Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox Preview
The Guardians are the heavy favorite on the money line today, as their odds are sitting at -204 compared to the White Sox, who are +173. This AL Central matchup has a total of 9 runs, and the game is being played at 6:40 PM ET at Progressive Field in Cleveland.
Carlos Carrasco is starting for the Guardians, while the White Sox are going with Chris Flexen. Chicago is 5th in the AL Central with a record of 24-62, while the Guardians are 1st in the division at 52-30. BSGL will be televising this one.
Check out BetCoco for Cleveland Guardians – Chicago White Sox odds
Cleveland Guardians Trends and Key Stats
- The White Sox are 2-3 in their five most recent road games, including a 3-2 runline record.
- Conversely, the Guardians have achieved a 1-4 (SU) record and 1-4 record in their last five home games.
- Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Guardians have won 6-4 straight-up, and have a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
- When playing as the underdog, the White Sox have won 3-7 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 5-5 against the runline.
Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox Prediction
Heading into their last game vs. the Rockies, the White Sox closed out the series with a 5-4 loss. This was a particularly tough loss, as they held a lead going into the 10th inning before the Rockies scored one run in the top of the 11th. Chicago was the heavy favorite at -217 going into the game.
Garrett Crochet put together a good start for the White Sox, going seven innings and giving up just two earned runs, and striking out 11. However, the White Sox’s offense couldnjson’t close things out, and Michael Soroka took the loss out of the bullpen. The White Sox also wasted a big game from Andrew Vaughn, who homered in the 2nd inning, going 2/4.
Chicago is on the road today, taking on the Guardians with an overall record of 24-62, which has them 5th in the AL Central. They are 30 games behind the Guardians for the division lead and are 6-21 against other AL Central teams this year.
At home, the White Sox are just 16-29 while going 8-33 on the road. So far, they have been really bad as the underdog, going 19-61, which includes an 8-33 mark as the road underdog. Chicago has won two straight series, and their overall series record is 6-19-2 this year. Their record in day games is 9-26 compared to 15-36 under the lights.
When betting the run line on the White Sox, it’s best to take them as the underdog, as they are 34-46 against the run line in that role this season. They are just 5-1 against the run line as the favorite. Their average run margin in losing games is -3.8, which is worse than their overall run line record of 39-47.
Chicago White Sox games have gone over the over/under line in 38 of 83 games this season, and the over has hit in two straight. The average over/under line in White Sox games this season has been 8 runs, and the combined run average in their games is 8.1 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 9 runs, the over has gone 4-9-1 in their games this season. Just 4.7% of their games have had an over/under line set at 9 runs, and 79.1% of their games have had a line set lower than 9 runs.
Right-hander Chris Flexen is starting for the White Sox today as he faces the Guardians on the road. So far this season, he has made 15 starts and three of them have been quality starts. Flexen’s record for the season is 2-7, and he most recently pitched on June 25th, where he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. In that outing, he gave up three homers. Before that, he had given up just one homer in each of his previous two outings. Flexen’s ERA for the season is 5.13, along with a WHIP of 1.41.
For the season, the White Sox are averaging just 3.1 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in most offensive categories, including team batting average, on-base percentage, and OPS. As a team, they are batting just .220 and have an on-base percentage of only .281.
Andrew Vaughn has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 6/15 in his last five games with a home run and four RBIs. For the season, he is batting .244 with a team-high 39 RBIs. Luis Robert Jr. is also on a four-game hitting streak but has gone just 5/21 in his last five games.
Heading into their last game vs. the Royals, the Guardians closed out the series with a 6-2 loss. Cleveland was the +112 underdog on the money line going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Guardians, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Royals scored in the bottom of the first.
Logan Allen got the start for the Guardians and took the loss. He only lasted 4 1/3 innings, giving up three earned runs on six hits. Offensively, the Guardians scored their only other run in the 2nd inning and added another two runs in the 8th.
Cleveland is hosting the White Sox today with an overall record of 52-30, which has them leading the AL Central by six games. The Guardians’ record is 12-9 in divisional games this year, and they have won five straight games at home, where they are 26-9 this season. On the road, Cleveland is 26-21 this season.
As the favorite, the Guardians have gone 36-16 and 23-8 when favored at home. They are also 21-9 in day games this season and have an overall series record of 17-7-2.
So far, the Guardians have been the underdog in 30 games, and they are 16-14 in those games. The Guardians are coming off a series loss, dropping three of four games to the Royals. At home, they are 6-4 in their last 10 games and 6-4 overall in their last 10.
When betting the run line, the Guardians have been a solid play at home, going 20-15. They have an average run margin of 1.5 runs per game at home, which is slightly better than their overall average run margin of 1.2 runs per game. They have also been a good play as the underdog, going 20-10 against the run line.
Today’s over/under line of 9 runs is slightly higher than the Cleveland Guardians’ season average of 8.7 runs per game. The Guardians have played 76.8% of their games with lower over/under lines than 9 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9 runs is 4-7-2. Overall, the Guardians have a 39-37 over/under record this season, and the average over/under line in their games is 8 runs.
Right-hander Carlos Carrasco gets the start for the Guardians today as he faces the White Sox at home. He has made 14 starts this year and has a record of 3-6 with a 5.27 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .267 this year off Carrasco, and his WHIP is 1.40. Carrasco’s last outing came vs. the Orioles, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least five earned runs in three straight starts.
Jose Ramirez has been on a tear of late, going 10/29 in his last seven games with four homers and nine RBIs. This has helped him move into the top spot on the team in RBIs (76) and 3rd in the league in homers (23). Overall, he is batting .280 this season. Josh Naylor is also a big power threat for the Guardians, as he has 20 homers, which is 6th in the league, and is 2nd on the team.
As a team, the Guardians are 5th in the league at 5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are 8th in home runs and have the 12th best team batting average in the league.
Our prediction for this White Sox vs. Guardians matchup is to take the Guardians to pick up the win at home. However, with the money line payout sitting at -204, we recommend taking the over on the 9 run line, with the payout at -115.
If you’re looking for a parlay option, you could take the Guardians on the money line and pair that with an over on the starting pitcher’s strikeout line. For Carlos Carrasco, we have him finishing with five strikeouts, and for Chris Flexen, he is projected to finish with just four.
Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox Betting Tips
- Take the Guardians on the moneyline
- The Guardians should also cover at -1.5
- Projecting a combined 10 runs, we like the over
Cleveland Guardians Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Matthew Boyd | Out | Elbow |
| Shane Bieber | Out | Elbow |
| Trevor Stephan | Out | Elbow |
| James Karinchak | Out | Shoulder |
| Nick Sandlin | Out | Back |
| Will Brennan | Out | Oblique |
Chicago White Sox Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Max Stassi | Out | Hip |
| Dominic Leone | Out | Elbow |
| Mike Clevinger | Out | Elbow |
| Yoán Moncada | Out | Groin |
| Matt Foster | Out | Elbow |
| Jimmy Lambert | Out | Shoulder |
| Jesse Scholtens | Out | Elbow |
| Dominic Fletcher | Out | Shoulder |
