Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox Prediction & Betting Tips 7/3/2024

Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox Preview

Cleveland is the heavy favorite on the money line today, as they are sitting at -190 compared to the White Sox at +161. The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and the game will be played at Progressive Field in Cleveland, with the forecasted temperature being 84 degrees and cloudy skies.

First pitch for this AL Central matchup is set for 6:40 PM ET, and BSGL will be televising the game. Chicago comes in with a record of 24-63, while the Guardians are 53-30 and in first place in the AL Central.

Check out BetCoco for Cleveland Guardians – Chicago White Sox odds

Cleveland Guardians Trends and Key Stats

• The White Sox are 1-4 in their five most recent road games, including a 3-2 runline record.
• Conversely, the Guardians have achieved a 1-4 (SU) record and 1-4 record in their last five home games.
• Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Guardians have won 7-3 straight-up, and have a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
• The White Sox have a 3-7 straight-up record and a 6-4 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.

Cleveland picked up a 7-6 win over the White Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a two-run lead going into the 9th inning and gave up three runs but still held on for the win. Heading into the game, the Guardians were favored at -215 on the money line.

Carlos Carrasco started for the Guardians and went six innings while giving up three runs and striking out seven. He picked up a win in the game, while Emmanuel Clase closed things out. Chris Flexen had a rough outing for the White Sox, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work.

Luis Robert Jr. hit the game’s only home run while going 2/4 with four RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Tyler Freeman did a bit of everything for the Guardians, going 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.

Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox Prediction

With an overall record of 24-63, the White Sox are 5th in the AL Central and trail the Guardians by 31 games for the division lead. So far, they have really struggled against other AL Central teams, going 6-22 this year. Chicago is on a two-game losing streak, having dropped the final two games before the All-Star break.

Chicago has really struggled on the road this year, coming in with an 8-34 road record. At home, the White Sox are just under .500 at 16-29. So far, they have gone 5-1 as the favorite and 19-62 as the underdog. This season, the White Sox are 9-27 in day games and 15-36 in night games. The team’s overall series record is 6-19-2, and they have won two straight series.

Chicago has not been a great bet on the run line this season, as they are 40-47 overall. They have been even worse on the road, going 18-24. The White Sox have been a good bet as the underdog, going 35-46 on the run line. In games they have won, they have won by an average of 3.0 runs, while in games they have lost, they have lost by an average of 3.7 runs.

Today’s over/under line of 8.5 runs for the Chicago White Sox and Cleveland Guardians matchup is slightly higher than the teams’ combined run average of 8.1 runs per game this season. The White Sox have played to the over in 39 of their 84 games this season, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the line has been set at 8.5 runs, the White Sox have gone over in 9 of 19 games, and their games have gone over the total in each of their last three contests.

Right-hander Erick Fedde gets the start for the White Sox today as he faces off against the Guardians on the road. He has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 5-3 with a 3.23 ERA. Fedde’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.14. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Opponents are batting .229 off Fedde this season, and he has allowed a total of 11 home runs. Fedde has made eight quality starts this year.

Chicago’s offense has really struggled this season, as they are last in the league in OPS and have the worst BABIP in the league. As a team, they are batting just .220 and are also at the bottom of the league in terms of home runs. So far, they are averaging just 3.1 runs per game, which is also the worst mark in the league.

Andrew Vaughn and Paul DeJong have been the White Sox’s top power hitters this season, but both are batting under .250 for the season. DeJong’s 15 homers lead the team, while Vaughn is right behind him with 11. DeJong is also 2nd on the team in RBIs, with 34. Luis Robert Jr. has been swinging the bat well of late, going 9/32 in his last eight games with three homers.

Cleveland is 53-30 overall this season, putting them 1st in the AL Central. They currently lead the Twins by six games for the top spot in the division. The Guardians are 13-9 against other teams in the AL Central. The Guardians have won six straight games at home and are 27-9 at home this season.

The Guardians have been slightly above .500 on the road, going 26-21 this season. So far, they have been good in day games, going 22-9. As the favorite, the Guardians are 37-16 this year and 16-14 as the underdog. Cleveland’s overall series record is 17-7-2, and they have gone 6-4 over their last 10 games overall.

The Guardians have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 46-37 overall. They have been especially good at home, where they are 20-16 against the run line. Their average run margin for the season is +1.2 runs per game, and they have been even better at home, with an average run margin of +1.4 runs per game.

The Cleveland Guardians are playing at home today against the Chicago White Sox. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly higher than their combined run average of 8.8 runs per game. The Guardians have had a 40-37 over/under record this season, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, they have gone 8-12 on the over/under.

Gavin Williams will be taking the mound for the Guardians in their matchup against the White Sox. Last season, Williams made 16 starts and finished with a record of 3-5. His ERA for the year was 3.29, and he had a WHIP of 1.26. Opponents hit .214 off Williams, and he allowed eight home runs. In terms of quality starts, Williams had four, and he finished the season with one complete game. His strikeouts per nine innings was 8.89, while his walks per nine innings was 4.06.

Jose Ramirez has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/38 in his last nine games with four homers and nine RBIs. For the season, he is batting .276 with 23 homers and 76 RBIs. His 76 RBIs are 2nd in the league. Josh Naylor is also near the top of the league in RBIs, as his 61 is 6th in the MLB. Naylor is 2nd on the team with 20 homers.

Overall, the Guardians offense is 5th in the league at 5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .245, which is 12th in the league, and are near the top of the league in home runs and isolated power.

Our predicted final score for this one is 5-4 in favor of the Guardians. However, with the money line payout being -190, we actually like the over in this game. The line is sitting at 8.5 runs, and we have this one finishing with a combined nine runs.

Looking at today’s starters, we do have Gavin Williams finishing with seven strikeouts, and he’s actually one of the best strikeout pitchers in terms of today’s slate. As for Erick Fedde, we have him finishing with five K’s.

Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox Betting Tips

• Take the Guardians on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the White Sox (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Cleveland Guardians Injury Report

Chicago White Sox Injury Report