an overall series record of 8-3 this year.
The Guardians have been a profitable team to bet on the run line this season, as they are 23-11 overall. They have been especially good at covering the run line at home, going 10-5. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 11-8 as the favorite and 12-3 as the underdog. They have an average run differential of 1.3 runs per game this season.
When the Cleveland Guardians’ games have had over/under lines set at 7.5 runs this season, the over has hit in seven of their eight contests. Their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 18-14 overall. In their most recent game, they combined with the Angels for five runs, going under the 8.5-run line. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs per game this season.
Triston McKenzie gets the start for the Guardians today and is coming off a rough outing against the Astros. In that May 1st start, he went seven innings, giving up two earned runs, and finished with a no-decision. Looking back at his last three outings, McKenzie has finished with a no-decision in each one. He has made six starts this year and has a record of 2-2 with an ERA of 4.34. Opposing batters are hitting .227 this year off McKenzie, and his WHIP for the season is 1.48. McKenzie has issued 5.59 walks per nine innings compared to 7.45 strikeouts.
Steven Kwan has been the Guardians’ top hitter so far this season, batting .353 with three homers. He is also 5th on the team with 11 RBIs. Josh Naylor has also been a key power bat for the Guardians, as his eight homers are the 3rd most in the league. However, he has struggled a bit of late, going just 4/23 in his last six games.
Overall, the Guardians are 7th in the league in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .242, which is 11th in the league, and are near the top of the league in both home runs and slugging percentage.
The best bet we see on the money line in this one is for the Guardians to pick up a win at home. The payout is -119, and we have them winning this one by a score of 6-5. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also take the over, as the line is sitting at 7.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Jack Flaherty finishing with five strikeouts, which is the fifth-lowest among starters. As for Triston McKenzie, he is projected to finish with six K’s, and we have him finishing with a 9.00 ERA.
Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Betting Tips
- Take the Tigers on the moneyline
- The Guardians are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Cleveland Guardians Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Sam Hentges | Out | Finger |
| Shane Bieber | Out | Elbow |
| Trevor Stephan | Out | Elbow |
| James Karinchak | Out | Shoulder |
| Eli Morgan | Out | Shoulder |
| Steven Kwan | Out | Hamstring |
| Angel Martínez | Out | Hand |
| Gavin Williams | Out | Elbow |
Detroit Tigers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Gio Urshela | Out | Hamstring |
| Wenceel Pérez | Questionable | Illness |
| Sawyer Gipson-Long | Out | Elbow |
